Arena run #717

meanrev-v1mistralaimistralai/mistral-large-2512EUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-19T11:49:00.619243+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-19T11:49:26.320748+00:00
duration_ms: 25698
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1-day reversal (+24.85%), far above MA50 (+17.83%), high volatility (158.47%), likely overextended short-term.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%), now below MA50 (-14.65%), high volatility (96.48%), potential oversold bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), mean-reversion candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STM_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-5.69%), far below MA50 (-19.09%), high volatility (67.18%), oversold relative to moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.20%), far below MA50 (-24.59%), high volatility (104.82%), potential bounce from oversold levels.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "WTB_CFD.UK",
    "JDW_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "CTT_CFD.PT",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "SOI_CFD.FR",
    "SGRO_CFD.UK",
    "EMG_CFD.UK",
    "ABDN_CFD.UK",
    "PBB_CFD.DE",
    "AAL_CFD.UK",
    "ENR_CFD.DE",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "SON_CFD.PT",
    "SRT3_CFD.DE",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "STM_CFD.DE",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "IFX_CFD.DE",
    "DUE_CFD.DE",
    "OPM_CFD.FR",
    "PAT_CFD.DE",
    "JUN3_CFD.DE",
    "BAMNB_CFD.NL",
    "INH_CFD.DE",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "FR_CFD.FR",
    "HYQ_CFD.DE",
    "FRVIA_CFD.FR",
    "AYV_CFD.FR",
    "JCQ_CFD.FR",
    "BDT_CFD.DE",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "JMT_CFD.PT",
    "BARC_CFD.UK",
    "WIX_CFD.UK",
    "BESI_CFD.NL",
    "KBX_CFD.DE",
    "BAS_CFD.DE",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "EGL_CFD.PT",
    "BME_CFD.UK",
    "BEI_CFD.DE",
    "EXM_CFD.BE"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%) with high volatility (96.48%), oversold relative to MA50 (-14.65%), strong mean-reversion candidate.",
        "symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), potential mean-reversion bounce.",
        "symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (72.49), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Recent strong reversal already reflected in portfolio; holding to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (177.53), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (101.85), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (74.59), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong positive unrealized PnL (960.98), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (141.31), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Negative unrealized PnL (-46.15) with no recent price improvement, marginal loss position.",
        "symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, stagnant position with no reversion signal.",
        "symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focused on mean-reversion opportunities with high volatility and clear oversold signals. Sold marginal loss positions (STJ_CFD.UK, WKP_CFD.UK) to free up capital for stronger candidates (AAL_CFD.UK, SOI_CFD.FR). Held positions with positive PnL or no clear sell signal to avoid overtrading. Adhered to max 2 buys/sells per run and fixed position size of 3000 EUR."
}
Prompts & responses
#1418openroutermistralai/mistral-large-25122026-03-19T11:49:00.658900+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "name": "WHITBREAD PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2691.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.659751037344401, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.969827496214986, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.069507041577781, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.61035263352142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CTT_CFD.PT", "name": "CTT Correios de Portugal SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.74, "change_1d_pct": -1.027900146842886, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.600034272984313, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.056939501779366, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.50804863582498, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "name": "SOITEC", "sector": "", "last_price": 58.44, "change_1d_pct": -6.406149903907754, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 57.5930652579292, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 56.731488707769785, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.65744009200824, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 789.8, "change_1d_pct": 5.166444740346199, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.137238395282736, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.124180991500651, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.28658783635437, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 215.2, "change_1d_pct": -0.6463527239150557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.219747060140353, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.663782514155023, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.75396598460024, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PBB_CFD.DE", "name": "DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.826, "change_1d_pct": -0.17661603673613246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.20253344290933, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -25.028651470775507, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.41158206484441, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "name": "ANGLO AMERICAN PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2917.0, "change_1d_pct": -9.40993788819876, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.592433370025218, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.648679980536272, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.48440980552296, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ENR_CFD.DE", "name": "SIEMENS ENERGY AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 144.55, "change_1d_pct": -1.98405164230111, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 27.43747309696203, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.4877929250643147, "volatility_20d_pct": 100.71407605132276, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.44, "change_1d_pct": 0.6993006993007089, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.485155684286745, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.86902698687794, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.59489853690494, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 65.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.501501501501501, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.08259339811949, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.14348468939509, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.2025974369199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SON_CFD.PT", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.8639999999999999, "change_1d_pct": -3.818369453044379, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 24.974019617702847, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.2926997245179086, "volatility_20d_pct": 53.14142319218139, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SRT3_CFD.DE", "name": "SARTORIUS AG-VORZUG", "sector": "", "last_price": 211.481, "change_1d_pct": 2.7659398704498406, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.818641505865662, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.727537579273893, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.06713361577874, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "name": "STABILUS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 15.28, "change_1d_pct": -5.690655474632777, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -31.249723007923603, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.092822982721458, "volatility_20d_pct": 67.18192766585815, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IFX_CFD.DE", "name": "INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 37.723, "change_1d_pct": -4.720650636492218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.167044729600476, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.914807605929022, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.74754451039385, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DUE_CFD.DE", "name": "DUERR AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 18.572, "change_1d_pct": -2.2526315789473728, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.016090269215942, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.510058069863277, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.63567658964466, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPM_CFD.FR", "name": "OPmobility", "sector": "", "last_price": 14.07, "change_1d_pct": -3.3653846153846145, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.9741762188111736, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.805289936354669, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.56983186296249, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAT_CFD.DE", "name": "PATRIZIA AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 7.113, "change_1d_pct": -2.6016705463508094, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.505290562911782, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.339075373627328, "volatility_20d_pct": 66.59621989003965, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 28.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.6810478187630928, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.152665867638149, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.199609738020715, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.09475568748597, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BAMNB_CFD.NL", "name": "Royal BAM Group NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.235, "change_1d_pct": 7.259001161440182, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 25.497966008872485, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.7478799557633327, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.00421721263548, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INH_CFD.DE", "name": "Indus Holding AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.595, "change_1d_pct": -3.9572601976889943, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.830815113029056, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.14468025247407, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.838980003206856, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2774.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.7583081570997, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 25.227479847754264, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.661876238540865, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.69330898337377, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FR_CFD.FR", "name": "Valeo S.A.", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.435, "change_1d_pct": 1.527534539793729, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.7262534637736, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.05412890818982, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.91345418962405, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HYQ_CFD.DE", "name": "HYPOPORT SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 82.3, "change_1d_pct": 4.707379134860057, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.95816010418051, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.41228001143, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.16536187138387, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "name": "FORVIA SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.704, "change_1d_pct": 1.0412328196584886, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.877293891134602, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -25.14297968585353, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.52745179605974, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AYV_CFD.FR", "name": "AYVENS", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.885, "change_1d_pct": 2.75467775467777, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.923720161220901, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.80451887677759, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.36446158691075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JCQ_CFD.FR", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 20.638, "change_1d_pct": -6.615384615384611, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.2803164772542388, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.488728412680159, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.94827968868113, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BDT_CFD.DE", "name": "Bertrandt AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 16.8, "change_1d_pct": -4.977375565610853, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.65349328835682, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.435622204229144, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.9193797076092, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.21, "change_1d_pct": 4.190528634361246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.46581454882838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.428944053991102, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.812071272284, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JMT_CFD.PT", "name": "Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 20.86, "change_1d_pct": -7.28888888888889, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2756314798219703, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.9443056271801975, "volatility_20d_pct": 41.97995546507682, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BARC_CFD.UK", "name": "BARCLAYS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 387.05, "change_1d_pct": -0.025829781738340163, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.070147140358471, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.299970063392077, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.97396535754493, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "name": "WICKES GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 226.5, "change_1d_pct": 5.841121495327095, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.152450548306668, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8752318126188152, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.79521770239528, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BESI_CFD.NL", "name": "BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 181.35, "change_1d_pct": -3.7931034482758696, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.39196525515744, "volatility_20d_pct": 5143.441723560482, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KBX_CFD.DE", "name": "KNORR-BREMSE AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 97.491, "change_1d_pct": -2.3625438157235834, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.9958060526436725, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.689854851510201, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.6413564634142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BAS_CFD.DE", "name": "BASF SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 46.7, "change_1d_pct": -3.296612275325106, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.694013251078655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 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"volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EGL_CFD.PT", "name": "Mota-Engil SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.198, "change_1d_pct": -5.958781362007171, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.936963643594869, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.384323514311113, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.50598304949317, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "name": "BEIERSDORF AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 72.36, "change_1d_pct": -6.19652579725175, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.035306386170532, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.589447066398186, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.82187206907486, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "name": "EXMAR NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.960432838518129, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1373163131337183, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.36969174064711, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1-day reversal (+24.85%), far above MA50 (+17.83%), high volatility (158.47%), likely overextended short-term.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%), now below MA50 (-14.65%), high volatility (96.48%), potential oversold bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), mean-reversion candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STM_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-5.69%), far below MA50 (-19.09%), high volatility (67.18%), oversold relative to moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.20%), far below MA50 (-24.59%), high volatility (104.82%), potential bounce from oversold levels.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "No earnings date confirmation (unknown risk)",
    "Insufficient volatility for mean-reversion horizon",
    "Neutral or unclear distance from moving averages",
    "Sector concentration (only one per sector selected)"
  ]
}
#1419openroutermistralai/mistral-large-25122026-03-19T11:49:10.183241+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 138.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.0, "unrealized_pnl": 72.48764415156516, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.496792254753295, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 112.12, "last_price": 107.655, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.353, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 9.933, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 144.35, "unrealized_pnl": 177.5323770040723, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.488766849725412, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.84722915626534, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1408.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.772002362669817, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.216216216216218, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 74.59459459459451, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1976.9999999999998, "last_price": 1964.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 29.36857562408223, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.26, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 151.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.3076923076923075, "avg_price": 1300.0, "last_price": 1280.0, "unrealized_pnl": -46.153846153846146, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.34, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 48.78048780487805, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 204.2, "unrealized_pnl": 960.9756097560957, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 96.7, "unrealized_pnl": 141.3102328099624, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 425.0, "last_price": 421.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 385.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 222.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.2727272727272725, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Strong 1-day reversal (+24.85%), far above MA50 (+17.83%), high volatility (158.47%), likely overextended short-term."}, {"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%), now below MA50 (-14.65%), high volatility (96.48%), potential oversold bounce."}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), mean-reversion candidate."}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-5.69%), far below MA50 (-19.09%), high volatility (67.18%), oversold relative to moving averages."}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.20%), far below MA50 (-24.59%), high volatility (104.82%), potential bounce from oversold levels."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%) with high volatility (96.48%), oversold relative to MA50 (-14.65%), strong mean-reversion candidate.",
        "symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), potential mean-reversion bounce.",
        "symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (72.49), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Recent strong reversal already reflected in portfolio; holding to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (177.53), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (101.85), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (74.59), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, but no sell signal; holding for potential reversion.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong positive unrealized PnL (960.98), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (141.31), still within mean-reversion range, no urgent sell signal.",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Negative unrealized PnL (-46.15) with no recent price improvement, marginal loss position.",
        "symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement since opening, stagnant position with no reversion signal.",
        "symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focused on mean-reversion opportunities with high volatility and clear oversold signals. Sold marginal loss positions (STJ_CFD.UK, WKP_CFD.UK) to free up capital for stronger candidates (AAL_CFD.UK, SOI_CFD.FR). Held positions with positive PnL or no clear sell signal to avoid overtrading. Adhered to max 2 buys/sells per run and fixed position size of 3000 EUR."
}
Selection logs
#706stage12026-03-19T11:49:10.178494+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong 1-day reversal (+24.85%), far above MA50 (+17.83%), high volatility (158.47%), likely overextended short-term.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day drop (-9.41%), now below MA50 (-14.65%), high volatility (96.48%), potential oversold bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.41%) after extended run above MA200 (+57.59%), high volatility (154.66%), mean-reversion candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STM_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-5.69%), far below MA50 (-19.09%), high volatility (67.18%), oversold relative to moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-6.20%), far below MA50 (-24.59%), high volatility (104.82%), potential bounce from oversold levels.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "No earnings date confirmation (unknown risk)",
    "Insufficient volatility for mean-reversion horizon",
    "Neutral or unclear distance from moving averages",
    "Sector concentration (only one per sector selected)"
  ]
}