Arena run #879

meanrev-v1minimaxminimax/minimax-m2.1EUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-27T10:39:49.046129+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-27T10:41:24.428331+00:00
duration_ms: 95381
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Largest 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility 169% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+24.2%), significantly above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% indicates overextension",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline (-26.8%), well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Large 1d rise (+18.2%), far above MA200 (+36.8%) and MA50 (+14.3%), volatility 93% shows overbought condition",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EVD_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Notable 1d drop (-5.5%), significantly below MA200 (-22.5%) and MA50 (-5.5%), volatility 52% is moderate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "EVD_CFD.DE",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "ESNT_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "SAFE_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "RSW_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "HLAG_CFD.DE",
    "EMG_CFD.UK",
    "PZC_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "HWDN_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "STJ_CFD.UK",
    "ABDN_CFD.UK",
    "GMM_CFD.DE",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "TRST_CFD.UK",
    "CAR_CFD.US",
    "WEW_CFD.DE",
    "FRES_CFD.UK",
    "KGF_CFD.UK",
    "TESB_CFD.BE",
    "BEN_CFD.FR",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "GROW_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "INH_CFD.DE",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "HIK_CFD.UK",
    "RHK_CFD.DE",
    "IFX_CFD.DE",
    "PNE3_CFD.DE",
    "GNRC_CFD.US",
    "GXI_CFD.DE",
    "GAW_CFD.UK",
    "HOT_CFD.DE",
    "STM_CFD.DE",
    "WLN_CFD.FR",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "ROR_CFD.UK",
    "UKW_CFD.UK",
    "HPP_CFD.US",
    "FII_CFD.FR"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1774608074-C5jIHng2UxBzazjgNDVf",
    "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.1",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0.0030165,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0.0030165,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0.0013365,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0.00168
      },
      "total_tokens": 5855,
      "prompt_tokens": 4455,
      "completion_tokens": 1400,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 842
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": "{\"actions\": {\"sell\": [{\"symbol\": \"CBG_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%); mean reversion candidate with high score 96, take profit or exit\"}], \"hold\": [{\"symbol\": \"AUTO_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement (last=avg), holding at flat\"; \"symbol\": \"BTRW_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Already showing +258.85 unrealized pnl (+8.6%), modest move not extreme enough for reversion\"; \"symbol\": \"BYIT_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement from entry, no clear signal\"; \"symbol\": \"CRST_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"FUTR_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Modest +1.4% gain, not extreme dislocation\"; \"symbol\": \"LMP_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"OCDO_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"SYNT_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Already +2.6% unrealized, not extreme dislocation\"; \"symbol\": \"UTG_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"}], \"buy\": [{\"symbol\": \"BOY_CFD.UK\", \"position_size\": 3000.0, \"reason\": \"Mean reversion score 95: strong 1d gain (+24.2%) indicates overextension above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% confirms overbought—expect reversion downward\"}, {\"symbol\": \"IWG_CFD.UK\", \"position_size\": 3000.0, \"reason\": \"Mean reversion score 94: sharp 1d decline (-26.8%) well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation—expect rebound\"}]}, \"portfolio_rationale\": \"Screened current holdings for mean reversion signals: CBG shows extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) below both MAs, qualifies as SELL per strategy rules. Existing holdings are mostly flat or modestly profitable without extreme dislocation—HOLD. Two new candidates (BOY and IWG) score 94-95 with extreme price deviations confirming mean reversion setups; BOY overextended upward (expect pullback), IWG undervalued downward (expect bounce). Fixed position size 3000 per rule, max 2 buys respected.\"}",
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": "Let me analyze this carefully:\n\n**Current Portfolio Holdings (with non-zero qty):**\n- AUTO_CFD.UK: qty 6.21, avg 482.8, last 482.8, unrealized 0\n- BTRW_CFD.UK: qty 11.96, avg 250.8, last 272.44, unrealized +258.85\n- BYIT_CFD.UK: qty 20.51, avg 292.6, last 292.6, unrealized 0\n- CBG_CFD.UK: qty 17.50, avg 342.92, last 342.92, unrealized 0\n- CRST_CFD.UK: qty 25.25, avg 118.83, last 118.83, unrealized 0\n- FUTR_CFD.UK: qty 7.24, avg 414.2, last 419.8, unrealized +40.56\n- LMP_CFD.UK: qty 16.55, avg 181.3, last 181.3, unrealized 0\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: qty 14.68, avg 204.3, last 204.3, unrealized 0\n- SYNT_CFD.UK: qty 110.29, avg 27.2, last 27.9, unrealized +77.21\n- UTG_CFD.UK: qty 5.94, avg 505.0, last 505.0, unrealized 0\n\n**Candidates (new opportunities):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: score 96 (already in portfolio!)\n- BOY_CFD.UK: score 95 (new)\n- IWG_CFD.UK: score 94 (new)\n\n\n- RSW_CFD.UK: score 91 (already in portfolio with qty 0!)\n- EVD_CFD.DE: score 85 (new)\n\nI'll prioritize mean reversion candidates showing significant price dislocation. BOY and IWG look attractive with strong negative deviations and high volatility. BOY dropped 24.2% and IWG declined 26.8%, both with substantial volatility indicating potential reversal opportunities.\n\nHowever, I'm cautious about existing portfolio positions. Several stocks like CBG, RSW, and AUTO remain at zero quantity, suggesting potential underlying weakness. Some positions like BTRW and SYNT already show unrealized gains, which could limit additional upside.\n\nThe mean reversion strategy demands strict price deviation thresholds. While candidates show high scores, the current portfolio requires careful evaluation of each holding's potential for reversion. I'll need to cross-reference candidate scores with existing positions, eliminating those not meeting significant deviation criteria.\n\nSell candidates like CBG exhibit extreme price drops, but their existing portfolio position complicates immediate action. Conversely, holdings like AUTO show minimal price movement, rendering them less attractive for mean reversion trades.\n\nPotential buys emerge: BOY and IWG demonstrate substantial price dislocations. BOY's 24.2% gain and IWG's 26.8% decline suggest potential mean reversion opportunities, though further analysis is needed to confirmtheir viability.\n\nCurrent portfolio reveals mixed signals: some positions like BYIT and CBG show zero price movement, while others like BTRW and SYNT display meaningful price shifts. These nuanced dynamics require careful, selective evaluation to optimize trading strategy.\n\nPotential sell candidates emerge with specific criteria: significant price drops and notable deviation from moving averages. CBG stands out with a substantial -26.6% decline, positioning it as a prime candidate for immediate action given its zero current position size.\n\nBuy candidates present intriguing opportunities. BOY and IWG represent compelling mean reversal potential, with dramatically depressed prices suggesting possible upward movement. Their substantial price deviations align perfectly with a strategic reversion approach.\n\nThe portfolio requires disciplined selection, focusing on positions showing clear mean reversion signals while maintaining strategic flexibility.\n",
          "reasoning_details": [
            {
              "text": "Let me analyze this carefully:\n\n**Current Portfolio Holdings (with non-zero qty):**\n- AUTO_CFD.UK: qty 6.21, avg 482.8, last 482.8, unrealized 0\n- BTRW_CFD.UK: qty 11.96, avg 250.8, last 272.44, unrealized +258.85\n- BYIT_CFD.UK: qty 20.51, avg 292.6, last 292.6, unrealized 0\n- CBG_CFD.UK: qty 17.50, avg 342.92, last 342.92, unrealized 0\n- CRST_CFD.UK: qty 25.25, avg 118.83, last 118.83, unrealized 0\n- FUTR_CFD.UK: qty 7.24, avg 414.2, last 419.8, unrealized +40.56\n- LMP_CFD.UK: qty 16.55, avg 181.3, last 181.3, unrealized 0\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: qty 14.68, avg 204.3, last 204.3, unrealized 0\n- SYNT_CFD.UK: qty 110.29, avg 27.2, last 27.9, unrealized +77.21\n- UTG_CFD.UK: qty 5.94, avg 505.0, last 505.0, unrealized 0\n\n**Candidates (new opportunities):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: score 96 (already in portfolio!)\n- BOY_CFD.UK: score 95 (new)\n- IWG_CFD.UK: score 94 (new)\n\n\n- RSW_CFD.UK: score 91 (already in portfolio with qty 0!)\n- EVD_CFD.DE: score 85 (new)\n\nI'll prioritize mean reversion candidates showing significant price dislocation. BOY and IWG look attractive with strong negative deviations and high volatility. BOY dropped 24.2% and IWG declined 26.8%, both with substantial volatility indicating potential reversal opportunities.\n\nHowever, I'm cautious about existing portfolio positions. Several stocks like CBG, RSW, and AUTO remain at zero quantity, suggesting potential underlying weakness. Some positions like BTRW and SYNT already show unrealized gains, which could limit additional upside.\n\nThe mean reversion strategy demands strict price deviation thresholds. While candidates show high scores, the current portfolio requires careful evaluation of each holding's potential for reversion. I'll need to cross-reference candidate scores with existing positions, eliminating those not meeting significant deviation criteria.\n\nSell candidates like CBG exhibit extreme price drops, but their existing portfolio position complicates immediate action. Conversely, holdings like AUTO show minimal price movement, rendering them less attractive for mean reversion trades.\n\nPotential buys emerge: BOY and IWG demonstrate substantial price dislocations. BOY's 24.2% gain and IWG's 26.8% decline suggest potential mean reversion opportunities, though further analysis is needed to confirmtheir viability.\n\nCurrent portfolio reveals mixed signals: some positions like BYIT and CBG show zero price movement, while others like BTRW and SYNT display meaningful price shifts. These nuanced dynamics require careful, selective evaluation to optimize trading strategy.\n\nPotential sell candidates emerge with specific criteria: significant price drops and notable deviation from moving averages. CBG stands out with a substantial -26.6% decline, positioning it as a prime candidate for immediate action given its zero current position size.\n\nBuy candidates present intriguing opportunities. BOY and IWG represent compelling mean reversal potential, with dramatically depressed prices suggesting possible upward movement. Their substantial price deviations align perfectly with a strategic reversion approach.\n\nThe portfolio requires disciplined selection, focusing on positions showing clear mean reversion signals while maintaining strategic flexibility.\n",
              "type": "reasoning.text",
              "index": 0,
              "format": "unknown"
            }
          ]
        },
        "logprobs": null,
        "finish_reason": "stop",
        "native_finish_reason": "stop"
      }
    ],
    "created": 1774608074,
    "provider": "Minimax",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}
Prompts & responses
#1720openrouterminimax/minimax-m2.12026-03-27T10:39:49.090201+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EVD_CFD.DE", "name": "CTS EVENTIM AG & CO KGAA", "sector": "", "last_price": 63.975, "change_1d_pct": 0.9435599665493788, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.467462845129617, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.460126561514977, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.66516386670678, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 108.4, "change_1d_pct": 4.230769230769238, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.40452119530135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.771484932749797, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.9832071461764, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HLAG_CFD.DE", "name": "HAPAG-LLOYD AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 133.6, "change_1d_pct": -4.724549830629343, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.15767527058544, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.723390214536604, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.33097209009259, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.7, "change_1d_pct": -13.858093126385807, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9808107121248817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5905093876257723, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.73478468401771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, 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"earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INH_CFD.DE", "name": "Indus Holding AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.25, "change_1d_pct": -6.67808219178082, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.680259101881414, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.307200307555785, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.14610538029346, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "name": "HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1267.0, "change_1d_pct": -19.55555555555556, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.881851790845626, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.711709832205766, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.5956600941246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHK_CFD.DE", "name": "Rhoen-Klinikum AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.6, "change_1d_pct": -3.076923076923077, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.7750883981479717, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.62389949549906, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.36101413598887, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, 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"news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GAW_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 18310.0, "change_1d_pct": 6.268136970400473, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.806359154327659, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.486933677466932, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.72308604626657, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HOT_CFD.DE", "name": "HOCHTIEF AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 377.414, "change_1d_pct": -3.127823408624242, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.82347157418284, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.0797528144439794, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.30824645559373, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "name": "STABILUS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 15.94, "change_1d_pct": -0.2939888659535872, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.20776474864759, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.078188187358498, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.0531300844419, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WLN_CFD.FR", "name": "Worldline SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.282, "change_1d_pct": -15.315315315315326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -87.35746324361764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -76.23662256678183, "volatility_20d_pct": 433.4216965305222, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "name": "ROTORK PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 315.64, "change_1d_pct": -7.815420560747666, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.440121571713639, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.465605958975752, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.53961834922319, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.7, "change_1d_pct": 1.6658253407370038, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.705655680854775, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.946868470357833, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.21786303082545, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "name": "HUDSON PACIFIC PROPERTIES IN", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.22, "change_1d_pct": 7.612456747404828, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -56.74412620700926, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.555676233403027, "volatility_20d_pct": 194.1468201523552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FII_CFD.FR", "name": "Lisi Group", "sector": "", "last_price": 52.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.104104104104089, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.882127572483033, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.310445168374411, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.25445718195904, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Largest 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility 169% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+24.2%), significantly above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% indicates overextension",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline (-26.8%), well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Large 1d rise (+18.2%), far above MA200 (+36.8%) and MA50 (+14.3%), volatility 93% shows overbought condition",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EVD_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Notable 1d drop (-5.5%), significantly below MA200 (-22.5%) and MA50 (-5.5%), volatility 52% is moderate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "TRST_CFD.UK: Extreme 1d gain (+48%) with extreme volatility (305%) suggests binary event",
    "WLN_CFD.FR: Extreme deviation from MA200 (-87%) and MA50 (-76%) indicates distressed/structural issue",
    "CAR_CFD.US: Extreme volatility (9368%) and null MA200 data suggest unreliable signal",
    "ATG_CFD.UK: Extreme volatility (2872%) and null MA200 data indicate unreliable signal",
    "HPP_CFD.US: Non-EU symbol excluded per region constraint"
  ]
}
#1721openrouterminimax/minimax-m2.12026-03-27T10:41:13.731245+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1849.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AEO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 22.265, "last_price": 18.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AGFB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.465, "last_price": 0.452, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 36.92, "last_price": 36.04, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 326.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 40.34, "last_price": 39.505, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.2137531068765535, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 272.44, "unrealized_pnl": 258.8516746411481, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 20.505809979494188, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.496792254753295, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1989.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 349.265, "last_price": 365.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.28, "last_price": 24.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 17.133, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.105000000000004, "last_price": 35.864999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 48.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 419.8, "unrealized_pnl": 40.56011588604556, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.34, "unrealized_pnl": -87.28943338437996, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.63, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1244.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HYQ_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 82.3, "last_price": 77.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.2, "last_price": 785.85, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 250.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.96, "last_price": 52.07, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T11:23:36.694156+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.54715940430226, "avg_price": 181.3, "last_price": 181.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPE_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.414, "last_price": 86.679, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.24, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MAN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.68, "last_price": 27.94, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MDB_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 252.01, "last_price": 263.69, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PBB_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2.826, "last_price": 2.7640000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RCO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.34, "last_price": 43.58, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RIVN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 15.62, "last_price": 15.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3790.0000000000005, "last_price": 3790.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 789.8, "last_price": 735.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 110.29411764705883, "avg_price": 27.2, "last_price": 27.9, "unrealized_pnl": 77.2058823529411, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 247.99999999999997, "last_price": 255.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 204.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 354.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 908.5, "last_price": 878.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2345.0, "last_price": 2308.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 96, "selection_reason": "Largest 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility 169% confirms dislocation"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+24.2%), significantly above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% indicates overextension"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 94, "selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline (-26.8%), well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 91, "selection_reason": "Large 1d rise (+18.2%), far above MA200 (+36.8%) and MA50 (+14.3%), volatility 93% shows overbought condition"}, {"symbol": "EVD_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Notable 1d drop (-5.5%), significantly below MA200 (-22.5%) and MA50 (-5.5%), volatility 52% is moderate"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1774608074-C5jIHng2UxBzazjgNDVf",
    "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.1",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0.0030165,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0.0030165,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0.0013365,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0.00168
      },
      "total_tokens": 5855,
      "prompt_tokens": 4455,
      "completion_tokens": 1400,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 842
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": "{\"actions\": {\"sell\": [{\"symbol\": \"CBG_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%); mean reversion candidate with high score 96, take profit or exit\"}], \"hold\": [{\"symbol\": \"AUTO_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement (last=avg), holding at flat\"; \"symbol\": \"BTRW_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Already showing +258.85 unrealized pnl (+8.6%), modest move not extreme enough for reversion\"; \"symbol\": \"BYIT_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement from entry, no clear signal\"; \"symbol\": \"CRST_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"FUTR_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Modest +1.4% gain, not extreme dislocation\"; \"symbol\": \"LMP_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"OCDO_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"; \"symbol\": \"SYNT_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"Already +2.6% unrealized, not extreme dislocation\"; \"symbol\": \"UTG_CFD.UK\", \"reason\": \"No price movement, holding flat\"}], \"buy\": [{\"symbol\": \"BOY_CFD.UK\", \"position_size\": 3000.0, \"reason\": \"Mean reversion score 95: strong 1d gain (+24.2%) indicates overextension above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% confirms overbought—expect reversion downward\"}, {\"symbol\": \"IWG_CFD.UK\", \"position_size\": 3000.0, \"reason\": \"Mean reversion score 94: sharp 1d decline (-26.8%) well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation—expect rebound\"}]}, \"portfolio_rationale\": \"Screened current holdings for mean reversion signals: CBG shows extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) below both MAs, qualifies as SELL per strategy rules. Existing holdings are mostly flat or modestly profitable without extreme dislocation—HOLD. Two new candidates (BOY and IWG) score 94-95 with extreme price deviations confirming mean reversion setups; BOY overextended upward (expect pullback), IWG undervalued downward (expect bounce). Fixed position size 3000 per rule, max 2 buys respected.\"}",
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": "Let me analyze this carefully:\n\n**Current Portfolio Holdings (with non-zero qty):**\n- AUTO_CFD.UK: qty 6.21, avg 482.8, last 482.8, unrealized 0\n- BTRW_CFD.UK: qty 11.96, avg 250.8, last 272.44, unrealized +258.85\n- BYIT_CFD.UK: qty 20.51, avg 292.6, last 292.6, unrealized 0\n- CBG_CFD.UK: qty 17.50, avg 342.92, last 342.92, unrealized 0\n- CRST_CFD.UK: qty 25.25, avg 118.83, last 118.83, unrealized 0\n- FUTR_CFD.UK: qty 7.24, avg 414.2, last 419.8, unrealized +40.56\n- LMP_CFD.UK: qty 16.55, avg 181.3, last 181.3, unrealized 0\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: qty 14.68, avg 204.3, last 204.3, unrealized 0\n- SYNT_CFD.UK: qty 110.29, avg 27.2, last 27.9, unrealized +77.21\n- UTG_CFD.UK: qty 5.94, avg 505.0, last 505.0, unrealized 0\n\n**Candidates (new opportunities):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: score 96 (already in portfolio!)\n- BOY_CFD.UK: score 95 (new)\n- IWG_CFD.UK: score 94 (new)\n\n\n- RSW_CFD.UK: score 91 (already in portfolio with qty 0!)\n- EVD_CFD.DE: score 85 (new)\n\nI'll prioritize mean reversion candidates showing significant price dislocation. BOY and IWG look attractive with strong negative deviations and high volatility. BOY dropped 24.2% and IWG declined 26.8%, both with substantial volatility indicating potential reversal opportunities.\n\nHowever, I'm cautious about existing portfolio positions. Several stocks like CBG, RSW, and AUTO remain at zero quantity, suggesting potential underlying weakness. Some positions like BTRW and SYNT already show unrealized gains, which could limit additional upside.\n\nThe mean reversion strategy demands strict price deviation thresholds. While candidates show high scores, the current portfolio requires careful evaluation of each holding's potential for reversion. I'll need to cross-reference candidate scores with existing positions, eliminating those not meeting significant deviation criteria.\n\nSell candidates like CBG exhibit extreme price drops, but their existing portfolio position complicates immediate action. Conversely, holdings like AUTO show minimal price movement, rendering them less attractive for mean reversion trades.\n\nPotential buys emerge: BOY and IWG demonstrate substantial price dislocations. BOY's 24.2% gain and IWG's 26.8% decline suggest potential mean reversion opportunities, though further analysis is needed to confirmtheir viability.\n\nCurrent portfolio reveals mixed signals: some positions like BYIT and CBG show zero price movement, while others like BTRW and SYNT display meaningful price shifts. These nuanced dynamics require careful, selective evaluation to optimize trading strategy.\n\nPotential sell candidates emerge with specific criteria: significant price drops and notable deviation from moving averages. CBG stands out with a substantial -26.6% decline, positioning it as a prime candidate for immediate action given its zero current position size.\n\nBuy candidates present intriguing opportunities. BOY and IWG represent compelling mean reversal potential, with dramatically depressed prices suggesting possible upward movement. Their substantial price deviations align perfectly with a strategic reversion approach.\n\nThe portfolio requires disciplined selection, focusing on positions showing clear mean reversion signals while maintaining strategic flexibility.\n",
          "reasoning_details": [
            {
              "text": "Let me analyze this carefully:\n\n**Current Portfolio Holdings (with non-zero qty):**\n- AUTO_CFD.UK: qty 6.21, avg 482.8, last 482.8, unrealized 0\n- BTRW_CFD.UK: qty 11.96, avg 250.8, last 272.44, unrealized +258.85\n- BYIT_CFD.UK: qty 20.51, avg 292.6, last 292.6, unrealized 0\n- CBG_CFD.UK: qty 17.50, avg 342.92, last 342.92, unrealized 0\n- CRST_CFD.UK: qty 25.25, avg 118.83, last 118.83, unrealized 0\n- FUTR_CFD.UK: qty 7.24, avg 414.2, last 419.8, unrealized +40.56\n- LMP_CFD.UK: qty 16.55, avg 181.3, last 181.3, unrealized 0\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: qty 14.68, avg 204.3, last 204.3, unrealized 0\n- SYNT_CFD.UK: qty 110.29, avg 27.2, last 27.9, unrealized +77.21\n- UTG_CFD.UK: qty 5.94, avg 505.0, last 505.0, unrealized 0\n\n**Candidates (new opportunities):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: score 96 (already in portfolio!)\n- BOY_CFD.UK: score 95 (new)\n- IWG_CFD.UK: score 94 (new)\n\n\n- RSW_CFD.UK: score 91 (already in portfolio with qty 0!)\n- EVD_CFD.DE: score 85 (new)\n\nI'll prioritize mean reversion candidates showing significant price dislocation. BOY and IWG look attractive with strong negative deviations and high volatility. BOY dropped 24.2% and IWG declined 26.8%, both with substantial volatility indicating potential reversal opportunities.\n\nHowever, I'm cautious about existing portfolio positions. Several stocks like CBG, RSW, and AUTO remain at zero quantity, suggesting potential underlying weakness. Some positions like BTRW and SYNT already show unrealized gains, which could limit additional upside.\n\nThe mean reversion strategy demands strict price deviation thresholds. While candidates show high scores, the current portfolio requires careful evaluation of each holding's potential for reversion. I'll need to cross-reference candidate scores with existing positions, eliminating those not meeting significant deviation criteria.\n\nSell candidates like CBG exhibit extreme price drops, but their existing portfolio position complicates immediate action. Conversely, holdings like AUTO show minimal price movement, rendering them less attractive for mean reversion trades.\n\nPotential buys emerge: BOY and IWG demonstrate substantial price dislocations. BOY's 24.2% gain and IWG's 26.8% decline suggest potential mean reversion opportunities, though further analysis is needed to confirmtheir viability.\n\nCurrent portfolio reveals mixed signals: some positions like BYIT and CBG show zero price movement, while others like BTRW and SYNT display meaningful price shifts. These nuanced dynamics require careful, selective evaluation to optimize trading strategy.\n\nPotential sell candidates emerge with specific criteria: significant price drops and notable deviation from moving averages. CBG stands out with a substantial -26.6% decline, positioning it as a prime candidate for immediate action given its zero current position size.\n\nBuy candidates present intriguing opportunities. BOY and IWG represent compelling mean reversal potential, with dramatically depressed prices suggesting possible upward movement. Their substantial price deviations align perfectly with a strategic reversion approach.\n\nThe portfolio requires disciplined selection, focusing on positions showing clear mean reversion signals while maintaining strategic flexibility.\n",
              "type": "reasoning.text",
              "index": 0,
              "format": "unknown"
            }
          ]
        },
        "logprobs": null,
        "finish_reason": "stop",
        "native_finish_reason": "stop"
      }
    ],
    "created": 1774608074,
    "provider": "Minimax",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}
Selection logs
#846stage12026-03-27T10:41:13.728614+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Largest 1d drop (-26.6%), far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility 169% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+24.2%), significantly above MA50 (+18.6%) and MA200 (+28.7%), volatility 103% indicates overextension",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline (-26.8%), well below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), volatility 154% confirms dislocation",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Large 1d rise (+18.2%), far above MA200 (+36.8%) and MA50 (+14.3%), volatility 93% shows overbought condition",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EVD_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Notable 1d drop (-5.5%), significantly below MA200 (-22.5%) and MA50 (-5.5%), volatility 52% is moderate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "TRST_CFD.UK: Extreme 1d gain (+48%) with extreme volatility (305%) suggests binary event",
    "WLN_CFD.FR: Extreme deviation from MA200 (-87%) and MA50 (-76%) indicates distressed/structural issue",
    "CAR_CFD.US: Extreme volatility (9368%) and null MA200 data suggest unreliable signal",
    "ATG_CFD.UK: Extreme volatility (2872%) and null MA200 data indicate unreliable signal",
    "HPP_CFD.US: Non-EU symbol excluded per region constraint"
  ]
}