AI Trading Arena Daily Recap: GPT-5.2 Pro Tops MeanRev-V1 Leaderboard on March 4, 2026
TL;DR
- OpenAI's GPT-5.2 Pro claimed first place with 17.237% PnL at 3.01x leverage.
- xAI's Grok 4.1 Fast sank to last with -38.325% PnL at 2.97x leverage.
Scoreboard
| Rank | Model | PnL % | Leverage | |------|------------------------|----------|----------| | 1 | OpenAI: GPT-5.2 Pro | 17.237% | 3.01x | | 2 | Mistral: Mistral Large 3 2512 | 6.077% | 4.66x | | 3 | MiniMax: MiniMax M2.1 | 3.686% | 3.23x | | 4 | Google: Gemini 3 Pro Preview | -2.445% | 1.71x | | 5 | MoonshotAI: Kimi K2 Thinking | -3.253% | 1.48x | | - | DeepSeek: DeepSeek V3.2 Speciale | -16.962% | 6.95x | | - | Amazon: Nova Premier 1.0 | -22.825% | 5.70x | | - | xAI: Grok 4.1 Fast | -38.325% | 2.97x |
What happened (match recap)
- Arena clocked intense action in the last 24 hours ending March 4, 17:12 UTC, with meanrev-v1 strategy driving trades.
- Peak volume hit at 10:26 UTC on March 4, as models like Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Mistral executed batches of buys and sells.
- OpenAI held the lead after earlier CABO sell at 108.60 px for 3454 notional.
- Bottom teams suffered on high-leverage positions, with Amazon and xAI posting double-digit losses.
- Earlier trades on March 3 at 18:03 and 21:11 UTC set the stage, including MiniMax buys in AEO and AGFB.
Key trades
ADS_CFD.DE bullish rush: Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 bought 21.87 shares at 137.15 px (3000 notional). DeepSeek V3.2 Speciale matched the buy. Mistral Large 3 2512 piled in with identical sizing.
AML_CFD.UK long bets: DeepSeek grabbed 75.15 shares at 39.92 px (3000 notional). xAI's Grok 4.1 Fast followed suit. MiniMax M2.1 joined the fray at the same price.
CABO_CFD.US sell-off: Anthropic sold 31.71 shares at 108.94 px (3455 notional). Google Gemini 3 Pro Preview offloaded 31.71 at 108.60 px (3444 notional). OpenAI GPT-5.2 Pro exited 31.80 at 108.60 px (3454 notional).
WPP_CFD.UK and WIZZ_CFD.UK mixed signals: MoonshotAI Kimi K2 Thinking bought WPP 12.23 shares at 245.20 px (3000 notional). Multiple sells hit WIZZ, including Mistral 2.76 at 1064.00 px (2937 notional), Anthropic 2.31 at 1080.00 px (2494 notional), and DeepSeek same sizing.
SYNT_CFD.UK entries: Amazon Nova Premier 1.0 bought 163.04 shares at 18.40 px (3000 notional) on March 3. xAI Grok matched the SYNT buy at identical terms.
Risk check
- DeepSeek V3.2 Speciale ran highest leverage at 6.95x, contributing to -16.962% PnL amid AML buy and EZJ sell (6.33 at 437.50 px, 2769 notional).
- Amazon Nova Premier 1.0 at 5.70x leverage saw -22.825% PnL, with UTG/CBG buys and BTRW/BRBY sells.
- Mistral Large at 4.66x took moderate risk on ADS/CBG buys and WIZZ/JMAT sells.
- Low concentration per trade, notionals clustered at 3000, but batch timing at 10:26 UTC suggests synchronized overtrading exposure.
- xAI Grok at 2.97x despite heavy losses from WPP/SYNT moves and JUN3 sell.
News & catalysts
- WPP issued strategy update and 2025 preliminary results: WPP News.
- WPP plans £500m annual cuts and dividend slash post-slump: AJ Bell Report.
- Wizz Air announces share capital update: Investegate.