Arena run #562
meanrev-v1 • x-ai • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-11T13:01:41.997756+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-11T13:02:58.938428+00:00
duration_ms: 76939
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -32.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -28.5%: extreme oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct +17.5%, distance_from_ma50_pct +45.8%: extreme overbought deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 97
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -20.8%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.3%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 93
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 91
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -12.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -14.3%: notable oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 87
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"WIX_CFD.UK",
"GXI_CFD.DE",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"VTY_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"STAN_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"SGRO_CFD.UK",
"LIO_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"SBS_CFD.DE",
"MAB_CFD.UK",
"EXE_CFD.FR",
"CMBT_CFD.BE",
"GFT_CFD.DE",
"OSB_CFD.UK",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"GMM_CFD.DE",
"AFX_CFD.DE",
"GBF_CFD.DE",
"BME_CFD.UK",
"FTK_CFD.DE",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"SOI_CFD.FR",
"SVXY_CFD.ETF",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"EVT_CFD.DE",
"VIAV_CFD.US",
"ANTO_CFD.UK",
"AF_CFD.FR",
"SZG_CFD.DE",
"CRDA_CFD.UK",
"GM_CFD.US",
"PNFP_CFD.US",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"MNG_CFD.UK",
"BFAM_CFD.US",
"VLA_CFD.FR",
"DWS_CFD.DE",
"GLEN_CFD.UK",
"NVST_CFD.US",
"CCH_CFD.UK",
"NXT_CFD.UK",
"GPC_CFD.US"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "High mean_reversion_score 91, strong oversold deviation: change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%",
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Slight unrealized loss (-36), recently opened 2026-03-06, hold for expected mean reversion",
"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized loss (-30), no strong sell signal, hold",
"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR"
},
{
"reason": "Modest unrealized profit (+79), hold as performance not extreme",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, aligns with candidate oversold signal (score 87, -12.7% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, aligns with candidate oversold signal (score 93, -20.8% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Small unrealized profit (+15.6), hold",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable hold",
"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, top candidate extreme oversold (score 98, -32.7% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-175.58, ~ -5.8%), opened 2026-02-21 without signs of reversion; cut to reduce drag and reallocate to stronger mean reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Executed conservative rotation: sold persistent loser OCDO to free capital, bought high-conviction oversold EVT (1 buy <=2). Held others due to marginal PnL changes, alignment with oversold candidates (VTY, FUTR, BYIT), or stability; avoided overtrading. Post-actions: 9 positions <10 max, gross exposure ~27k <30k (3.0x lev on 10k equity). No risk events."
}Prompts & responses
#1109 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-11T13:01:42.039850+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 802.5, "change_1d_pct": 13.187588152327212, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.40724384452035, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.29872606002229, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.07249455345375, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "name": "WICKES GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 247.5, "change_1d_pct": 15.984816533108393, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.647646929530737, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.198455173494668, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.25206447406164, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GXI_CFD.DE", "name": "GERRESHEIMER AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.619, "change_1d_pct": 4.334184216124237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -43.143229707408906, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.377495132448315, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.66149101693946, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 497.8, "change_1d_pct": -5.89792060491493, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.793508864321094, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.592137485786795, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.76618625853061, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 463.9, "change_1d_pct": -32.72911832946637, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.66844502405723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.488957332309774, "volatility_20d_pct": 205.6561667968453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.15, "change_1d_pct": 11.924342105263165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.759626343727387, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.834440951357639, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.60557991984848, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "name": "STANDARD CHARTERED PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1724.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.684709066305816, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.752779497807985, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.4015778788986974, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.47786671248083, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 838.6, "change_1d_pct": 14.312977099236646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.337223471135403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.881685289390623, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.79400737887707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBS_CFD.DE", "name": "Stratec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 20.205, "change_1d_pct": 4.618650649821365, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.373744827155768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.013113973228745, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.23230267947851, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR", "name": "Exel Industries SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 33.925, "change_1d_pct": -10.013262599469508, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.577427417904506, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.232183638567294, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.51967497090631, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMBT_CFD.BE", "name": "Euronav", "sector": "", "last_price": 11.66, "change_1d_pct": -3.4927992054295642, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.221591723808565, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.905439847979846, "volatility_20d_pct": 79.33491338368889, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFT_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 18.72, "change_1d_pct": 1.2220179517681284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.4961068072662398, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.5454215057146392, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.15406835312294, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "name": "OSB GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 575.5, "change_1d_pct": -8.50556438791733, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.26309045372473, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.1605502163448818, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.79306172690484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GMM_CFD.DE", "name": "Grammer AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.95, "change_1d_pct": -9.150326797385622, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.306429778510168, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4934627870268464, "volatility_20d_pct": 184.652948783905, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AFX_CFD.DE", "name": "CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG - BR", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.75, "change_1d_pct": -3.6440084092501768, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -42.468692799207254, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.626991302179132, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.97814747964529, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GBF_CFD.DE", "name": "BILFINGER SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 106.316, "change_1d_pct": 2.7207729468599062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.681651002509127, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.275217224567134, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.48097877321518, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FTK_CFD.DE", "name": "flatexDEGIRO SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 32.76, "change_1d_pct": 1.9925280199252882, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.317613290349501, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.199458522778292, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.11292860613229, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "name": "SOITEC", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.178, "change_1d_pct": 17.47866374055109, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.508264237220395, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 45.83087396214533, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.37809671549408, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVXY_CFD.ETF", "name": "PROSHARES SHORT VIX ST FUTUR", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.87, "change_1d_pct": -2.8815580286168596, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.05194762697514621, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.014067724662834, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.70623348085, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.6, "change_1d_pct": -20.82242990654205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.68377383888033, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.301477407850992, "volatility_20d_pct": 153.59085037557008, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "name": "Evotec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.482, "change_1d_pct": -16.969247869581316, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.500382463929142, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.76836309923459, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.01708726851763, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIAV_CFD.US", "name": "VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.34, "change_1d_pct": -2.318094011590466, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 95.5129960723411, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 27.15735827863974, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.83557957258728, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ANTO_CFD.UK", "name": "ANTOFAGASTA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3895.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.812231582964552, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 44.72089748209418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.184119847205903, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.07755742561619, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AF_CFD.FR", "name": "Air France-KLM", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.952, "change_1d_pct": 0.020100502512576668, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.89263508482723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.739108171238978, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.28276048889595, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SZG_CFD.DE", "name": "Salzgitter AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 47.278, "change_1d_pct": 0.0804403048264124, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 46.511519444199536, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.139725099706615, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.5393036332365, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2839.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.28099754127151044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.572261096752058, "volatility_20d_pct": 5232.645582727379, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GM_CFD.US", "name": "GENERAL MOTORS CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 76.38, "change_1d_pct": 0.4075193900354934, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.80551148289322, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.028080846854566, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.37351715918433, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNFP_CFD.US", "name": "Pinnacle Financial Partners In", "sector": "", "last_price": 88.16, "change_1d_pct": -2.9609246009906443, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.402194242682093, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.448188487068942, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.85751268556236, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNG_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.7, "change_1d_pct": -1.4824363519175043, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.416411737394697, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.3154100838163707, "volatility_20d_pct": 65.01356237950955, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BFAM_CFD.US", "name": "Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.88, "change_1d_pct": 2.798310454065467, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.309147412511845, "volatility_20d_pct": 7444.274603605699, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VLA_CFD.FR", "name": "Valneva", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.838, "change_1d_pct": 7.511111111111113, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 26.884216185736665, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.63361653229713, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.21396908491448, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DWS_CFD.DE", "name": "DWS Group GmbH & Co.", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.948, "change_1d_pct": -0.2661996497373087, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.57633168038929, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.9691957695469062, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.39692331543203, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLEN_CFD.UK", "name": "GLENCORE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 515.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3507404520654678, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.10437367767996, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.984501025994148, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.3923797202431, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NVST_CFD.US", "name": "ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.46, "change_1d_pct": -6.269925611052074, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.660992552725467, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.6886894967245167, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37020158299858, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCH_CFD.UK", "name": "COCA-COLA HBC AG-DI", "sector": "", "last_price": 4522.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.961373390557942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.47090899960948, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.501070311213567, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.34544203611259, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "name": "NEXT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 12770.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.822327617657786, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.41984064857534253, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.670285647540208, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.45283481355753, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPC_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 110.85, "change_1d_pct": -4.439655172413803, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.973226346103841, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.62187928912414, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.05129566288207, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -32.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -28.5%: extreme oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct +17.5%, distance_from_ma50_pct +45.8%: extreme overbought deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 97
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -20.8%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.3%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 93
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 91
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -12.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -14.3%: notable oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 87
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Insufficient |distance_from_ma50_pct| <10%",
"1d change not aligned with MA deviation direction",
"Low short-term reversion signal strength"
]
}#1110 • openrouter • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast • 2026-03-11T13:02:09.908041+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6055659620016056, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": -36.125234145036124, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.92, "last_price": 42.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 10067.114093959732, "avg_price": 0.298, "last_price": 0.295, "unrealized_pnl": -30.20134228187922, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.8, "unrealized_pnl": 79.07742998352572, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 96.44, "unrealized_pnl": 58.3509513742073, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1208.505, "last_price": 1405.2800000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.8, "last_price": 0.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1275.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.59, "last_price": 7.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 86.15, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 216.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.824884792626728, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": -175.5760368663593, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401397, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.48, "unrealized_pnl": 13.043478260869868, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.98, "last_price": 34.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.260162601626018, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 134.3, "last_price": 139.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.015902712815715, "avg_price": 427.6, "last_price": 427.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 976.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 98, "selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -32.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -28.5%: extreme oversold deviation"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 97, "selection_reason": "change_1d_pct +17.5%, distance_from_ma50_pct +45.8%: extreme overbought deviation"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 93, "selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -20.8%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.3%: strong oversold deviation"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 91, "selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%: strong oversold deviation"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 87, "selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -12.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -14.3%: notable oversold deviation"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "High mean_reversion_score 91, strong oversold deviation: change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%",
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Slight unrealized loss (-36), recently opened 2026-03-06, hold for expected mean reversion",
"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized loss (-30), no strong sell signal, hold",
"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR"
},
{
"reason": "Modest unrealized profit (+79), hold as performance not extreme",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, aligns with candidate oversold signal (score 87, -12.7% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, aligns with candidate oversold signal (score 93, -20.8% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Small unrealized profit (+15.6), hold",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, stable hold",
"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Flat PnL, top candidate extreme oversold (score 98, -32.7% 1d), strong hold",
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-175.58, ~ -5.8%), opened 2026-02-21 without signs of reversion; cut to reduce drag and reallocate to stronger mean reversion opportunity",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Executed conservative rotation: sold persistent loser OCDO to free capital, bought high-conviction oversold EVT (1 buy <=2). Held others due to marginal PnL changes, alignment with oversold candidates (VTY, FUTR, BYIT), or stability; avoided overtrading. Post-actions: 9 positions <10 max, gross exposure ~27k <30k (3.0x lev on 10k equity). No risk events."
}Selection logs
#552 • stage1 • 2026-03-11T13:02:09.905191+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -32.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -28.5%: extreme oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 98
},
{
"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct +17.5%, distance_from_ma50_pct +45.8%: extreme overbought deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 97
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -20.8%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.3%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 93
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -17.0%, distance_from_ma50_pct -24.8%: strong oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 91
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "change_1d_pct -12.7%, distance_from_ma50_pct -14.3%: notable oversold deviation",
"mean_reversion_score": 87
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Insufficient |distance_from_ma50_pct| <10%",
"1d change not aligned with MA deviation direction",
"Low short-term reversion signal strength"
]
}