Arena run #791
meanrev-v1 • amazon • amazon/nova-premier-v1 • US • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-22T19:33:19.924969+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-22T19:33:39.760848+00:00
duration_ms: 19834
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Overextended 20d move with significant negative distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme negative 1d move with large volatility spike",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline with high volatility deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Oversold conditions with -31% 1d move",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Negative 1d performance with moderate distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 79
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"INVP_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"SVT_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"TPK_CFD.UK",
"SYNT_CFD.UK",
"EMG_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"LRE_CFD.UK",
"IMI_CFD.UK",
"STJ_CFD.UK",
"LIO_CFD.UK",
"OPTU_CFD.US",
"SMIN_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"MKS_CFD.UK",
"KGF_CFD.UK",
"SSE_CFD.UK",
"HAIN_CFD.US",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"IPR_CFD.PT",
"TTK_CFD.DE",
"IPO_CFD.UK",
"CO_CFD.FR",
"BME_CFD.UK",
"HPP_CFD.US",
"GROW_CFD.UK",
"BTRW_CFD.UK",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"OSB_CFD.UK",
"EXM_CFD.BE",
"AAF_CFD.UK",
"NXST_CFD.US",
"AAL_CFD.UK",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"CMBT_CFD.BE",
"III_CFD.UK",
"NRG_CFD.US",
"INF_CFD.UK",
"SOI_CFD.FR",
"EXPN_CFD.UK"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Highest mean reversion score among candidates",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong oversold conditions indicated",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant deviation from mean",
"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Underperforming position with negative unrealized PnL",
"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Maintaining core positions while adding two high-conviction mean-reversion trades. Exiting underperforming asset to free capital. Portfolio remains under max position limit (10/10) but adds diversity with UK real estate exposure. Gross leverage remains within 3x target."
}Prompts & responses
#1556 • openrouter • amazon/nova-premier-v1 • 2026-03-22T19:33:19.965150+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 108.4, "change_1d_pct": 4.230769230769238, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.40452119530135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.771484932749797, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.9832071461764, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVT_CFD.UK", "name": "SEVERN TRENT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3199.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.65794066317627, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.3531603549544, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.61991274616647, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.40757769219009, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -24.09927942353883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.798015594910993, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.03351041019402, "volatility_20d_pct": 148.96998448946707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "name": "SYNTHOMER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.05, "change_1d_pct": 54.850746268656714, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -60.840559744095415, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -40.45886640240379, "volatility_20d_pct": 547.5939414040645, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 215.2, "change_1d_pct": -0.6463527239150557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.219747060140353, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.663782514155023, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.75396598460024, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 611.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.424242424242422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.4068944205071867, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.396619125545266, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.32350801127552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2676.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5945330296127658, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.655603593859716, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.743599661176499, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40898907393799, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "name": "ST JAMES'S PLACE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1280.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.836992681304062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.633703562254432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.669417974449299, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.87476157380789, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.3, "change_1d_pct": -9.090909090909083, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -36.95288440553844, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -18.709354677338663, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.6568567850477, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 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-2.592492573588989, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.16685682262786994, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.2088381382512114, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.18292243780117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 309.6, "change_1d_pct": -14.143094841930115, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.598205649094723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.786156349988369, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.60870893174696, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SSE_CFD.UK", "name": "SSE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2684.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.18663680477790656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.063227728388853, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809869359272902, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.61489335463473, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "name": "The Hain Celestial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.62, "change_1d_pct": -8.823529411764708, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.170824555567876, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -35.06493506493508, "volatility_20d_pct": 139.0890190428703, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.21, "change_1d_pct": 4.190528634361246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.46581454882838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.428944053991102, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.812071272284, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT", "name": "Impresa SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.191, "change_1d_pct": -0.520833333333337, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.353544088914525, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.27151211361738925, "volatility_20d_pct": 210.8594986289793, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TTK_CFD.DE", "name": "TAKKT AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.356, "change_1d_pct": -4.61538461538461, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -48.557267159404795, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -30.072420752700946, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.03255073698537, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.173, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -52.95589275031273, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -21.691109904037653, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.59390138580153, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "name": "HUDSON PACIFIC PROPERTIES IN", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.8100000000000005, "change_1d_pct": -6.441223832528175, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -60.13899894687372, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.445369190356047, "volatility_20d_pct": 186.94316081293476, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "name": "Barratt Redrow Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 265.2, "change_1d_pct": -31.098986749805146, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -32.44281138781876, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.408415412599155, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.1852363778451, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 316.4, "change_1d_pct": 1.9329896907216426, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.036395062333752, "volatility_20d_pct": 3610.9502328075146, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "name": "OSB GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 558.5, "change_1d_pct": -10.568454763811053, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.9920567571329224, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.032210509384505, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.69536040288594, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "name": "EXMAR NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.16, "change_1d_pct": 1.8036072144288484, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.441865337935116, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5021148968666234, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.76491535356226, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AAF_CFD.UK", "name": "AIRTEL AFRICA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 358.8, "change_1d_pct": 8.137432188065109, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 32.952065740868704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.969883318017952, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.00587025546741, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXST_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 231.93, "change_1d_pct": -3.281901584653879, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.160688958144085, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.9676014466183611, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.08244923574242, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "name": "ANGLO AMERICAN PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2968.0, "change_1d_pct": -4.504504504504503, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.322966373523343, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.998590917205332, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.77410523457415, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 414.2, "change_1d_pct": 3.3949076385421773, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.06661738447647, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -25.9812840942679, "volatility_20d_pct": 5563.010447162194, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMBT_CFD.BE", "name": "Euronav", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.04, "change_1d_pct": -3.2154340836012874, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.20286979598327, "volatility_20d_pct": 3662.2062333013014, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "III_CFD.UK", "name": "3I GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2800.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.35451505016722, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.977669469349117, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.581042836974943, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.0404105556969, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NRG_CFD.US", "name": "NRG ENERGY INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 148.86, "change_1d_pct": -3.092246598528736, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.679359343708757, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.135672606068699, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.60750795729197, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "name": "INFORMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 756.4, "change_1d_pct": -14.492425955234012, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.927806304012677, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.84600805409979, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.53684626030801, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "name": "SOITEC", "sector": "", "last_price": 52.48, "change_1d_pct": -17.09320695102686, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 41.49545707373483, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 39.11265845668712, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.6247083028803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXPN_CFD.UK", "name": "EXPERIAN PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2754.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.199048374306095, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.2028857311516, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.3650303519421776, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.0169297118067, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Overextended 20d move with significant negative distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme negative 1d move with large volatility spike",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline with high volatility deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Oversold conditions with -31% 1d move",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Negative 1d performance with moderate distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 79
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Unknown earnings proximity",
"Insufficient volatility data",
"Extreme outlier moves >50%",
"Sector concentration limits"
]
}#1557 • openrouter • amazon/nova-premier-v1 • 2026-03-22T19:33:30.096573+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.807502467917079, "avg_price": 202.6, "last_price": 202.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 248.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADP_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 117.5, "last_price": 115.1, "unrealized_pnl": -61.276595744680996, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 97.455, "last_price": 107.67, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.129387474191328, "avg_price": 726.5, "last_price": 726.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1119.08, "last_price": 1067.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRNL_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.05, "last_price": 6.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 310.3, "last_price": 295.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 211.0, "last_price": 207.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 20.505809979494188, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 111.495, "unrealized_pnl": 535.7822410147995, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.165, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.3112582781456954, "avg_price": 1812.0, "last_price": 1812.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 46.329, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.355000000000004, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 37.303, "last_price": 35.843, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 42.790000000000006, "last_price": 41.445, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 2.6609662855571625, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1128.58, "unrealized_pnl": 3.113330554102074, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 29.709178385970056, "avg_price": 403.9155793573515, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 305.5416874687975, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GNRC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.66, "last_price": 198.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.8, "last_price": 0.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HELE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 15.94, "last_price": 15.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": -142.65436479772887, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.600917431192661, "avg_price": 348.8, "last_price": 348.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.7783375314861463, "avg_price": 794.0, "last_price": 794.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.7, "last_price": 57.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 82.85, "last_price": 78.75, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 177.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KBCA_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 75.3, "last_price": 75.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KEX_CFD.US", "qty": 24.390243902439025, "avg_price": 123.0, "last_price": 130.54, "unrealized_pnl": 183.90243902439005, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.6, "last_price": 298.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.300970873786408, "avg_price": 257.5, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 11.929, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.624734381640458, "avg_price": 282.36, "last_price": 282.36, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NXST_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 233.02, "last_price": 226.38, "unrealized_pnl": -85.48622435842437, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 558.5, "last_price": 544.0, "unrealized_pnl": -155.7743957027753, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 39.39490073936085, "avg_price": 152.3039755753258, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401843, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "REC_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 11.08, "last_price": 10.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2795.0, "last_price": 2550.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 315.64, "last_price": 309.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 813.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.079412564590699, "avg_price": 735.4, "last_price": 723.8, "unrealized_pnl": -47.3211857492522, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 326.0869565217392, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 27.2, "unrealized_pnl": 2869.565217391305, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.328975415660082, "avg_price": 562.96, "last_price": 562.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 97.56097560975611, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 2624.39024390244, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 64.97022198159178, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 101.7, "unrealized_pnl": 607.4715755278837, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UMG_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 19.085, "last_price": 18.665, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.821782178217823, "avg_price": 504.99999999999994, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 1.0130510292025192e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 427.6, "last_price": 406.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.4403669724770642, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 876.0, "unrealized_pnl": 13.761467889908257, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.279317697228145, "avg_price": 2345.0, "last_price": 2308.0, "unrealized_pnl": -47.33475479744136, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.56, "last_price": 1.52, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Overextended 20d move with significant negative distance from MA50"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "Extreme negative 1d move with large volatility spike"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline with high volatility deviation"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "Oversold conditions with -31% 1d move"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 79, "selection_reason": "Negative 1d performance with moderate distance from MA50"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Highest mean reversion score among candidates",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong oversold conditions indicated",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant deviation from mean",
"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Underperforming position with negative unrealized PnL",
"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Maintaining core positions while adding two high-conviction mean-reversion trades. Exiting underperforming asset to free capital. Portfolio remains under max position limit (10/10) but adds diversity with UK real estate exposure. Gross leverage remains within 3x target."
}Selection logs
#770 • stage1 • 2026-03-22T19:33:30.093678+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Overextended 20d move with significant negative distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme negative 1d move with large volatility spike",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1d decline with high volatility deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 82
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Oversold conditions with -31% 1d move",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Negative 1d performance with moderate distance from MA50",
"mean_reversion_score": 79
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Unknown earnings proximity",
"Insufficient volatility data",
"Extreme outlier moves >50%",
"Sector concentration limits"
]
}