Arena run #823

meanrev-v1deepseekdeepseek/deepseek-chatEUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-24T10:08:31.727705+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-24T12:03:52.988400+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-24T12:04:18.968411+00:00
duration_ms: 25978
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-24T10:08:31.727705+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Close to MA200 (-3.81%) and MA50 (-2.76%) with volatility at 113.75%, suggesting a potential bounce back.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (0.53%) and below MA50 (-4.98%) with volatility at 108.19%, indicating possible mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Proximity to MA200 (2.91%) and MA50 (0.68%) with low volatility (44.16%), suggesting stabilization and potential reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "MSLH_CFD.UK",
    "LMP_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "EL_CFD.US",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "PAG_CFD.UK",
    "TRST_CFD.UK",
    "SAFE_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "RSW_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "BT_CFD.UK",
    "ABCA_CFD.FR",
    "RTO_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "SYNT_CFD.UK",
    "MKS_CFD.UK",
    "EMG_CFD.UK",
    "MNG_CFD.UK",
    "PZC_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "HWDN_CFD.UK",
    "LRE_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "WLN_CFD.FR",
    "DCC_CFD.UK",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "TCAP_CFD.UK",
    "ABDN_CFD.UK",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "ABF_CFD.UK",
    "COTY_CFD.US"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": []
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio is currently well-balanced with a mix of positions showing positive unrealized PNL and others with marginal losses. Given the strategy's constraints on overtrading and the marginal improvements observed, the decision is to hold most positions. Two buys are initiated based on strong mean-reversion signals for MSLH_CFD.UK and UTG_CFD.UK, aligning with the strategy's focus on mean-reversion opportunities."
}
Prompts & responses
#1620openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-03-24T12:03:53.024918+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 214.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.57455683003128, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.507879494597773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.77384329331672, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.89150861607771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EL_CFD.US", "name": "Estee Lauder Companies Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 90.33, "change_1d_pct": 2.6360640836268434, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.8187045523275795, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.338711543458437, "volatility_20d_pct": 99.19134200361584, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 765.5, "change_1d_pct": -10.205278592375366, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.408973443523374, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.577486483281216, "volatility_20d_pct": 5056.817807070409, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "name": "TRUSTPILOT AS", "sector": "", "last_price": 232.0, "change_1d_pct": 61.672473867595826, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.39741201178823, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.68936044139103, "volatility_20d_pct": 298.764787023328, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "name": "BT GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.3, "change_1d_pct": 4.521404521404526, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.48931662093067, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.274676813493189, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.38992239372133, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABCA_CFD.FR", "name": "ABC Arbitrage", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.65, "change_1d_pct": 0.8928571428571619, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.9218886621976026, "volatility_20d_pct": 1448.3719623142763, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RTO_CFD.UK", "name": "RENTOKIL INITIAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 485.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.9102314514384515, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 26.79804861724766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.778329259840547, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.55166691955213, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "name": "SYNTHOMER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.05, "change_1d_pct": 54.850746268656714, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -60.840559744095415, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -40.45886640240379, "volatility_20d_pct": 547.5939414040645, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK", "name": "MARKS & SPENCER GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 346.1, "change_1d_pct": -7.43514308638672, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8050775687949234, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.7644562367007075, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.7533392971785, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNG_CFD.UK", "name": "M&G PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 279.6, "change_1d_pct": -11.937007874015737, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.6912374599800346, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.6737144159107595, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.15993052698488, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.7, "change_1d_pct": -13.858093126385807, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9808107121248817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5905093876257723, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.73478468401771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 611.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.424242424242422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.4068944205071867, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.396619125545266, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.32350801127552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2676.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5945330296127658, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.655603593859716, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.743599661176499, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40898907393799, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WLN_CFD.FR", "name": "Worldline SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.36, "change_1d_pct": 1.6949152542372836, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -84.34558001800258, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -71.50230356379525, "volatility_20d_pct": 430.2293240576396, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4738.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.131868131868122, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2358165497191043, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.6950365081147445, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.79870451788292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 65.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.501501501501501, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.08259339811949, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.14348468939509, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.2025974369199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "name": "TP ICAP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 267.0, "change_1d_pct": -4.642857142857137, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.3902501081437193, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.573639694073716, "volatility_20d_pct": 4223.6314021697435, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.2, "change_1d_pct": 0.4873294346978474, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.567353199768042, "volatility_20d_pct": 5122.525857900045, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 257.5, "change_1d_pct": -4.629629629629628, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.98457818422561, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.39493890244891583, "volatility_20d_pct": 5544.13069622931, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 722.5, "change_1d_pct": -1.0951403148528382, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.628407265201648, "volatility_20d_pct": 2239.4661443465884, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "name": "ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1887.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.0503503763301345, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.3299180327868827, "volatility_20d_pct": 2105.89979933895, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US", "name": "Coty Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.65, "change_1d_pct": -0.7490636704119868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.425644415069403, "volatility_20d_pct": 7661.46272234243, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Close to MA200 (-3.81%) and MA50 (-2.76%) with volatility at 113.75%, suggesting a potential bounce back.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (0.53%) and below MA50 (-4.98%) with volatility at 108.19%, indicating possible mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Proximity to MA200 (2.91%) and MA50 (0.68%) with low volatility (44.16%), suggesting stabilization and potential reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "High volatility exceeding typical thresholds for mean reversion strategies.",
    "Insufficient distance from moving averages to indicate clear reversion potential.",
    "Unknown sector information, making it difficult to avoid sector concentration."
  ]
}
#1621openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-03-24T12:04:00.846979+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6220600162206003, "avg_price": 1849.5, "last_price": 1751.5, "unrealized_pnl": -158.96188158961883, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.184, "last_price": 0.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 21.873860736419978, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 133.45, "unrealized_pnl": -80.93328472475429, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.634999999999998, "last_price": 28.67, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.92, "last_price": 36.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.135135135135135, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 320.0, "unrealized_pnl": 243.24324324324323, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.129387474191328, "avg_price": 726.5, "last_price": 726.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 361.4, "unrealized_pnl": -23.064250411861707, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.63241566498643, "avg_price": 257.9, "last_price": 263.2, "unrealized_pnl": 61.65180302442821, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 204.0, "last_price": 203.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYW6_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3.005, "last_price": 2.94, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 2926.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1849.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.165, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2911.0, "last_price": 2852.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 100.9845998485231, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 422.705, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.857707509881424, "avg_price": 252.99999999999997, "last_price": 253.0, "unrealized_pnl": 3.370163173565693e-13, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 45.76, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 62.82722513089005, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 474.05, "last_price": 437.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 9.245000000000001, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 11.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.466300549176236, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 305.54168746879606, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 15.822784810126583, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.7051, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1275.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.600917431192661, "avg_price": 348.8, "last_price": 348.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "qty": 582.5242718446601, "avg_price": 5.15, "last_price": 5.5, "unrealized_pnl": 203.88349514563083, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.21083172147002, "avg_price": 129.25, "last_price": 131.9, "unrealized_pnl": 61.50870406189568, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.6, "last_price": 298.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.54715940430226, "avg_price": 181.3, "last_price": 181.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.34, "last_price": 20.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.72, "last_price": 23.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.30681818181818, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 553.5815365927725, "last_price": 544.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 59.24560595089197, "avg_price": 151.91000000000003, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 46.804028701202505, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1113.0, "last_price": 1078.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2550.0, "last_price": 2325.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.64, "last_price": 309.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 708.0, "last_price": 643.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 326.0869565217392, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 27.2, "unrealized_pnl": 2869.565217391305, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 81.30081300813009, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 2186.9918699187, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 97.45533297238767, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 98.75, "unrealized_pnl": 623.7141310232817, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.821782178217823, "avg_price": 504.99999999999994, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 1.0130510292025192e-12, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 427.6, "last_price": 406.1, "unrealized_pnl": -150.84190832553787, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 220.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.2727272727272725, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2345.0, "last_price": 2308.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion."}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential."}, {"symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 68, "selection_reason": "Close to MA200 (-3.81%) and MA50 (-2.76%) with volatility at 113.75%, suggesting a potential bounce back."}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (0.53%) and below MA50 (-4.98%) with volatility at 108.19%, indicating possible mean reversion."}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 62, "selection_reason": "Proximity to MA200 (2.91%) and MA50 (0.68%) with low volatility (44.16%), suggesting stabilization and potential reversion."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PNL, no clear reason to sell.",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No unrealized PNL, no clear improvement in mean-reversion potential.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": []
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio is currently well-balanced with a mix of positions showing positive unrealized PNL and others with marginal losses. Given the strategy's constraints on overtrading and the marginal improvements observed, the decision is to hold most positions. Two buys are initiated based on strong mean-reversion signals for MSLH_CFD.UK and UTG_CFD.UK, aligning with the strategy's focus on mean-reversion opportunities."
}
Selection logs
#802stage12026-03-24T12:04:00.844518+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant distance from MA200 (-18.42%) combined with moderate volatility (102.91%) suggests potential mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Distance from MA200 (-23.93%) and MA50 (-3.69%) indicates oversold conditions, with volatility at 73.84% supporting mean reversion potential.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Close to MA200 (-3.81%) and MA50 (-2.76%) with volatility at 113.75%, suggesting a potential bounce back.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (0.53%) and below MA50 (-4.98%) with volatility at 108.19%, indicating possible mean reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Proximity to MA200 (2.91%) and MA50 (0.68%) with low volatility (44.16%), suggesting stabilization and potential reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "High volatility exceeding typical thresholds for mean reversion strategies.",
    "Insufficient distance from moving averages to indicate clear reversion potential.",
    "Unknown sector information, making it difficult to avoid sector concentration."
  ]
}