Arena run #865
meanrev-v1 • anthropic • anthropic/claude-opus-4.6 • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-26T10:11:44.579260+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-26T11:21:42.275301+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-26T11:22:28.236185+00:00
duration_ms: 45959
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-26T10:11:44.579260+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-16.6% 1d drop, only +1.8% from MA200 suggesting fair value nearby, -8.1% from MA50 creates reversion gap, vol 107% manageable",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-12.8% 1d drop, anchored near MA200 (+1.2%), -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-14.8% 1d drop, still +4.6% above MA200, -6.7% below MA50 gives reversion room, sharp single-day dislocation",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-7.7% 1d drop, +6.5% above MA200, now -2.3% below MA50, lower vol 83% reduces risk, clean pullback setup",
"mean_reversion_score": 72
},
{
"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% 1d drop from near both MAs (+3% MA200, +2.6% MA50), vol 93%, sharp dislocation from equilibrium zone",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"MSLH_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"PAGE_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"INVP_CFD.UK",
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"RHIM_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"RSW_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"TPK_CFD.UK",
"EMG_CFD.UK",
"PZC_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"IMI_CFD.UK",
"DOCS_CFD.UK",
"STJ_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"SMIN_CFD.UK",
"BC8_CFD.DE",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"HLAG_CFD.DE",
"BYW6_CFD.DE",
"TRST_CFD.UK",
"JBLU_CFD.US",
"III_CFD.UK",
"OSB_CFD.UK",
"MAB_CFD.UK",
"TFF_CFD.FR",
"KGF_CFD.UK",
"HLMA_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"IPO_CFD.UK",
"FRES_CFD.UK",
"GROW_CFD.UK",
"TTK_CFD.DE",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"RIO_CFD.UK",
"HIK_CFD.UK",
"FII_CFD.FR",
"ONTEX_CFD.BE",
"COFB_CFD.BE"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (82): -16.6% 1d drop near MA200 fair value, -8.1% below MA50 creates strong reversion gap",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Score 80: -12.8% 1d drop anchored near MA200, -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%",
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, awaiting reversion signal",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, recently opened, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, small position, hold",
"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Long-held position, flat, hold",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "+101 unrealized gain, positive momentum, hold",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold",
"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, candidate list confirms -13.9% 1d drop — hold for reversion bounce",
"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold",
"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold",
"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Deep -12.5% unrealized loss (avg 151.91 vs 132.9), no reversion signal, cutting loss to free capital and reduce position count toward max 10",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Stale position opened Feb 19, flat at entry price with no momentum catalyst, trimming to reduce position count toward max 10 limit",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is over the 10-position max at 14 active holdings. Selling PAGE (deep loss, no reversion) and OCDO (stale, flat) to reduce count to 12. Adding KGF and OSB — the two highest-scoring mean-reversion candidates with sharp single-day dislocations near long-term fair value. Net position count stays at 12; further trimming needed next run to reach max 10."
}Prompts & responses
#1693 • openrouter • anthropic/claude-opus-4.6 • 2026-03-26T11:21:42.320791+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 23.88, "change_1d_pct": -4.250200481154776, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.633157923289751, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9358119246278163, "volatility_20d_pct": 236.12122528317374, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 152.7, "change_1d_pct": -36.79635761589404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.61156091058385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.72721647345812, "volatility_20d_pct": 193.22753953431183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 108.4, "change_1d_pct": 4.230769230769238, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.40452119530135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.771484932749797, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.9832071461764, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.7, "change_1d_pct": -13.858093126385807, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9808107121248817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5905093876257723, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.73478468401771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2676.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5945330296127658, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.655603593859716, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.743599661176499, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40898907393799, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 65.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.501501501501501, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.08259339811949, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.14348468939509, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.2025974369199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "name": "ST JAMES'S PLACE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1280.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.836992681304062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.633703562254432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.669417974449299, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.87476157380789, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 202.6, "change_1d_pct": -7.741347905282336, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.460345885775287, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.3285905331046353, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.55854119558269, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BC8_CFD.DE", "name": "BECHTLE AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 28.2, "change_1d_pct": 14.355231143552306, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.10408554002388, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -20.543997493473064, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.68767290315448, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HLAG_CFD.DE", "name": "HAPAG-LLOYD AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 138.9, "change_1d_pct": 2.132352941176485, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.351948099062081, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.880042984255575, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.12149139569377, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYW6_CFD.DE", "name": "BayWa AG vNa", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.925, "change_1d_pct": -3.9408866995073955, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.660880845018216, "volatility_20d_pct": 4766.322917936193, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "name": "TRUSTPILOT AS", "sector": "", "last_price": 210.0, "change_1d_pct": 55.786350148367944, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.8628533375392164, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.498950902224088, "volatility_20d_pct": 304.2360318925346, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "name": "JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.88, "change_1d_pct": 20.197044334975377, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8448952333249835, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.2905329348290175, "volatility_20d_pct": 144.50400169983027, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "III_CFD.UK", "name": "3I GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2671.0, "change_1d_pct": -10.51926298157454, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.831306719702418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.692564904888517, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.38156995431726, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "name": "OSB GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 544.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.82051282051282, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2037008184198061, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.431783193394438, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.0803157010617, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TFF_CFD.FR", "name": "TFF Group", "sector": "", "last_price": 14.7, "change_1d_pct": -11.44578313253013, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.723674689748393, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.281015985715829, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.23743352409241, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 298.6, "change_1d_pct": -16.592178770949715, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.7661505198389493, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.10124743477527, "volatility_20d_pct": 106.76236046208503, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HLMA_CFD.UK", "name": "HALMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3658.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.478036175710599, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.890890613176584, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.8317338451695466, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.73890792125391, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.21, "change_1d_pct": 4.190528634361246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.46581454882838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.428944053991102, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.812071272284, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRES_CFD.UK", "name": "FRESNILLO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3190.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.969657843770168, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.257674050799505, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.062931445028749, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.03669749677886, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TTK_CFD.DE", "name": "TAKKT AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.5, "change_1d_pct": 6.11205432937183, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -44.32071269487751, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -23.290764821758415, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19590691139337, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RIO_CFD.UK", "name": "RIO TINTO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 6542.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.829240151640016, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.748490097292294, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.428264223271472, "volatility_20d_pct": 68.30362798960871, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "name": "HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1267.0, "change_1d_pct": -19.55555555555556, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.881851790845626, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.711709832205766, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.5956600941246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FII_CFD.FR", "name": "Lisi Group", "sector": "", "last_price": 53.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.394957983193278, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.231802814913095, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.6782579590084454, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.80425689628059, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE", "name": "Ontex Group NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.17, "change_1d_pct": 3.2178217821782207, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.05164852833213, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.501044160342289, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.82827774848938, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "COFB_CFD.BE", "name": "Cofinimmo SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 85.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.9900990099009799, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.84437864068324, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6958438205092898, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.11788549350604, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-16.6% 1d drop, only +1.8% from MA200 suggesting fair value nearby, -8.1% from MA50 creates reversion gap, vol 107% manageable",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-12.8% 1d drop, anchored near MA200 (+1.2%), -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-14.8% 1d drop, still +4.6% above MA200, -6.7% below MA50 gives reversion room, sharp single-day dislocation",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-7.7% 1d drop, +6.5% above MA200, now -2.3% below MA50, lower vol 83% reduces risk, clean pullback setup",
"mean_reversion_score": 72
},
{
"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% 1d drop from near both MAs (+3% MA200, +2.6% MA50), vol 93%, sharp dislocation from equilibrium zone",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"PAGE, CBG, IWG: -27% to -37% 1d drops too extreme, likely event/binary driven (earnings, profit warnings)",
"OCADO, TRST, MCG, BYW6: Volatility >200% 20d makes mean-reversion unreliable and position sizing dangerous",
"CRST, SPX, RSW, MAB, DLN: Large positive 1d moves (+10-25%) - momentum not reversion; shorting these is counter-trend",
"BYIT, III, HIK: Deep below both MAs suggesting structural downtrend, not mean-reversion setup",
"TTK, ONTEX, BC8: Far below MA200 (>25%) suggesting broken trend rather than temporary dislocation"
]
}#1694 • openrouter • anthropic/claude-opus-4.6 • 2026-03-26T11:22:06.635682+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 245.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 142.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.63, "last_price": 29.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 59.0, "last_price": 58.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 27.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEKB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.9, "last_price": 40.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 310.3, "last_price": 295.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 57.754999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 108.935, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.285, "last_price": 95.88499999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.496792254753295, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 3218.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CPAY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 321.845, "last_price": 317.015, "unrealized_pnl": -45.02167192282037, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 423.05499999999995, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CTT_CFD.PT", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.74, "last_price": 6.76, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6556291390728477, "avg_price": 1812.0, "last_price": 1812.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "qty": 48.0, "avg_price": 62.5, "last_price": 62.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5110.0, "last_price": 5940.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ELIOR_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2.4, "last_price": 2.378, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 55.55, "last_price": 53.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.905, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 395.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1199.4650000000001, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FME_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.38, "last_price": 38.14, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRE_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 49.156, "last_price": 47.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 254.566, "last_price": 251.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.772002362669817, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.0474905558553695, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 766.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.18726389638424, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": -138.5083713850837, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 177.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.57, "last_price": 4.5600000000000005, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 1815.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMT_CFD.PT", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.76, "last_price": 20.159, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 298.6, "last_price": 298.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LAND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 586.0, "last_price": 573.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LOPE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 157.02, "last_price": 152.77, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 82.99, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.208333333333333, "avg_price": 576.0, "last_price": 576.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSEG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 8510.0, "last_price": 8694.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.15, "last_price": 19.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LTA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.0, "last_price": 25.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 346.1, "last_price": 330.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T10:08:31.727705+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 820.0, "last_price": 808.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MNG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.0, "last_price": 278.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MTG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.27, "last_price": 25.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NRG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 145.86, "last_price": 152.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.24336288569975348, "avg_price": 12327.27, "last_price": 12327.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 78.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ORCL_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 153.02, "last_price": 150.49, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 544.0, "last_price": 524.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": -375.4196563754853, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PRU_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1030.0, "last_price": 1101.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "qty": 41.03967168262654, "avg_price": 73.1, "last_price": 73.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.2903225806451613, "avg_price": 2325.0, "last_price": 2325.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "qty": 9.696186166774403, "avg_price": 309.4, "last_price": 309.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T10:06:24.210601+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.7915567282321899, "avg_price": 3790.0000000000005, "last_price": 3790.0, "unrealized_pnl": -3.599583252399452e-13, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 89.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 708.0, "last_price": 708.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 783.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1615.0, "last_price": 1634.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1280.0, "last_price": 1220.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.436, "last_price": 17.66, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STZ_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 149.07, "last_price": 156.44, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 257.0, "last_price": 248.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.769, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 7.132, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 394.2, "last_price": 404.25, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2808.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 215.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZAL_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 21.078, "last_price": 20.775, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZION_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.99, "last_price": 57.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "-16.6% 1d drop, only +1.8% from MA200 suggesting fair value nearby, -8.1% from MA50 creates reversion gap, vol 107% manageable"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "-12.8% 1d drop, anchored near MA200 (+1.2%), -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "-14.8% 1d drop, still +4.6% above MA200, -6.7% below MA50 gives reversion room, sharp single-day dislocation"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 72, "selection_reason": "-7.7% 1d drop, +6.5% above MA200, now -2.3% below MA50, lower vol 83% reduces risk, clean pullback setup"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "-13.9% 1d drop from near both MAs (+3% MA200, +2.6% MA50), vol 93%, sharp dislocation from equilibrium zone"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (82): -16.6% 1d drop near MA200 fair value, -8.1% below MA50 creates strong reversion gap",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Score 80: -12.8% 1d drop anchored near MA200, -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%",
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, awaiting reversion signal",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, recently opened, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, small position, hold",
"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Long-held position, flat, hold",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "+101 unrealized gain, positive momentum, hold",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold",
"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat at entry, candidate list confirms -13.9% 1d drop — hold for reversion bounce",
"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Recently opened, flat, hold",
"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold for reversion",
"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat, hold",
"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Deep -12.5% unrealized loss (avg 151.91 vs 132.9), no reversion signal, cutting loss to free capital and reduce position count toward max 10",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Stale position opened Feb 19, flat at entry price with no momentum catalyst, trimming to reduce position count toward max 10 limit",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is over the 10-position max at 14 active holdings. Selling PAGE (deep loss, no reversion) and OCDO (stale, flat) to reduce count to 12. Adding KGF and OSB — the two highest-scoring mean-reversion candidates with sharp single-day dislocations near long-term fair value. Net position count stays at 12; further trimming needed next run to reach max 10."
}Selection logs
#833 • stage1 • 2026-03-26T11:22:06.632485+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-16.6% 1d drop, only +1.8% from MA200 suggesting fair value nearby, -8.1% from MA50 creates reversion gap, vol 107% manageable",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-12.8% 1d drop, anchored near MA200 (+1.2%), -8.4% below MA50 provides clear reversion target, lower vol 87%",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-14.8% 1d drop, still +4.6% above MA200, -6.7% below MA50 gives reversion room, sharp single-day dislocation",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-7.7% 1d drop, +6.5% above MA200, now -2.3% below MA50, lower vol 83% reduces risk, clean pullback setup",
"mean_reversion_score": 72
},
{
"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "-13.9% 1d drop from near both MAs (+3% MA200, +2.6% MA50), vol 93%, sharp dislocation from equilibrium zone",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"PAGE, CBG, IWG: -27% to -37% 1d drops too extreme, likely event/binary driven (earnings, profit warnings)",
"OCADO, TRST, MCG, BYW6: Volatility >200% 20d makes mean-reversion unreliable and position sizing dangerous",
"CRST, SPX, RSW, MAB, DLN: Large positive 1d moves (+10-25%) - momentum not reversion; shorting these is counter-trend",
"BYIT, III, HIK: Deep below both MAs suggesting structural downtrend, not mean-reversion setup",
"TTK, ONTEX, BC8: Far below MA200 (>25%) suggesting broken trend rather than temporary dislocation"
]
}