Arena run #685

meanrev-v1anthropicanthropic/claude-opus-4.6EUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-17T11:29:50.074958+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-17T11:30:44.561276+00:00
duration_ms: 54485
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -15.5% 1d drop; still +8.5% above MA200 suggesting no structural break; MA50 dist -5.9%; vol 116% manageable; bounce candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-8.5% 1d selloff; MA50 dist -3.2% with MA200 still +7.3%; vol 84% moderate; clean mean-reversion setup to MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 74
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE",
      "selection_reason": "MA50 dist -10.1%, MA200 dist -13.3%; low vol 65% supports cleaner reversion; extended below both MAs without extreme 1d move",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-5.4% 1d drop; MA50 dist -4.7% while MA200 dist +4.8%; vol 83% moderate; pullback within uptrend, reversion to MA50 expected",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "-4.6% 1d drop; MA50 dist -10.5% while near MA200 (+3%); vol 78% lowest tier; oversold relative to MA50, reversion candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "WTB_CFD.UK",
    "JDW_CFD.UK",
    "TRN_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "KGF_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "SGRO_CFD.UK",
    "OVH_CFD.FR",
    "EMG_CFD.UK",
    "ABDN_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "LRE_CFD.UK",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "VTY_CFD.UK",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "ATO_CFD.FR",
    "JEN_CFD.DE",
    "MAB_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "VSVS_CFD.UK",
    "NA9_CFD.DE",
    "PBB_CFD.DE",
    "INTC_CFD.US",
    "OSB_CFD.UK",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "XFAB_CFD.FR",
    "BME_CFD.UK",
    "HBR_CFD.UK",
    "HPP_CFD.US",
    "GROW_CFD.UK",
    "AMG_CFD.NL",
    "COV_CFD.FR",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "IPGP_CFD.US",
    "MDM_CFD.FR",
    "MRN_CFD.FR",
    "SLG_CFD.US",
    "AMCX_CFD.US",
    "DPLM_CFD.UK",
    "MELE_CFD.BE",
    "SGL_CFD.DE",
    "ASM_CFD.NL",
    "IGG_CFD.UK",
    "ALFEN_CFD.NL"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (78). Sharp -15.5% 1d drop while still +8.5% above MA200 suggests no structural break. Strong bounce candidate.",
        "symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Score 74. -8.5% 1d selloff with MA200 still +7.3%. Clean mean-reversion setup. Previously held at same price level (558.5), familiar name.",
        "symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +31 USD, trending in right direction. Hold for further mean-reversion upside.",
        "symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL at entry price. No signal to exit; hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. No deterioration; hold.",
        "symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL, and DPLM appears as candidate with score 68 suggesting further reversion upside. Hold existing position.",
        "symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +10 EUR. Recently opened, hold for further reversion.",
        "symbol": "ELIOR_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +89 USD. Momentum favorable, hold.",
        "symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. No signal to exit.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Just opened, flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "LAND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +82 GBP. Strong performer, hold.",
        "symbol": "LSEG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +26 GBP. Recently opened, hold.",
        "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +16 GBP. Hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small loss -50 GBP (~1.7%). Marginal; not worth selling yet. Hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Deep loss of -559 GBP (-18.6% drawdown from avg_price 458.2 to 372.74). No mean-reversion signal in candidates; structural break likely. Cut loss to free capital.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position underwater (-59 USD, -2% loss) and held since late Feb with no recovery. Low-quality name not appearing in candidate list. Free up slot for higher-conviction mean-reversion setups.",
        "symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Selling two losing positions (CBG with -18.6% structural loss, AMCX with persistent underperformance) to free capital and slots. Buying two highest-scoring mean-reversion candidates: VSVS (sharp 1d drop, strong bounce setup) and OSB (clean selloff within uptrend). Remaining 15 active positions held as most are flat-to-positive with no deterioration signals. Portfolio stays within max 10 active positions constraint after sells free 2 slots and buys fill 2. Gross leverage remains well within 3.0x limit."
}
Prompts & responses
#1354openrouteranthropic/claude-opus-4.62026-03-17T11:29:50.117869+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "name": "WHITBREAD PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2691.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.659751037344401, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.969827496214986, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.069507041577781, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.61035263352142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAINLINE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.93322062552832, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.557701091522887, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.560104316644482, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.09279103846345, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 205.4, "change_1d_pct": -16.5718927701056, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.40871742234894, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.856111173800208, "volatility_20d_pct": 135.80434164824575, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 347.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.6020106445890034, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.583930168759967, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.639688157278489, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.64906606382688, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2795.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.3809523809523725, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.811460460804897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.895008018562113, "volatility_20d_pct": 141.33746334612064, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 789.8, "change_1d_pct": 5.166444740346199, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.137238395282736, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.124180991500651, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.28658783635437, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OVH_CFD.FR", "name": "OVH Groupe SA ", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.29, "change_1d_pct": 2.765486725663724, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.457946341024078, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.972114397696246, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.37583159078285, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 215.2, "change_1d_pct": -0.6463527239150557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.219747060140353, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.663782514155023, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.75396598460024, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 647.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.26586102719033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.266967093949116, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.0131237932627712, "volatility_20d_pct": 79.5840954070324, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 403.2, "change_1d_pct": -44.21693414499169, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -35.825419675413826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -36.113069725802745, "volatility_20d_pct": 213.0917779123437, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2544.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.4333845019038671, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.948150770494873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.167383226889343, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.718462979927, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "name": "Atos SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 39.852, "change_1d_pct": 5.058919674162321, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.167119098837183, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.895057494503384, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.40541399176134, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JEN_CFD.DE", "name": "Jenoptik AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.36, "change_1d_pct": -2.2255192878338326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.726336890887815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.711829050171178, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.88961956178072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2774.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.7583081570997, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 25.227479847754264, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.661876238540865, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.69330898337377, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "name": "VESUVIUS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 425.0, "change_1d_pct": -15.506958250497016, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.502290547178326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.9126275880115315, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.61003156027519, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "name": "Nagarro N", "sector": "", "last_price": 47.587, "change_1d_pct": -7.743161241542429, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.068062455026702, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.913362051090658, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.39289153108797, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PBB_CFD.DE", "name": "DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.822, "change_1d_pct": -0.21216407355020284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.643528950039084, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -26.17976352411844, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.95260145296834, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INTC_CFD.US", "name": "INTEL CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 47.17, "change_1d_pct": -2.1166217057480674, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.009171684131964, 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-2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "XFAB_CFD.FR", "name": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.784, "change_1d_pct": 0.5464480874316946, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.981353787704755, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.0458975576995497, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.17896861156424, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HBR_CFD.UK", "name": "HARBOUR ENERGY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 281.4, "change_1d_pct": -1.6083916083916128, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.53672429150014, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 21.003113228641702, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.8436669232312, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "name": "HUDSON PACIFIC PROPERTIES IN", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.52, "change_1d_pct": 4.99194847020934, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -55.72501977774231, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.2449651960663, "volatility_20d_pct": 198.93728211618148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMG_CFD.NL", "name": "AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL", "sector": "", "last_price": 32.12, "change_1d_pct": -10.579064587973285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.417918901244485, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.434243342241578, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.52335786766218, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "COV_CFD.FR", "name": "Covivio SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.35, "change_1d_pct": -0.4416961130742081, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.6182091174706592, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8610869871835902, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.61530605197072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPGP_CFD.US", "name": "IPG PHOTONICS CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 114.45, "change_1d_pct": 3.1081081081081097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.341629178368, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.462568848343043, "volatility_20d_pct": 7457.40227362749, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MDM_CFD.FR", "name": "Maisons Du Monde", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.218, "change_1d_pct": -5.581395348837215, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.51218461096462, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -20.420243835509034, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.45703714762206, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MRN_CFD.FR", "name": "Mersen", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.55, "change_1d_pct": -2.964426877470361, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.4320045164606627, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.59884104107341, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.97599574805438, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SLG_CFD.US", "name": "SL GREEN REALTY CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 37.61, "change_1d_pct": 0.3468516542155964, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.0183121720058, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.592417774601794, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.13435562013662, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "name": "AMC Networks Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 7.06, "change_1d_pct": -10.406091370558379, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.38068375619868, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.908564583749259, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.76893297293266, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "name": "DIPLOMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 5220.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.434782608695654, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.8180942215069855, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.664614313757087, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.77890721911896, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE", "name": "Melexis", "sector": "", "last_price": 53.574, "change_1d_pct": -1.6088154269972565, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.266892023157329, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.122108713092338, "volatility_20d_pct": 65.40009901295295, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE", "name": "SGL Carbon SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.548, "change_1d_pct": -4.649287825853266, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.955173294333413, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.544097624930671, "volatility_20d_pct": 77.66150883460772, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASM_CFD.NL", "name": "ASM International NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 680.6, "change_1d_pct": -5.261692650334071, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 24.99006699934054, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.2104262916707742, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.17117799072929, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IGG_CFD.UK", "name": "IG GROUP HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1356.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.1963470319634757, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.69129359819437, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.822701129829392, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.02278066392904, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALFEN_CFD.NL", "name": "Alfen", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.744, "change_1d_pct": -0.8391925606713535, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.91916396207753, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.76952759471749, "volatility_20d_pct": 62.00864280318604, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -15.5% 1d drop; still +8.5% above MA200 suggesting no structural break; MA50 dist -5.9%; vol 116% manageable; bounce candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-8.5% 1d selloff; MA50 dist -3.2% with MA200 still +7.3%; vol 84% moderate; clean mean-reversion setup to MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 74
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE",
      "selection_reason": "MA50 dist -10.1%, MA200 dist -13.3%; low vol 65% supports cleaner reversion; extended below both MAs without extreme 1d move",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-5.4% 1d drop; MA50 dist -4.7% while MA200 dist +4.8%; vol 83% moderate; pullback within uptrend, reversion to MA50 expected",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "-4.6% 1d drop; MA50 dist -10.5% while near MA200 (+3%); vol 78% lowest tier; oversold relative to MA50, reversion candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "VTY -44% 1d: likely binary/event-driven collapse, not mean-reversion suitable",
    "OCDO -21% 1d with 241% vol: extreme volatility signals event-driven move",
    "IWG -16.6% 1d with 136% vol: likely news-driven, too volatile for clean reversion",
    "MCG, HPP, IPGP: volatility >190% indicates unstable/event-driven dynamics",
    "MAB, DLN, JDW: large positive spikes already above MAs — momentum not reversion",
    "PBB, MDM: extreme MA200 distance (>-37%) suggests structural decline not temporary dislocation",
    "EMG, BBY, KGF: well above MA200 (>18%) — trending, not reverting"
  ]
}
#1355openrouteranthropic/claude-opus-4.62026-03-17T11:30:17.892866+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 12.025494047380446, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 252.04, "unrealized_pnl": 30.905519701767666, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 142.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 424.3281471004243, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": -59.40594059405964, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.63, "last_price": 29.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 59.0, "last_price": 58.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 27.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEKB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.9, "last_price": 40.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 310.3, "last_price": 295.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 57.754999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 108.935, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.285, "last_price": 95.88499999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.547359231776517, "avg_price": 458.2, "last_price": 372.74, "unrealized_pnl": -559.5373199476211, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 3218.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CPAY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 321.845, "last_price": 317.015, "unrealized_pnl": -45.02167192282037, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 423.05499999999995, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CTT_CFD.PT", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.74, "last_price": 6.76, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6556291390728477, "avg_price": 1812.0, "last_price": 1812.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.5870841487279843, "avg_price": 5110.0, "last_price": 5110.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ELIOR_CFD.FR", "qty": 1250.0, "avg_price": 2.4, "last_price": 2.408, "unrealized_pnl": 10.000000000000009, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 55.55, "last_price": 53.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.905, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 395.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 2.6609662855571625, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1160.8000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 88.84966427475453, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FME_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.38, "last_price": 38.14, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRE_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 49.156, "last_price": 47.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 254.566, "last_price": 251.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.772002362669817, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": -138.5083713850837, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.216216216216218, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 185.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.57, "last_price": 4.5600000000000005, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LAND_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.1194539249146755, "avg_price": 586.0, "last_price": 586.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LOPE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 157.02, "last_price": 152.77, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 82.99, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSEG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.3525264394829612, "avg_price": 8510.0, "last_price": 8744.0, "unrealized_pnl": 82.49118683901293, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.15, "last_price": 19.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LTA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.0, "last_price": 25.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.658536585365854, "avg_price": 820.0, "last_price": 827.0, "unrealized_pnl": 25.609756097560975, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MTG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.27, "last_price": 25.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12990.0, "last_price": 12770.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 78.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ORCL_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 153.02, "last_price": 150.49, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 558.5, "last_price": 558.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401397, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PRU_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1030.0, "last_price": 1101.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 80.0, "last_price": 77.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 89.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.237288135593221, "avg_price": 708.0, "last_price": 708.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 783.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1615.0, "last_price": 1634.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1282.0, "last_price": 1318.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.436, "last_price": 17.66, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STZ_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 149.07, "last_price": 156.44, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 257.0, "last_price": 248.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.769, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 7.132, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.0380622837370241, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": -49.82698961937716, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 215.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZAL_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 21.078, "last_price": 20.775, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZION_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.99, "last_price": 57.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Sharp -15.5% 1d drop; still +8.5% above MA200 suggesting no structural break; MA50 dist -5.9%; vol 116% manageable; bounce candidate"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 74, "selection_reason": "-8.5% 1d selloff; MA50 dist -3.2% with MA200 still +7.3%; vol 84% moderate; clean mean-reversion setup to MA50"}, {"symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "MA50 dist -10.1%, MA200 dist -13.3%; low vol 65% supports cleaner reversion; extended below both MAs without extreme 1d move"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 68, "selection_reason": "-5.4% 1d drop; MA50 dist -4.7% while MA200 dist +4.8%; vol 83% moderate; pullback within uptrend, reversion to MA50 expected"}, {"symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "-4.6% 1d drop; MA50 dist -10.5% while near MA200 (+3%); vol 78% lowest tier; oversold relative to MA50, reversion candidate"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (78). Sharp -15.5% 1d drop while still +8.5% above MA200 suggests no structural break. Strong bounce candidate.",
        "symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Score 74. -8.5% 1d selloff with MA200 still +7.3%. Clean mean-reversion setup. Previously held at same price level (558.5), familiar name.",
        "symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +31 USD, trending in right direction. Hold for further mean-reversion upside.",
        "symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL at entry price. No signal to exit; hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. No deterioration; hold.",
        "symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL, and DPLM appears as candidate with score 68 suggesting further reversion upside. Hold existing position.",
        "symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +10 EUR. Recently opened, hold for further reversion.",
        "symbol": "ELIOR_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +89 USD. Momentum favorable, hold.",
        "symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. No signal to exit.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Just opened, flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "LAND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive PnL +82 GBP. Strong performer, hold.",
        "symbol": "LSEG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +26 GBP. Recently opened, hold.",
        "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small positive PnL +16 GBP. Hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL. Hold.",
        "symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small loss -50 GBP (~1.7%). Marginal; not worth selling yet. Hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Deep loss of -559 GBP (-18.6% drawdown from avg_price 458.2 to 372.74). No mean-reversion signal in candidates; structural break likely. Cut loss to free capital.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position underwater (-59 USD, -2% loss) and held since late Feb with no recovery. Low-quality name not appearing in candidate list. Free up slot for higher-conviction mean-reversion setups.",
        "symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Selling two losing positions (CBG with -18.6% structural loss, AMCX with persistent underperformance) to free capital and slots. Buying two highest-scoring mean-reversion candidates: VSVS (sharp 1d drop, strong bounce setup) and OSB (clean selloff within uptrend). Remaining 15 active positions held as most are flat-to-positive with no deterioration signals. Portfolio stays within max 10 active positions constraint after sells free 2 slots and buys fill 2. Gross leverage remains well within 3.0x limit."
}
Selection logs
#674stage12026-03-17T11:30:17.890318+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -15.5% 1d drop; still +8.5% above MA200 suggesting no structural break; MA50 dist -5.9%; vol 116% manageable; bounce candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-8.5% 1d selloff; MA50 dist -3.2% with MA200 still +7.3%; vol 84% moderate; clean mean-reversion setup to MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 74
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE",
      "selection_reason": "MA50 dist -10.1%, MA200 dist -13.3%; low vol 65% supports cleaner reversion; extended below both MAs without extreme 1d move",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-5.4% 1d drop; MA50 dist -4.7% while MA200 dist +4.8%; vol 83% moderate; pullback within uptrend, reversion to MA50 expected",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "-4.6% 1d drop; MA50 dist -10.5% while near MA200 (+3%); vol 78% lowest tier; oversold relative to MA50, reversion candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "VTY -44% 1d: likely binary/event-driven collapse, not mean-reversion suitable",
    "OCDO -21% 1d with 241% vol: extreme volatility signals event-driven move",
    "IWG -16.6% 1d with 136% vol: likely news-driven, too volatile for clean reversion",
    "MCG, HPP, IPGP: volatility >190% indicates unstable/event-driven dynamics",
    "MAB, DLN, JDW: large positive spikes already above MAs — momentum not reversion",
    "PBB, MDM: extreme MA200 distance (>-37%) suggests structural decline not temporary dislocation",
    "EMG, BBY, KGF: well above MA200 (>18%) — trending, not reverting"
  ]
}