Arena run #557
meanrev-v1 • mistralai • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-11T12:58:00.444629+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-11T12:58:22.128045+00:00
duration_ms: 21680
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%), far below MA50 (-28.5%) and MA200 (-26.7%), high volatility (205.7%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-20.8%), far below MA50 (-24.3%) and MA200 (-37.7%), high volatility (153.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-21.1%), below MA50 (-5.5%) and MA200 (-15.8%), high volatility (241.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%), far below MA50 (-24.8%) and MA200 (-28.5%), high volatility (129.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-12.7%), below MA50 (-14.3%) and MA200 (-28.0%), high volatility (87.8%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"WIX_CFD.UK",
"GXI_CFD.DE",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"VTY_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"STAN_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"SGRO_CFD.UK",
"LIO_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"SBS_CFD.DE",
"MAB_CFD.UK",
"EXE_CFD.FR",
"CMBT_CFD.BE",
"GFT_CFD.DE",
"OSB_CFD.UK",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"GMM_CFD.DE",
"AFX_CFD.DE",
"GBF_CFD.DE",
"BME_CFD.UK",
"FTK_CFD.DE",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"SOI_CFD.FR",
"SVXY_CFD.ETF",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"EVT_CFD.DE",
"VIAV_CFD.US",
"ANTO_CFD.UK",
"AF_CFD.FR",
"SZG_CFD.DE",
"CRDA_CFD.UK",
"GM_CFD.US",
"PNFP_CFD.US",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"MNG_CFD.UK",
"BFAM_CFD.US",
"VLA_CFD.FR",
"DWS_CFD.DE",
"GLEN_CFD.UK",
"NVST_CFD.US",
"CCH_CFD.UK",
"NXT_CFD.UK",
"GPC_CFD.US"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%) with high mean-reversion score (90), far below MA50 and MA200, high volatility suggests potential rebound.",
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%) with high mean-reversion score (75), far below MA50 and MA200, high volatility suggests potential rebound.",
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Slight unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with positive unrealized PnL. No strong signal to add or exit. Holding current position.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal. Holding until clearer signal.",
"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal. Holding until clearer signal.",
"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal, and portfolio concentration in UK equities. Prefer to free up capital for stronger candidates.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio adjustments focus on mean-reversion opportunities with the highest scores and strongest signals (VTY_CFD.UK and EVT_CFD.DE). One position (CBG_CFD.UK) was sold to free up capital due to lack of movement and no clear mean-reversion signal. Existing positions with positive PnL or no strong exit signals are held to avoid overtrading and churn. The strategy adheres to the max_buys_per_run and max_sells_per_run constraints."
}Prompts & responses
#1099 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-03-11T12:58:00.486031+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 802.5, "change_1d_pct": 13.187588152327212, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.40724384452035, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.29872606002229, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.07249455345375, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "name": "WICKES GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 247.5, "change_1d_pct": 15.984816533108393, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.647646929530737, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.198455173494668, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.25206447406164, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GXI_CFD.DE", "name": "GERRESHEIMER AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.619, "change_1d_pct": 4.334184216124237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -43.143229707408906, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.377495132448315, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.66149101693946, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 497.8, "change_1d_pct": -5.89792060491493, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.793508864321094, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.592137485786795, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.76618625853061, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 463.9, "change_1d_pct": -32.72911832946637, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.66844502405723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.488957332309774, "volatility_20d_pct": 205.6561667968453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.15, "change_1d_pct": 11.924342105263165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.759626343727387, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.834440951357639, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.60557991984848, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 25.72, "change_1d_pct": 2.9623698959167166, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.132760074308242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.327577202351844, "volatility_20d_pct": 232.19808875565576, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "name": "STANDARD CHARTERED PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1724.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.684709066305816, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.752779497807985, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.4015778788986974, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.47786671248083, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 838.6, "change_1d_pct": 14.312977099236646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.337223471135403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.881685289390623, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.79400737887707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBS_CFD.DE", "name": "Stratec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 20.205, "change_1d_pct": 4.618650649821365, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.373744827155768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.013113973228745, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.23230267947851, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR", "name": "Exel Industries SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 33.925, "change_1d_pct": -10.013262599469508, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.577427417904506, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.232183638567294, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.51967497090631, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMBT_CFD.BE", "name": "Euronav", "sector": "", "last_price": 11.66, "change_1d_pct": -3.4927992054295642, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.221591723808565, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.905439847979846, "volatility_20d_pct": 79.33491338368889, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFT_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 18.72, "change_1d_pct": 1.2220179517681284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.4961068072662398, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.5454215057146392, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.15406835312294, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "name": "OSB GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 575.5, "change_1d_pct": -8.50556438791733, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.26309045372473, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.1605502163448818, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.79306172690484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GMM_CFD.DE", "name": "Grammer AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.95, "change_1d_pct": -9.150326797385622, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.306429778510168, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4934627870268464, "volatility_20d_pct": 184.652948783905, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AFX_CFD.DE", "name": "CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG - BR", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.75, "change_1d_pct": -3.6440084092501768, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -42.468692799207254, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.626991302179132, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.97814747964529, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GBF_CFD.DE", "name": "BILFINGER SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 106.316, "change_1d_pct": 2.7207729468599062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.681651002509127, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.275217224567134, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.48097877321518, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 180.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.5799502899751507, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.510144533683704, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.6906975618860693, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.67302074828436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FTK_CFD.DE", "name": "flatexDEGIRO SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 32.76, "change_1d_pct": 1.9925280199252882, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.317613290349501, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.199458522778292, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.11292860613229, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "name": "SOITEC", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.178, "change_1d_pct": 17.47866374055109, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.508264237220395, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 45.83087396214533, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.37809671549408, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVXY_CFD.ETF", "name": "PROSHARES SHORT VIX ST FUTUR", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.87, "change_1d_pct": -2.8815580286168596, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.05194762697514621, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.014067724662834, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.70623348085, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.6, "change_1d_pct": -20.82242990654205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.68377383888033, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.301477407850992, "volatility_20d_pct": 153.59085037557008, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "name": "Evotec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.482, "change_1d_pct": -16.969247869581316, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.500382463929142, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.76836309923459, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.01708726851763, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIAV_CFD.US", "name": "VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.34, "change_1d_pct": -2.318094011590466, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 95.5129960723411, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 27.15735827863974, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.83557957258728, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ANTO_CFD.UK", "name": "ANTOFAGASTA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3895.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.812231582964552, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 44.72089748209418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.184119847205903, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.07755742561619, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AF_CFD.FR", "name": "Air France-KLM", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.952, "change_1d_pct": 0.020100502512576668, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.89263508482723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.739108171238978, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.28276048889595, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SZG_CFD.DE", "name": "Salzgitter AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 47.278, "change_1d_pct": 0.0804403048264124, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 46.511519444199536, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.139725099706615, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.5393036332365, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2839.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.28099754127151044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.572261096752058, "volatility_20d_pct": 5232.645582727379, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GM_CFD.US", "name": "GENERAL MOTORS CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 76.38, "change_1d_pct": 0.4075193900354934, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.80551148289322, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.028080846854566, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.37351715918433, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNFP_CFD.US", "name": "Pinnacle Financial Partners In", "sector": "", "last_price": 88.16, "change_1d_pct": -2.9609246009906443, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.402194242682093, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.448188487068942, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.85751268556236, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNG_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.7, "change_1d_pct": -1.4824363519175043, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.416411737394697, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.3154100838163707, "volatility_20d_pct": 65.01356237950955, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BFAM_CFD.US", "name": "Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.88, "change_1d_pct": 2.798310454065467, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.309147412511845, "volatility_20d_pct": 7444.274603605699, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VLA_CFD.FR", "name": "Valneva", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.838, "change_1d_pct": 7.511111111111113, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 26.884216185736665, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.63361653229713, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.21396908491448, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DWS_CFD.DE", "name": "DWS Group GmbH & Co.", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.948, "change_1d_pct": -0.2661996497373087, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.57633168038929, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.9691957695469062, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.39692331543203, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLEN_CFD.UK", "name": "GLENCORE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 515.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3507404520654678, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.10437367767996, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.984501025994148, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.3923797202431, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NVST_CFD.US", "name": "ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.46, "change_1d_pct": -6.269925611052074, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.660992552725467, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.6886894967245167, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37020158299858, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCH_CFD.UK", "name": "COCA-COLA HBC AG-DI", "sector": "", "last_price": 4522.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.961373390557942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.47090899960948, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.501070311213567, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.34544203611259, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "name": "NEXT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 12770.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.822327617657786, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.41984064857534253, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.670285647540208, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.45283481355753, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPC_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 110.85, "change_1d_pct": -4.439655172413803, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.973226346103841, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.62187928912414, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.05129566288207, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%), far below MA50 (-28.5%) and MA200 (-26.7%), high volatility (205.7%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-20.8%), far below MA50 (-24.3%) and MA200 (-37.7%), high volatility (153.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-21.1%), below MA50 (-5.5%) and MA200 (-15.8%), high volatility (241.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%), far below MA50 (-24.8%) and MA200 (-28.5%), high volatility (129.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-12.7%), below MA50 (-14.3%) and MA200 (-28.0%), high volatility (87.8%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No sector data to enforce concentration rules",
"Earnings dates unknown, unable to avoid earnings risk",
"Stocks with missing MA200 data excluded due to insufficient trend visibility"
]
}#1100 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-03-11T12:58:10.312722+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 21.873860736419978, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 139.45, "unrealized_pnl": 50.30987969376557, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.8, "unrealized_pnl": 79.07742998352572, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.547359231776517, "avg_price": 458.2, "last_price": 458.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 300.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 10.14, "unrealized_pnl": 42.00000000000017, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 141.20499999999998, "unrealized_pnl": 108.30245441537926, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.488766849725412, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.84722915626534, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1408.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1976.9999999999998, "last_price": 1964.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 12.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 90.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 218.60911016949152, "last_price": 217.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 42.747221430607006, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.63, "unrealized_pnl": 403.9612425192357, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 151.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.34, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 134.3, "last_price": 139.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.3630289532294, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 224.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.2727272727272725, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%), far below MA50 (-28.5%) and MA200 (-26.7%), high volatility (205.7%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-20.8%), far below MA50 (-24.3%) and MA200 (-37.7%), high volatility (153.6%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-21.1%), below MA50 (-5.5%) and MA200 (-15.8%), high volatility (241.3%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%), far below MA50 (-24.8%) and MA200 (-28.5%), high volatility (129.0%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-12.7%), below MA50 (-14.3%) and MA200 (-28.0%), high volatility (87.8%), no earnings date known."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%) with high mean-reversion score (90), far below MA50 and MA200, high volatility suggests potential rebound.",
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%) with high mean-reversion score (75), far below MA50 and MA200, high volatility suggests potential rebound.",
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Slight unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with positive unrealized PnL. No strong signal to add or exit. Holding current position.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL, no strong mean-reversion signal to exit. Holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal. Holding until clearer signal.",
"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal. Holding until clearer signal.",
"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "No price movement since purchase, no mean-reversion signal, and portfolio concentration in UK equities. Prefer to free up capital for stronger candidates.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio adjustments focus on mean-reversion opportunities with the highest scores and strongest signals (VTY_CFD.UK and EVT_CFD.DE). One position (CBG_CFD.UK) was sold to free up capital due to lack of movement and no clear mean-reversion signal. Existing positions with positive PnL or no strong exit signals are held to avoid overtrading and churn. The strategy adheres to the max_buys_per_run and max_sells_per_run constraints."
}Selection logs
#547 • stage1 • 2026-03-11T12:58:10.308076+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-32.7%), far below MA50 (-28.5%) and MA200 (-26.7%), high volatility (205.7%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-20.8%), far below MA50 (-24.3%) and MA200 (-37.7%), high volatility (153.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-21.1%), below MA50 (-5.5%) and MA200 (-15.8%), high volatility (241.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-17.0%), far below MA50 (-24.8%) and MA200 (-28.5%), high volatility (129.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-12.7%), below MA50 (-14.3%) and MA200 (-28.0%), high volatility (87.8%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No sector data to enforce concentration rules",
"Earnings dates unknown, unable to avoid earnings risk",
"Stocks with missing MA200 data excluded due to insufficient trend visibility"
]
}