Arena run #552

meanrev-v1x-aix-ai/grok-4.1-fastUSsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-10T19:11:24.452904+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-10T19:12:29.834989+00:00
duration_ms: 65380
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50 indicating extreme oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 100
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+18% 1d gain, +37% from MA200, +14% from MA50 indicating extreme overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+16% 1d gain, +19% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating strong overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 92
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+13% 1d gain, +21% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-13% 1d drop, -23% from MA200, -13% from MA50 indicating oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "SAFE_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "TRN_CFD.UK",
    "WIX_CFD.UK",
    "RHIM_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "VTY_CFD.UK",
    "RSW_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "BLND_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "BME_CFD.UK",
    "CNC_CFD.US",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "BTRW_CFD.UK",
    "CRDA_CFD.UK",
    "ABF_CFD.UK",
    "CF_CFD.US",
    "CCH_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Top oversold candidate (score 100), extreme signals: -33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50, strong mean reversion buy opportunity",
        "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Minor unrealized loss, hold for potential mean reversion",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain, stable, no strong signal to trade",
        "symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modest gain, hold per avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, no action needed",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, no action needed",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized loss, hold for mean reversion recovery",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain, stable, hold",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Oversold candidate (score 88), flat PNL, continue holding",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Large unrealized gain (+314 PNL, ~+10.5% from avg_price), successful mean reversion achieved, take profit to rotate capital",
        "symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Large unrealized gain (+359 PNL, ~+12% from avg_price), successful mean reversion achieved, take profit to rotate capital",
        "symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Rotated capital from two major winners (LRCX, WIZZ) with successful mean reversion gains into the premier oversold candidate VTY for optimal mean reversion exposure. Held remaining positions including fellow oversold TRN and others without clear signals to avoid overtrading. Maintains 10 positions, fixed size 3000, within max leverage 3.0x and trade limits (2 sells, 1 buy)."
}
Prompts & responses
#1089openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-03-10T19:11:24.472766+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 802.5, "change_1d_pct": 13.187588152327212, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.40724384452035, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.29872606002229, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.07249455345375, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAINLINE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.93322062552832, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.557701091522887, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.560104316644482, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.09279103846345, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "name": "WICKES GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 247.5, "change_1d_pct": 15.984816533108393, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.647646929530737, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.198455173494668, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.25206447406164, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2795.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.3809523809523725, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.811460460804897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.895008018562113, "volatility_20d_pct": 141.33746334612064, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 497.8, "change_1d_pct": -5.89792060491493, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.793508864321094, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.592137485786795, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.76618625853061, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 463.9, "change_1d_pct": -32.72911832946637, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.66844502405723, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.488957332309774, "volatility_20d_pct": 205.6561667968453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.15, "change_1d_pct": 11.924342105263165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.759626343727387, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.834440951357639, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.60557991984848, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 385.8, "change_1d_pct": -0.8226221079691509, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.276803865531354, "volatility_20d_pct": 2775.983609722267, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 722.5, "change_1d_pct": -1.0951403148528382, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.628407265201648, "volatility_20d_pct": 2239.4661443465884, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BME_CFD.UK", "name": "B&M EUROPEAN VALUE RETAIL SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 187.88, "change_1d_pct": 1.0107526881720341, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.318666981973787, "volatility_20d_pct": 3503.713036055361, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CNC_CFD.US", "name": "Centene Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 40.58, "change_1d_pct": 3.573251659009702, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.2002595320789307, "volatility_20d_pct": 5238.197125855288, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 316.4, "change_1d_pct": 1.9329896907216426, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.036395062333752, "volatility_20d_pct": 3610.9502328075146, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "name": "Barratt Redrow Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 322.3, "change_1d_pct": -2.066241264053481, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.679472246341497, "volatility_20d_pct": 3259.103464638469, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2839.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.28099754127151044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.572261096752058, "volatility_20d_pct": 5232.645582727379, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "name": "ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1887.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.0503503763301345, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.3299180327868827, "volatility_20d_pct": 2105.89979933895, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CF_CFD.US", "name": "CF Industries Holdings Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 97.16, "change_1d_pct": 1.0609527771999083, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.562182562106349, "volatility_20d_pct": 3467.4527549275817, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCH_CFD.UK", "name": "COCA-COLA HBC AG-DI", "sector": "", "last_price": 4704.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.3811944091486663, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.722683172651113, "volatility_20d_pct": 2425.007693254479, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50 indicating extreme oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 100
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+18% 1d gain, +37% from MA200, +14% from MA50 indicating extreme overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+16% 1d gain, +19% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating strong overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 92
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+13% 1d gain, +21% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-13% 1d drop, -23% from MA200, -13% from MA50 indicating oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Null MA200 distance",
    "Small absolute 1d change (<5%)",
    "Insufficient deviation from MAs (abs(dist)<10%)",
    "Moderate volatility (<100%)"
  ]
}
#1090openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-03-10T19:11:46.335478+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6055659620016056, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": -36.125234145036124, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.92, "last_price": 42.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 10067.114093959732, "avg_price": 0.298, "last_price": 0.301, "unrealized_pnl": 30.20134228187922, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.237232289950576, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.8, "unrealized_pnl": 79.07742998352572, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 96.44, "unrealized_pnl": 58.3509513742073, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1208.505, "last_price": 1405.2800000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.8, "last_price": 0.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1275.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.59, "last_price": 7.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 86.15, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 15.04966389083977, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 220.24, "unrealized_pnl": 314.5379753185513, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.824884792626728, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": -175.5760368663593, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 152.7, "unrealized_pnl": 15.601342900401397, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.48, "unrealized_pnl": 13.043478260869868, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.98, "last_price": 34.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.260162601626018, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 134.3, "last_price": 139.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.4403669724770642, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 976.5, "unrealized_pnl": 359.5183486238532, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 100, "selection_reason": "-33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50 indicating extreme oversold"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "+18% 1d gain, +37% from MA200, +14% from MA50 indicating extreme overbought"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 92, "selection_reason": "+16% 1d gain, +19% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating strong overbought"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "+13% 1d gain, +21% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating overbought"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "-13% 1d drop, -23% from MA200, -13% from MA50 indicating oversold"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Top oversold candidate (score 100), extreme signals: -33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50, strong mean reversion buy opportunity",
        "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Minor unrealized loss, hold for potential mean reversion",
        "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain, stable, no strong signal to trade",
        "symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modest gain, hold per avoid overtrading",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, no action needed",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PNL, no action needed",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized loss, hold for mean reversion recovery",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain, stable, hold",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Oversold candidate (score 88), flat PNL, continue holding",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Large unrealized gain (+314 PNL, ~+10.5% from avg_price), successful mean reversion achieved, take profit to rotate capital",
        "symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Large unrealized gain (+359 PNL, ~+12% from avg_price), successful mean reversion achieved, take profit to rotate capital",
        "symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Rotated capital from two major winners (LRCX, WIZZ) with successful mean reversion gains into the premier oversold candidate VTY for optimal mean reversion exposure. Held remaining positions including fellow oversold TRN and others without clear signals to avoid overtrading. Maintains 10 positions, fixed size 3000, within max leverage 3.0x and trade limits (2 sells, 1 buy)."
}
Selection logs
#542stage12026-03-10T19:11:46.332977+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-33% 1d drop, -27% from MA200, -28% from MA50 indicating extreme oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 100
    },
    {
      "symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+18% 1d gain, +37% from MA200, +14% from MA50 indicating extreme overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+16% 1d gain, +19% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating strong overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 92
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+13% 1d gain, +21% from MA200, +10% from MA50 indicating overbought",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-13% 1d drop, -23% from MA200, -13% from MA50 indicating oversold",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Null MA200 distance",
    "Small absolute 1d change (<5%)",
    "Insufficient deviation from MAs (abs(dist)<10%)",
    "Moderate volatility (<100%)"
  ]
}