Arena run #843

meanrev-v1deepseekdeepseek/deepseek-chatEUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-25T10:07:27.710110+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-25T12:24:20.790918+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-25T12:24:48.283505+00:00
duration_ms: 27491
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-25T10:07:27.710110+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (24.85%) and volatility (158.47%) suggest potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (2.05%) and volatility (102.91%) indicate potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant daily change (11.57%) and volatility (54.89%) suggest mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (10.91%) and volatility (84.71%) indicate strong mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (3.46%) and volatility (73.84%) suggest mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "MSLH_CFD.UK",
    "LMP_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "PAG_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "BT_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "PZC_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "HWDN_CFD.UK",
    "LRE_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "BME_CFD.UK",
    "DCC_CFD.UK",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "STJ_CFD.UK",
    "TCAP_CFD.UK",
    "ABDN_CFD.UK",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "LTA_CFD.FR",
    "OSB_CFD.UK",
    "MAB_CFD.UK",
    "CABO_CFD.US",
    "KGF_CFD.UK",
    "HLMA_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "QDT_CFD.FR",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "GROW_CFD.UK",
    "CEN_CFD.FR",
    "KSS_CFD.US",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "SRP_CFD.UK",
    "HPP_CFD.US",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "HIK_CFD.UK",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "HHFA_CFD.DE",
    "XRAY_CFD.US",
    "WIZZ_CFD.UK",
    "INF_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": []
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Current portfolio positions show marginal unrealized losses or neutral performance. No clear improvement is identified by selling or buying additional positions. To adhere to the strategy's overtrading rules and avoid unnecessary churn, all positions are held."
}
Prompts & responses
#1660openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-03-25T12:24:20.842013+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 214.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.57455683003128, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.507879494597773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.77384329331672, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.89150861607771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "name": "BT GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.3, "change_1d_pct": 4.521404521404526, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.48931662093067, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.274676813493189, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.38992239372133, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -24.09927942353883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.798015594910993, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.03351041019402, "volatility_20d_pct": 148.96998448946707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.7, "change_1d_pct": -13.858093126385807, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9808107121248817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5905093876257723, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.73478468401771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 611.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.424242424242422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.4068944205071867, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.396619125545266, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.32350801127552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2676.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5945330296127658, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.655603593859716, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.743599661176499, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40898907393799, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 168.5, "change_1d_pct": -5.123873873873874, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.143264248764517, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.809133288189092, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.41578734735941, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4738.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.131868131868122, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2358165497191043, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.6950365081147445, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.79870451788292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 65.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.501501501501501, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.08259339811949, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.14348468939509, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.2025974369199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "name": "ST JAMES'S PLACE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1280.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.836992681304062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.633703562254432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.669417974449299, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.87476157380789, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "name": "TP ICAP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 280.0, "change_1d_pct": 12.676056338028175, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.459662807939169, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.616550990039862, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.88167277686827, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 202.6, "change_1d_pct": -7.741347905282336, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.460345885775287, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.3285905331046353, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.55854119558269, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", 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-4.003259651624735, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.404159470506396, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.626680192746645, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.60714028290116, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 298.6, "change_1d_pct": -16.592178770949715, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.7661505198389493, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.10124743477527, "volatility_20d_pct": 106.76236046208503, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HLMA_CFD.UK", "name": "HALMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3658.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.478036175710599, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.890890613176584, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.8317338451695466, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.73890792125391, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.21, "change_1d_pct": 4.190528634361246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.46581454882838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.428944053991102, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.812071272284, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "QDT_CFD.FR", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.4, "change_1d_pct": -3.7267080745341685, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.10520686261927, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.576202789258351, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.72548033286846, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CEN_CFD.FR", "name": "Groupe Crit SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 59.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.941176470588247, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.677141345119539, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.0022596880983854, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.89642657284126, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KSS_CFD.US", "name": "KOHLS CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.69, "change_1d_pct": 0.5546751188589605, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.556769846149948, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.251468411250666, "volatility_20d_pct": 143.73397179503831, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SRP_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 310.8, "change_1d_pct": 2.8457974851092027, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 39.79374126148558, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.383876574623253, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.94490281091494, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "name": "HUDSON PACIFIC PROPERTIES IN", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.84, "change_1d_pct": -3.1509121061359946, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -59.67992488314773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.394089193642696, "volatility_20d_pct": 184.7522103723787, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "name": "HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1267.0, "change_1d_pct": -19.55555555555556, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.881851790845626, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.711709832205766, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.5956600941246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.28, "change_1d_pct": -3.759398496240607, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 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-11.177186721330745, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.076766811090474, "volatility_20d_pct": 140.2617625831256, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "name": "WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 913.5, "change_1d_pct": -8.923230309072782, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.338442565282858, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.408324468102716, "volatility_20d_pct": 185.6607172574384, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "name": "INFORMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 756.4, "change_1d_pct": -14.492425955234012, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.927806304012677, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.84600805409979, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.53684626030801, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (24.85%) and volatility (158.47%) suggest potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (2.05%) and volatility (102.91%) indicate potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant daily change (11.57%) and volatility (54.89%) suggest mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (10.91%) and volatility (84.71%) indicate strong mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (3.46%) and volatility (73.84%) suggest mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Low volatility",
    "Insufficient price movement",
    "Unknown earnings dates",
    "Sector concentration constraints"
  ]
}
#1661openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-03-25T12:24:29.383482+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6220600162206003, "avg_price": 1849.5, "last_price": 1813.5, "unrealized_pnl": -58.39416058394161, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.184, "last_price": 0.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 21.873860736419978, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 134.0, "unrealized_pnl": -68.90266131972305, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.634999999999998, "last_price": 28.67, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.92, "last_price": 36.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.135135135135135, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 320.0, "unrealized_pnl": 243.24324324324323, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.129387474191328, "avg_price": 726.5, "last_price": 726.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 351.8, "unrealized_pnl": -102.14168039538696, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.63241566498643, "avg_price": 257.9, "last_price": 263.2, "unrealized_pnl": 61.65180302442821, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 204.0, "last_price": 203.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYW6_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3.005, "last_price": 2.94, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 2926.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1849.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.165, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2911.0, "last_price": 2852.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 100.9845998485231, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 422.705, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.857707509881424, "avg_price": 252.99999999999997, "last_price": 253.0, "unrealized_pnl": 3.370163173565693e-13, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 45.76, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 62.82722513089005, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 474.05, "last_price": 437.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 9.245000000000001, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 11.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.466300549176236, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 305.54168746879606, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 15.822784810126583, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.7051, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1275.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.600917431192661, "avg_price": 348.8, "last_price": 348.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "qty": 582.5242718446601, "avg_price": 5.15, "last_price": 5.5, "unrealized_pnl": 203.88349514563083, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.21083172147002, "avg_price": 129.25, "last_price": 131.3, "unrealized_pnl": 47.5822050290138, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.6, "last_price": 298.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.54715940430226, "avg_price": 181.3, "last_price": 181.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.34, "last_price": 20.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.72, "last_price": 23.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 42.61363636363636, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 553.5815365927725, "last_price": 544.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 59.24560595089197, "avg_price": 151.91000000000003, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 46.804028701202505, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1113.0, "last_price": 1078.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2550.0, "last_price": 2325.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.64, "last_price": 309.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 708.0, "last_price": 643.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 326.0869565217392, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 25.25, "unrealized_pnl": 2233.695652173914, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 81.30081300813009, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 2186.9918699187, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 97.45533297238767, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 98.75, "unrealized_pnl": 623.7141310232817, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.762376237623762, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 427.6, "last_price": 406.1, "unrealized_pnl": -150.84190832553787, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 220.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.2727272727272725, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2345.0, "last_price": 2308.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "High daily change (24.85%) and volatility (158.47%) suggest potential mean reversion."}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (2.05%) and volatility (102.91%) indicate potential mean reversion."}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "Significant daily change (11.57%) and volatility (54.89%) suggest mean reversion potential."}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "High daily change (10.91%) and volatility (84.71%) indicate strong mean reversion potential."}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (3.46%) and volatility (73.84%) suggest mean reversion."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Neutral position, no clear improvement from selling",
        "symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": []
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Current portfolio positions show marginal unrealized losses or neutral performance. No clear improvement is identified by selling or buying additional positions. To adhere to the strategy's overtrading rules and avoid unnecessary churn, all positions are held."
}
Selection logs
#822stage12026-03-25T12:24:29.381006+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (24.85%) and volatility (158.47%) suggest potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (2.05%) and volatility (102.91%) indicate potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant daily change (11.57%) and volatility (54.89%) suggest mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "High daily change (10.91%) and volatility (84.71%) indicate strong mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Moderate daily change (3.46%) and volatility (73.84%) suggest mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Low volatility",
    "Insufficient price movement",
    "Unknown earnings dates",
    "Sector concentration constraints"
  ]
}