Arena run #509

You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).

{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.54, "change_1d_pct": 21.867517956903427, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.17176911546931, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 28.667486813057195, "volatility_20d_pct": 211.42235702559637, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAINLINE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.93322062552832, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.557701091522887, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.560104316644482, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.09279103846345, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 497.8, "change_1d_pct": -5.89792060491493, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.793508864321094, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.592137485786795, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.76618625853061, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.15, "change_1d_pct": 11.924342105263165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.759626343727387, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.834440951357639, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.60557991984848, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "name": "CARNIVAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2086.12, "change_1d_pct": -1.037950664136622, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.654450538104543, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.475085923893781, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.10848533763712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 838.6, "change_1d_pct": 14.312977099236646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.337223471135403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.881685289390623, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.79400737887707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2960.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.023941068139973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.939755835694466, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.95826987098712, "volatility_20d_pct": 137.0123103901981, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "name": "WEIR GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3154.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.8031290743155246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.08192574314991, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.300811211629529, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.55994632937954, "market_cap_usd": null, 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null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVXY_CFD.ETF", "name": "PROSHARES SHORT VIX ST FUTUR", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.15, "change_1d_pct": -3.815421494206961, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3709741843902057, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.793686082703434, "volatility_20d_pct": 79.78689636404471, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, 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"data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2911.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.140228192859777, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.730273162831298, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.4574080225663986, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.57501877935547, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLR_CFD.US", "name": "Digital Realty Trust Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.83, "change_1d_pct": 1.5759150474469186, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.682438954069547, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.961265301466658, "volatility_20d_pct": 52.337319064888156, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CE_CFD.US", "name": "Celanese Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 50.25, "change_1d_pct": 2.0097442143727218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.547713868024395, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.953589955827285, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.96686174274964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "name": "INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROU", "sector": "", "last_price": 131.85, "change_1d_pct": -9.068965517241379, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.19965530465284, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -95.23482638251654, "volatility_20d_pct": 602.6354389421006, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMHN_CFD.DE", "name": "SUSS MicroTec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 53.15, "change_1d_pct": -1.846722068328721, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 39.76137487327141, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.924671400009188, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.12421711432019, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CF_CFD.US", "name": "CF Industries Holdings Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 117.93, "change_1d_pct": 8.671212679690399, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.55363889216052, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.73825721904897, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.75086236107555, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NRG_CFD.US", "name": "NRG ENERGY INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 157.65, "change_1d_pct": -2.7392189524338306, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2701796488186812, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.3196192746287694, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.11428870761449, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PLTR_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 160.27, "change_1d_pct": 11.515446701920418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.1025763806270406, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.8041057029863472, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.16705867883715, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 182.32, "change_1d_pct": 0.8407079646017612, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.111863069088763, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.139091576985178, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.4204512350097, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FLEX_CFD.US", "name": "FLEX LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 61.0, "change_1d_pct": -3.4198860037998657, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.986667882689979, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.175136432613124, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.29516922566144, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 92.97, "change_1d_pct": -0.3536977491961357, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.858399686956836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.626783988863984, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.52875158751183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "The Mosaic Company", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.77, "change_1d_pct": 0.26217228464420206, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.913777482827559, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.9485751959563369, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.92488437042849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "name": "NEXT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 13225.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.603140613847257, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.116518358426768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.780207539944458, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.99366321435181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VST_CFD.US", "name": "VISTRA CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 161.71, "change_1d_pct": 1.2649508422568845, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.083838576285688, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.996948666082198, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.29262230706871, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme +21.9% daily surge with +28.7% distance from MA50 suggests strong short-term pullback potential",
      "mean_reversion_score": 92
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Severe -20.8% decline with -37.7% distance from MA200 indicates high-probability bounce candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -21.3% drop with elevated volatility (241%) creates mean reversion opportunity",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant -12.9% decline with -22.6% distance from MA200 supports bounce thesis",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong +14.3% rally with +23.3% distance from MA200; elevated but liquid for mean reversion",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "AAP_CFD.US: Extreme outlier volatility (4513%) indicates data anomaly or binary event risk",
    "WDC_CFD.US: Extreme outlier volatility (7933%) indicates data anomaly or binary event risk",
    "IHG_CFD.UK: Extreme outlier volatility (603%) and -98% distance from MA200 suggests structural breakdown",
    "CIEN_CFD.US: +81.9% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing",
    "MU_CFD.US: +76.2% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing",
    "VIAV_CFD.US: +85.8% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing"
  ]
}

You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.

{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6055659620016056, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1868.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AEO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 22.265, "last_price": 18.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AGFB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.465, "last_price": 0.452, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.92, "last_price": 42.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.135135135135135, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 40.34, "last_price": 39.505, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 20.505809979494188, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.5416238437821173, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1946.0, "unrealized_pnl": 3.50524679511663e-13, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 349.265, "last_price": 365.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 118.67088607594935, "avg_price": 25.28, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": -19.58069620253154, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 17.133, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.105000000000004, "last_price": 35.864999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 48.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.24287783679382, "avg_price": 414.2, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 459.4180704441041, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.57, "unrealized_pnl": 18.37672281776418, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1244.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.2, "last_price": 785.85, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 250.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.96, "last_price": 52.07, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T11:23:36.694156+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPE_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.414, "last_price": 86.679, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 228.31050228310502, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.562, "unrealized_pnl": 96.34703196347004, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MAN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.68, "last_price": 27.94, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MDB_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 252.01, "last_price": 263.69, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.824884792626728, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 217.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 19.74853531696399, "avg_price": 151.91, "last_price": 151.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RCO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.34, "last_price": 43.58, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 247.99999999999997, "last_price": 255.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 134.3, "last_price": 139.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1003.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 92, "selection_reason": "Extreme +21.9% daily surge with +28.7% distance from MA50 suggests strong short-term pullback potential"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 91, "selection_reason": "Severe -20.8% decline with -37.7% distance from MA200 indicates high-probability bounce candidate"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "Sharp -21.3% drop with elevated volatility (241%) creates mean reversion opportunity"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Significant -12.9% decline with -22.6% distance from MA200 supports bounce thesis"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "Strong +14.3% rally with +23.3% distance from MA200; elevated but liquid for mean reversion"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}

{
  "hold": [
    {
      "reason": "Recently opened position at market; no meaningful deviation from entry to assess mean reversion potential",
      "symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Mean reversion score moderate; prefer not to overtrade - hold for now",
      "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Large position with minimal movement; wait for clearer signal",
      "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Near break-even; hold for clearer opportunity",
      "symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Small unrealized loss (-$19.58); within acceptable range, no urgent reversion signal",
      "symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+$18.38); holding as position still has upside",
      "symbol": "GO_CFD.US"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Strong unrealized gain (+$96.35); but mean reversion not fully exhausted, hold position",
      "symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Mean reversion score 88 but already in portfolio; hold to capture full bounce",
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
    },
    {
      "reason": "Stable position with no clear mean reversion signal; hold",
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
    }
  ],
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Mean reversion buy (score 85): -12.9% decline with -22.6% distance from MA200 supports bounce thesis; high-probability reversion play within strategy parameters",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Mean reversion buy (score 82): +14.3% rally shows momentum; distance from MA200 (+23.3%) indicates overbought but liquid - potential for continued mean reversion move",
        "symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Mean reversion candidate (score 91) with -20.8% severe decline; lock in position as bounce materializes - extreme overextension from MA200 (-37.7%) suggests momentum exhaustion",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  }
}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme +21.9% daily surge with +28.7% distance from MA50 suggests strong short-term pullback potential",
      "mean_reversion_score": 92
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Severe -20.8% decline with -37.7% distance from MA200 indicates high-probability bounce candidate",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -21.3% drop with elevated volatility (241%) creates mean reversion opportunity",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant -12.9% decline with -22.6% distance from MA200 supports bounce thesis",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong +14.3% rally with +23.3% distance from MA200; elevated but liquid for mean reversion",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "AAP_CFD.US: Extreme outlier volatility (4513%) indicates data anomaly or binary event risk",
    "WDC_CFD.US: Extreme outlier volatility (7933%) indicates data anomaly or binary event risk",
    "IHG_CFD.UK: Extreme outlier volatility (603%) and -98% distance from MA200 suggests structural breakdown",
    "CIEN_CFD.US: +81.9% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing",
    "MU_CFD.US: +76.2% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing",
    "VIAV_CFD.US: +85.8% distance from MA200 too extended for reliable mean reversion timing"
  ]
}