Arena run #772

meanrev-v1x-aix-ai/grok-4.1-fastUSsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-21T19:00:56.931161+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-21T19:01:58.369152+00:00
duration_ms: 61436
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XRX_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Large dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HPP_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-24.4%), dist_ma200_pct (-60.1%), highest vol_20d_pct (187%), 1d_change (-6.4%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-18.7%), dist_ma200_pct (-37.0%), vol_20d_pct (128%), 1d_change (-9.1%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SFM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma200_pct (-24.0%), dist_ma50_pct (+13.1%), vol_20d_pct (89%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "MSLH_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "JDW_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "PAG_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "SAFE_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "SVT_CFD.UK",
    "RSW_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "PSN_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "EMG_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "HWDN_CFD.UK",
    "JMAT_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "DCC_CFD.UK",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "STJ_CFD.UK",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "XRX_CFD.US",
    "MNDI_CFD.UK",
    "MKS_CFD.UK",
    "MAB_CFD.UK",
    "RMV_CFD.UK",
    "SSE_CFD.UK",
    "HAIN_CFD.US",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "IPR_CFD.PT",
    "XFAB_CFD.FR",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "CO_CFD.FR",
    "BME_CFD.UK",
    "HPP_CFD.US",
    "GROW_CFD.UK",
    "WIZZ_CFD.UK",
    "OSB_CFD.UK",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "EXM_CFD.BE",
    "AML_CFD.UK",
    "AAF_CFD.UK",
    "NXST_CFD.US",
    "SFM_CFD.US",
    "III_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Top mean-reversion score (98), extreme oversold: dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%); clear buy signal superior to current holdings",
        "symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "High mean-reversion score (96), large oversold: dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%); strong US candidate for reversion",
        "symbol": "XRX_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain (+15.6 PNL); hold as reverting positively",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized loss (-82.6 PNL), non-US holding, recent position not showing strong reversion; rotate to higher conviction US oversold candidates to improve portfolio",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small unrealized gain (+34 PNL), slightly above avg price, non-US; take profit and rotate to extreme US mean-reversion opportunities",
        "symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "At max 10 positions and 3.0x leverage (~30k exposure). Executing 2 sells/2 buys to rotate non-US underperformers/small winners (BTRW loss, BEI small gain) into top US mean-reversion candidates (HAIN 98, XRX 96) with extreme oversold metrics. Maintains constraints, avoids overtrading by limiting to max per run, targets clear improvement in high-conviction oversold positions."
}
Prompts & responses
#1528openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-03-21T19:00:56.979594+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 140.8, "change_1d_pct": -21.340782122905022, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -35.829539923323594, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.769785769267145, "volatility_20d_pct": 8964.436666790389, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVT_CFD.UK", "name": "SEVERN TRENT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3199.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.65794066317627, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.3531603549544, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.61991274616647, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.40757769219009, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "name": "PERSIMMON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1194.5, "change_1d_pct": -22.131681877444585, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.28811838057509, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.815159383151753, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.02371981460591, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -24.09927942353883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.798015594910993, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.03351041019402, "volatility_20d_pct": 148.96998448946707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "name": "JOHNSON MATTHEY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1921.0, "change_1d_pct": -15.523306948109061, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.5989307920274207, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.67077367201248, "volatility_20d_pct": 123.66479524785584, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2676.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5945330296127658, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.655603593859716, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.743599661176499, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40898907393799, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4738.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.131868131868122, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2358165497191043, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.6950365081147445, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.79870451788292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 65.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.501501501501501, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.08259339811949, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.14348468939509, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.2025974369199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "name": "ST JAMES'S PLACE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1280.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.836992681304062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.633703562254432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.669417974449299, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.87476157380789, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.3, "change_1d_pct": -9.090909090909083, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -36.95288440553844, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -18.709354677338663, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.6568567850477, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "name": "Xerox Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.41, "change_1d_pct": -7.843137254901967, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -58.53185106758426, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -30.2739590544951, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.04334057422258, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.4, "change_1d_pct": -11.741314357471754, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.64977338017106, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.047009273509417, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.77469967844657, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK", "name": "MARKS & SPENCER GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 360.7, "change_1d_pct": -2.592492573588989, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.16685682262786994, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.2088381382512114, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.18292243780117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "name": "RIGHTMOVE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 450.28, "change_1d_pct": 0.6054918783653829, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -33.48983045652627, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.109535523374445, "volatility_20d_pct": 143.04954184666826, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SSE_CFD.UK", "name": "SSE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2684.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.18663680477790656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.063227728388853, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809869359272902, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.61489335463473, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "name": "The Hain Celestial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.62, "change_1d_pct": -8.823529411764708, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.170824555567876, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -35.06493506493508, "volatility_20d_pct": 139.0890190428703, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.21, "change_1d_pct": 4.190528634361246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.46581454882838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.428944053991102, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.812071272284, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT", "name": "Impresa SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.191, "change_1d_pct": -0.520833333333337, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.353544088914525, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.27151211361738925, "volatility_20d_pct": 210.8594986289793, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "XFAB_CFD.FR", "name": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.71, "change_1d_pct": 1.7718236819360467, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.040031352650278, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.6312307743194485, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.28253651370139, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.173, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -52.95589275031273, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -21.691109904037653, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.59390138580153, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "name": "HUDSON PACIFIC PROPERTIES IN", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.8100000000000005, "change_1d_pct": -6.441223832528175, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -60.13899894687372, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.445369190356047, "volatility_20d_pct": 186.94316081293476, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "name": "WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 900.0, "change_1d_pct": -11.725761365308218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.904481629612807, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -26.44633475547983, "volatility_20d_pct": 182.30110592007236, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "name": "OSB GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 558.5, "change_1d_pct": -10.568454763811053, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.9920567571329224, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.032210509384505, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.69536040288594, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "name": "EXMAR NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.16, "change_1d_pct": 1.8036072144288484, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.441865337935116, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5021148968666234, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.76491535356226, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "name": "ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL", "sector": "", "last_price": 37.85, "change_1d_pct": -16.2054460925393, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -44.07096854749276, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.890405634471907, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.17359169788418, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AAF_CFD.UK", "name": "AIRTEL AFRICA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 358.8, "change_1d_pct": 8.137432188065109, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 32.952065740868704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.969883318017952, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.00587025546741, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXST_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 231.93, "change_1d_pct": -3.281901584653879, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.160688958144085, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.9676014466183611, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.08244923574242, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 83.72, "change_1d_pct": 1.2701100762066098, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.9500897483413, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.109456231558237, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.8143851993528, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "III_CFD.UK", "name": "3I GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2800.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.35451505016722, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.977669469349117, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.581042836974943, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.0404105556969, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XRX_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Large dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HPP_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-24.4%), dist_ma200_pct (-60.1%), highest vol_20d_pct (187%), 1d_change (-6.4%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-18.7%), dist_ma200_pct (-37.0%), vol_20d_pct (128%), 1d_change (-9.1%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SFM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma200_pct (-24.0%), dist_ma50_pct (+13.1%), vol_20d_pct (89%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "dist_ma50_pct deviation <15%",
    "vol_20d_pct <80%",
    "insufficient 1d price move for reversion signal"
  ]
}
#1529openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-03-21T19:01:23.503750+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 249.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.78, "last_price": 39.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "qty": 41.459369817578775, "avg_price": 72.36, "last_price": 73.18, "unrealized_pnl": 33.996683250414904, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.298, "last_price": 0.309, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 361.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.312217194570136, "avg_price": 265.2, "last_price": 257.9, "unrealized_pnl": -82.57918552036213, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 96.44, "unrealized_pnl": 58.3509513742073, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.369, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1127.4099999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.138, "last_price": 9.03, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.63, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1275.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.59, "last_price": 7.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 86.15, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 216.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MPT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.8, "last_price": 4.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401397, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.48, "unrealized_pnl": 13.043478260869868, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.76329331046313, "avg_price": 34.98, "last_price": 34.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 173.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 376.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 976.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.56, "last_price": 1.48, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 98, "selection_reason": "Extreme dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%)"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 96, "selection_reason": "Large dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%)"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 94, "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-24.4%), dist_ma200_pct (-60.1%), highest vol_20d_pct (187%), 1d_change (-6.4%)"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-18.7%), dist_ma200_pct (-37.0%), vol_20d_pct (128%), 1d_change (-9.1%)"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "dist_ma200_pct (-24.0%), dist_ma50_pct (+13.1%), vol_20d_pct (89%)"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Top mean-reversion score (98), extreme oversold: dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%); clear buy signal superior to current holdings",
        "symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "High mean-reversion score (96), large oversold: dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%); strong US candidate for reversion",
        "symbol": "XRX_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain (+15.6 PNL); hold as reverting positively",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, stable; hold to avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized loss (-82.6 PNL), non-US holding, recent position not showing strong reversion; rotate to higher conviction US oversold candidates to improve portfolio",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small unrealized gain (+34 PNL), slightly above avg price, non-US; take profit and rotate to extreme US mean-reversion opportunities",
        "symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "At max 10 positions and 3.0x leverage (~30k exposure). Executing 2 sells/2 buys to rotate non-US underperformers/small winners (BTRW loss, BEI small gain) into top US mean-reversion candidates (HAIN 98, XRX 96) with extreme oversold metrics. Maintains constraints, avoids overtrading by limiting to max per run, targets clear improvement in high-conviction oversold positions."
}
Selection logs
#761stage12026-03-21T19:01:23.500579+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme dist_ma50_pct (-35.1%), dist_ma200_pct (-54.2%), high vol_20d_pct (139%), 1d_change (-8.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "XRX_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Large dist_ma50_pct (-30.3%), dist_ma200_pct (-58.5%), vol_20d_pct (131%), 1d_change (-7.8%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 96
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HPP_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-24.4%), dist_ma200_pct (-60.1%), highest vol_20d_pct (187%), 1d_change (-6.4%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 94
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma50_pct (-18.7%), dist_ma200_pct (-37.0%), vol_20d_pct (128%), 1d_change (-9.1%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SFM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "dist_ma200_pct (-24.0%), dist_ma50_pct (+13.1%), vol_20d_pct (89%)",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "dist_ma50_pct deviation <15%",
    "vol_20d_pct <80%",
    "insufficient 1d price move for reversion signal"
  ]
}