Arena run #742
meanrev-v1 • x-ai • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-20T14:34:56.294624+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-20T14:35:48.969211+00:00
duration_ms: 52673
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) and far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 100
},
{
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d gain (+24.9%) far above MA50 (+17.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+18.2%) far above MA50 (+14.3%) and MA200 (+36.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+10.9%) above MA50 (+8.5%) and MA200 (+15.9%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"RHIM_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"RSW_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"CCL_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"LRE_CFD.UK",
"CPG_CFD.UK",
"BME_CFD.UK",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"CF_CFD.US"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Oversold: significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%), score 80; clear mean-reversion buy opportunity",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Positive PnL (+40); no strong sell signal, hold for continuation",
"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion candidate (score 100, extreme 1d drop -26.6% below MAs); strong hold",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive PnL (+16); no strong sell signal, hold",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Negative PnL (-23), last price below avg; marginal performance, reallocating to higher conviction mean-reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Negative PnL (-35), last price below avg; underperformer, reallocating to higher conviction mean-reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Sold 2 underperforming positions with losses to fund 1 high-conviction oversold buy (ESNT), replacing marginal holdings with clear improvement. Held stable/positive positions including top candidate CBG. Maintains 9 positions (<10 max), respects max 2 sells/2 buys, avoids overtrading, keeps gross leverage <=3.0."
}Prompts & responses
#1468 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-20T14:34:56.313256+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 95.5, "change_1d_pct": -11.900369003690036, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.3770131535859855, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.2917268350774465, "volatility_20d_pct": 6240.729897045604, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1812.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.219662058371734, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.516182676819012, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.053563926444004, "volatility_20d_pct": 7353.720365167649, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 23.88, "change_1d_pct": -7.153965785381022, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.776450644419935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5778593931633935, "volatility_20d_pct": 15994.26624420948, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "name": "CARNIVAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1921.5, "change_1d_pct": -6.541828793774318, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.683615213991775, "volatility_20d_pct": 5150.407605401003, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.2, "change_1d_pct": 0.4873294346978474, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.567353199768042, "volatility_20d_pct": 5122.525857900045, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.3, "change_1d_pct": -5.852534562211975, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.74296007004722, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.014745505656641, "volatility_20d_pct": 7390.803402578159, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 611.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.424242424242422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.4068944205071867, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.396619125545266, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.32350801127552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2287.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.823937554206422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.8011537977172374, "volatility_20d_pct": 2808.1897930853006, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 187.88, "change_1d_pct": 1.0107526881720341, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.318666981973787, "volatility_20d_pct": 3503.713036055361, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 316.4, "change_1d_pct": 1.9329896907216426, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.036395062333752, "volatility_20d_pct": 3610.9502328075146, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CF_CFD.US", "name": "CF Industries Holdings Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 97.16, "change_1d_pct": 1.0609527771999083, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.562182562106349, "volatility_20d_pct": 3467.4527549275817, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) and far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 100
},
{
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d gain (+24.9%) far above MA50 (+17.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+18.2%) far above MA50 (+14.3%) and MA200 (+36.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+10.9%) above MA50 (+8.5%) and MA200 (+15.9%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Small 1d price change",
"Insufficient deviation from MA50",
"Low absolute distance from moving averages"
]
}#1469 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-20T14:35:08.152366+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 249.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.78, "last_price": 39.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "qty": 41.459369817578775, "avg_price": 72.36, "last_price": 73.328, "unrealized_pnl": 40.1326699834164, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.298, "last_price": 0.309, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 361.4, "unrealized_pnl": -23.064250411861707, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 96.44, "unrealized_pnl": 58.3509513742073, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.369, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1127.4099999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 328.29940906106367, "avg_price": 9.138, "last_price": 9.03, "unrealized_pnl": -35.45633617859505, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.8, "last_price": 0.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1275.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.59, "last_price": 7.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 86.15, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 216.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MPT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.8, "last_price": 4.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401397, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.48, "unrealized_pnl": 13.043478260869868, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.76329331046313, "avg_price": 34.98, "last_price": 34.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 173.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 376.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 976.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.56, "last_price": 1.48, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 100, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) and far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%)"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1d gain (+24.9%) far above MA50 (+17.8%)"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+18.2%) far above MA50 (+14.3%) and MA200 (+36.8%)"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+10.9%) above MA50 (+8.5%) and MA200 (+15.9%)"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%)"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Oversold: significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%), score 80; clear mean-reversion buy opportunity",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Positive PnL (+40); no strong sell signal, hold for continuation",
"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion candidate (score 100, extreme 1d drop -26.6% below MAs); strong hold",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive PnL (+16); no strong sell signal, hold",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable; no clear sell signal",
"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Negative PnL (-23), last price below avg; marginal performance, reallocating to higher conviction mean-reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Negative PnL (-35), last price below avg; underperformer, reallocating to higher conviction mean-reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Sold 2 underperforming positions with losses to fund 1 high-conviction oversold buy (ESNT), replacing marginal holdings with clear improvement. Held stable/positive positions including top candidate CBG. Maintains 9 positions (<10 max), respects max 2 sells/2 buys, avoids overtrading, keeps gross leverage <=3.0."
}Selection logs
#731 • stage1 • 2026-03-20T14:35:08.149861+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d drop (-26.6%) and far below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 100
},
{
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1d gain (+24.9%) far above MA50 (+17.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 95
},
{
"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+18.2%) far above MA50 (+14.3%) and MA200 (+36.8%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Strong 1d gain (+10.9%) above MA50 (+8.5%) and MA200 (+15.9%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1d drop (-11.9%) below MA50 (-3.3%) and MA200 (-5.4%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Small 1d price change",
"Insufficient deviation from MA50",
"Low absolute distance from moving averages"
]
}