Arena run #872
meanrev-v1 • x-ai • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • US • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-26T18:28:26.246676+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-26T18:29:15.505368+00:00
duration_ms: 49257
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+19.5% above MA50 with +3.4% 1d change, high vol",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "PWR_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+18.5% above MA50, extreme deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 89
},
{
"symbol": "LULU_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.5% below MA50, significant deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 86
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"MSLH_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"LMP_CFD.UK",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"PAGE_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"RHIM_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"MOS_CFD.US",
"META_CFD.US",
"VST_CFD.US",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"NCLH_CFD.US",
"UAL_CFD.US",
"PWR_CFD.US",
"LULU_CFD.US",
"ANTO_CFD.UK"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score 92: -13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change, oversold opportunity",
"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score 89: -11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change, oversold opportunity",
"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold for potential mean reversion",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Profitable +258 PnL, strong performer, hold",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Minor loss -52, recent position, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Unrealized loss of -81, position underwater and no current mean-reversion buy signal evident",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss of -375 (-12.5%), clear underperformer, free slot for better opportunity",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Replace two losing UK positions (IWG, PAGE) with two high-score US oversold mean-reversion candidates (UAL, NCLH) to improve portfolio quality while adhering to max 10 positions, 2 buys/2 sells limit, fixed size 3000, and avoiding overtrading. Maintains gross leverage under 3.0x."
}Prompts & responses
#1707 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-26T18:28:26.273364+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 23.88, "change_1d_pct": -4.250200481154776, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.633157923289751, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9358119246278163, "volatility_20d_pct": 236.12122528317374, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 214.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.57455683003128, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.507879494597773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.77384329331672, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.89150861607771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 152.7, "change_1d_pct": -36.79635761589404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.61156091058385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.72721647345812, "volatility_20d_pct": 193.22753953431183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.2, "change_1d_pct": 0.4873294346978474, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.567353199768042, "volatility_20d_pct": 5122.525857900045, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 722.5, "change_1d_pct": -1.0951403148528382, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.628407265201648, "volatility_20d_pct": 2239.4661443465884, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "The Mosaic Company", "sector": "", "last_price": 31.14, "change_1d_pct": 3.3864541832669293, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.517814672936073, "volatility_20d_pct": 4137.377654101071, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "META_CFD.US", "name": "Meta Platforms Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 661.46, "change_1d_pct": -1.3055609435848492, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8260357664471085, "volatility_20d_pct": 5118.765206217737, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VST_CFD.US", "name": "Vistra Energy Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 158.65, "change_1d_pct": -5.2270011947431305, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.878446544884661, "volatility_20d_pct": 4530.365230302939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US", "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd", "sector": "", "last_price": 20.05, "change_1d_pct": -4.158699808795419, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.738552424218407, "volatility_20d_pct": 8004.424827870784, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US", "name": "United Airlines Holdings Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 95.43, "change_1d_pct": -5.025875796178337, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.940812778206624, "volatility_20d_pct": 6839.293685003367, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PWR_CFD.US", "name": "Quanta Services Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 563.08, "change_1d_pct": -0.3486417131227215, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.496058009769833, "volatility_20d_pct": 4344.4361931144, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LULU_CFD.US", "name": "Lululemon Athletica Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 172.85, "change_1d_pct": 1.6226703509906404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.544956757586611, "volatility_20d_pct": 4890.955908499361, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ANTO_CFD.UK", "name": "ANTOFAGASTA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3857.0, "change_1d_pct": -4.647713226205196, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.435178165276721, "volatility_20d_pct": 7339.925632858924, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+19.5% above MA50 with +3.4% 1d change, high vol",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "PWR_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+18.5% above MA50, extreme deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 89
},
{
"symbol": "LULU_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.5% below MA50, significant deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 86
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Non-US region",
"Insufficient |MA50 deviation| (<10%)",
"Stable price action"
]
}#1708 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-26T18:28:49.775361+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 249.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.78, "last_price": 39.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.2137531068765535, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T18:12:08.252730+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 72.36, "last_price": 73.18, "unrealized_pnl": 33.996683250414904, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.298, "last_price": 0.309, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 361.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 272.44, "unrealized_pnl": 258.8516746411481, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 96.44, "unrealized_pnl": 58.3509513742073, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.369, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1127.4099999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.138, "last_price": 9.03, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.6, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.4271844660194173, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1236.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.65, "last_price": 5.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.949152542372882, "avg_price": 177.0, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": -81.35593220339003, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KSS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.71, "last_price": 12.36, "unrealized_pnl": -82.61211644374542, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T18:12:08.252730+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 86.15, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 216.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MPT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.8, "last_price": 4.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.24, "last_price": 1.24, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": -375.4196563754853, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 27.2, "last_price": 25.25, "unrealized_pnl": -215.07352941176464, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.98, "last_price": 34.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 173.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 376.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.3557046979865772, "avg_price": 894.0, "last_price": 878.5, "unrealized_pnl": -52.013422818791945, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.35, "last_price": 1.3599999999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 98, "selection_reason": "+19.5% above MA50 with +3.4% 1d change, high vol"}, {"symbol": "PWR_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "+18.5% above MA50, extreme deviation"}, {"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 92, "selection_reason": "-13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change"}, {"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 89, "selection_reason": "-11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change"}, {"symbol": "LULU_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 86, "selection_reason": "-11.5% below MA50, significant deviation"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score 92: -13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change, oversold opportunity",
"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score 89: -11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change, oversold opportunity",
"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold for potential mean reversion",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Profitable +258 PnL, strong performer, hold",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable, hold",
"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Minor loss -52, recent position, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Unrealized loss of -81, position underwater and no current mean-reversion buy signal evident",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss of -375 (-12.5%), clear underperformer, free slot for better opportunity",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Replace two losing UK positions (IWG, PAGE) with two high-score US oversold mean-reversion candidates (UAL, NCLH) to improve portfolio quality while adhering to max 10 positions, 2 buys/2 sells limit, fixed size 3000, and avoiding overtrading. Maintains gross leverage under 3.0x."
}Selection logs
#840 • stage1 • 2026-03-26T18:28:49.772683+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+19.5% above MA50 with +3.4% 1d change, high vol",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "PWR_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "+18.5% above MA50, extreme deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% below MA50 with -5.0% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.7% below MA50 with -4.2% 1d change",
"mean_reversion_score": 89
},
{
"symbol": "LULU_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "-11.5% below MA50, significant deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 86
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Non-US region",
"Insufficient |MA50 deviation| (<10%)",
"Stable price action"
]
}