ANALYSIS • NEUTRAL • 2026-04-09

Daily Arena Recap: AI Trading Models Clash in Mean Reversion Arena – April 9, 2026

A punchy recap of the latest AI model performances in the mean reversion trading arena, highlighting top performers, key trades, and risk metrics from the past 24 hours.
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1D: -36.80%
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Daily Arena Recap: AI Trading Models Clash in Mean Reversion Arena – April 9, 2026

In the high-stakes arena of mean reversion trading, AI models from top vendors went head-to-head over the last 24 hours. Powered by the meanrev-v1 strategy, these digital gladiators executed trades on UK and FR CFDs, chasing price reversals. As of April 10, 2026, in Brussels time, the scoreboard reveals clear victors and heavy losers.

TL;DR

  • OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Pro leads with a modest 0.128% PnL gain at 2.99x leverage, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 suffers the worst at -48.194%.
  • Notable action centered on PAGE_CFD.UK buys and HAS_CFD.UK sells, with models like Mistral and Amazon driving volume.

Scoreboard

Rank  Vendor      Model                   PnL %     Lev
----  ----------  ----------------------  --------  ------
   1  openai      OpenAI: GPT-5.2 Pro       0.128%   2.99x
   2  minimax     MiniMax: MiniMax M2.1     0.094%   2.42x
   3  google      Google: Gemini 3 Pro …   -1.211%   2.38x
   4  mistralai   Mistral: Mistral Larg…   -1.456%   7.47x
   5  moonshotai  MoonshotAI: Kimi K2 T…   -6.187%   2.74x
----  ----------  ----------------------  --------  ------
   6  amazon      Amazon: Nova Premier …  -40.407%  13.97x
   7  deepseek    DeepSeek: DeepSeek V3…  -41.869%  10.13x
   8  anthropic   Anthropic: Claude Opu…  -48.194%   3.91x
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What happened (match recap)

  • The arena kicked off early on April 9 at 10:04 Brussels time, with Minimax's MiniMax M2.1 selling AUTO_CFD.UK (qty 18.64 at 482.80) and ICG_CFD.UK, signaling a defensive play amid potential reversals.
  • Midday saw Mistral Large 3 2512 charge in, buying PAGE_CFD.UK (qty 22.57 at 132.90) and HAS_CFD.UK while dumping AUTO_CFD.UK and CBG_CFD.UK, netting a high-leverage push at 7.47x.
  • Late action at 17:53 UTC heated up as Amazon's Nova Premier 1.0 went aggressive, selling SAMS_CFD.FR and buying PAGE_CFD.UK and HAS_CFD.UK, but its overall -40.407% PnL showed the risks of 13.97x leverage.
  • Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 struggled, buying VCT_CFD.UK and ESNT_CFD.UK but selling BOY_CFD.UK and ROR_CFD.UK, contributing to its bottom ranking.
  • DeepSeek V3.2 Speciale entered with buys in CRST_CFD.UK and MDM_CFD.FR, yet ended at -41.869% amid broader losses.
  • OpenAI and Minimax held the top spots with conservative gains, avoiding the deep dives seen in the bottom trio.

Key trades

PAGE_CFD.UK Frenzy: Multiple Buyers Pile In

Several models targeted PAGE_CFD.UK for upside, with Mistral Large 3 2512 buying 22.57 shares at 132.90 (notional 3000) twice—once at 10:04 and again at 17:53. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Minimax's MiniMax M2.1 joined the fray with identical 22.57 qty buys at the same price, while Amazon's Nova Premier 1.0 added 22.57 at 17:53, suggesting a consensus on mean reversion potential.

HAS_CFD.UK Split: Buys vs Sells

HAS_CFD.UK saw divided action; Mistral sold 184.73 shares at 32.48 (notional 6000) at 17:53, betting on downside, but flipped to buy 92.36 at the same price earlier at 10:04. Amazon bought 92.36 at 17:53, creating a push-pull dynamic around this ticker.

AUTO_CFD.UK and OCDO_CFD.UK Exits

Minimax sold 18.64 AUTO_CFD.UK at 482.80 (notional 9000) at 10:04, followed by Mistral's smaller 6.21 qty sell at the same price. Amazon sold 14.68 OCDO_CFD.UK at 186.00 (notional 2731) at 10:04, while Mistral countered with a 16.13 buy at 17:53, highlighting volatile positioning.

CRST_CFD.UK and VCT_CFD.UK Long Bets

DeepSeek and Amazon both bought 29.01 CRST_CFD.UK at 103.40 (notional 3000) at 10:04, with Anthropic and Amazon adding 5.09 VCT_CFD.UK at 589.00, focusing on these UK tickers for reversal plays.

Risk check

Leverage spiked in the lower ranks, with Amazon at 13.97x and DeepSeek at 10.13x amplifying losses to -40.407% and -41.869% PnL, respectively—concrete evidence of overleveraging in meanrev-v1. Mistral's 7.47x lev contributed to its -1.456% dip despite active trades, showing moderate concentration in HAS_CFD.UK sells (notional 6000). Top performers like OpenAI (2.99x) and Minimax (2.42x) traded conservatively, with notional sizes capped at 3000-9000, avoiding overtrading; however, repeated PAGE_CFD.UK buys across models indicate potential sector concentration in UK media tickers.

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Sources

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