Arena run #468

meanrev-v1amazonamazon/nova-premier-v1EUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-07T12:41:03.751608+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-07T12:41:22.078375+00:00
duration_ms: 18325
Inputs
{
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-20.5% from MA200 and -9.5% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-23.9% from MA200 and -3.7% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-22.6% from MA200 and -12.6% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-17.1% from MA200 and +4.4% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-37.7% from MA200 and -24.3% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    }
  ],
  "universe_symbols": [
    "PAGE_CFD.UK",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "UTG_CFD.UK",
    "TRN_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "CCL_CFD.UK",
    "STAN_CFD.UK",
    "SGRO_CFD.UK",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "WEIR_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "ORCL_CFD.US",
    "CIEN_CFD.US",
    "SHOP_CFD.US",
    "DPLM_CFD.UK",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "SVXY_CFD.ETF",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "LRCX_CFD.US",
    "TBCG_CFD.UK",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "WDC_CFD.US",
    "PZC_CFD.UK",
    "STX_CFD.US",
    "JEF_CFD.US",
    "FUTR_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "ERA_CFD.FR",
    "MKSI_CFD.US",
    "VIAV_CFD.US",
    "KLAC_CFD.US",
    "CRDA_CFD.UK",
    "AMAT_CFD.US",
    "CE_CFD.US",
    "IHG_CFD.UK",
    "INTC_CFD.US",
    "SMHN_CFD.DE",
    "CF_CFD.US",
    "NRG_CFD.US",
    "PLTR_CFD.US",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "MOS_CFD.US",
    "NXT_CFD.UK",
    "ANET_CFD.US",
    "AMD_CFD.US",
    "VST_CFD.US",
    "AVGO_CFD.US",
    "OLN_CFD.US",
    "DCC_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (91) with significant deviation from MAs",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong mean-reversion candidate (score 85)",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Existing position with positive PnL",
        "symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss and low conviction in recovery",
        "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Maintaining existing profitable positions while adding high-conviction mean-reversion candidates. Exiting BT_CFD.UK due to marginal loss and limited improvement potential. Following max_buys_per_run constraint with top 2 candidates."
}
Prompts & responses
#921openrouteramazon/nova-premier-v12026-03-07T12:41:03.798045+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 205.8, "change_1d_pct": -13.091216216216218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.507377691735872, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.456474873951793, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.15149478988747, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.54, "change_1d_pct": 21.867517956903427, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.17176911546931, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 28.667486813057195, "volatility_20d_pct": 211.42235702559637, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAINLINE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.93322062552832, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.557701091522887, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.560104316644482, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.09279103846345, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 204.15, "change_1d_pct": 11.924342105263165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.759626343727387, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.834440951357639, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.60557991984848, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "name": "CARNIVAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2086.12, "change_1d_pct": -1.037950664136622, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.654450538104543, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.475085923893781, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.10848533763712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "name": "STANDARD CHARTERED PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1842.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3541269408880332, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.43986196388351, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.292113036344269, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.84142956557304, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "SEGRO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 838.6, "change_1d_pct": 14.312977099236646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.337223471135403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.881685289390623, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.79400737887707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "name": "WEIR GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3154.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.8031290743155246, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 21.08192574314991, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.300811211629529, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.55994632937954, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ORCL_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 158.91, "change_1d_pct": 6.9308929412556175, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.905979706969188, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.866261569190102, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.12910495892234, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CIEN_CFD.US", "name": "Ciena Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 303.37, "change_1d_pct": -9.24673926050017, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 81.85731002004589, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.880199530996881, "volatility_20d_pct": 165.28670948773296, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SHOP_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 134.49, "change_1d_pct": 14.703624733475484, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.6860547805704913, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.1780130794992867, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.063076280182, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "name": "DIPLOMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 5510.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.7312614259597838, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.035071455048428, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.39717925834363843, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.46279741195445, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SVXY_CFD.ETF", "name": "PROSHARES SHORT VIX ST FUTUR", "sector": "", "last_price": 48.15, "change_1d_pct": -3.815421494206961, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3709741843902057, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.793686082703434, "volatility_20d_pct": 79.78689636404471, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.802, "change_1d_pct": -2.0652173913043415, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.999308429929496, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6775710925807115, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.42328356478835, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "name": "LAM RESEARCH CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 199.34, "change_1d_pct": -7.128214685054035, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.96931176940454, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.948897374527254, "volatility_20d_pct": 5689.597512990643, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TBCG_CFD.UK", "name": "TBC BANK GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4320.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.483069977426633, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.1867344222780027, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.04040929497016, "volatility_20d_pct": 4708.201623374857, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WDC_CFD.US", "name": "Western Digital Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 250.61, "change_1d_pct": -7.208975118483407, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.854230820725669, "volatility_20d_pct": 7933.743387118827, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 80.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.3199023199023228, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.893152485477748, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.630083447765921, "volatility_20d_pct": 4889.740150169738, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STX_CFD.US", "name": "SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 360.76, "change_1d_pct": -0.26539865089020287, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 51.59081908247551, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.0521777242878616, "volatility_20d_pct": 148.51307019032438, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "name": "Jefferies Financial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 44.28, "change_1d_pct": -0.695223144202739, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -23.504117949122893, "volatility_20d_pct": 5446.8843066617055, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.6, "change_1d_pct": -20.82242990654205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.68377383888033, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.301477407850992, "volatility_20d_pct": 153.59085037557008, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 221.9, "change_1d_pct": -21.312056737588648, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.06664037160078, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.1767959417158487, "volatility_20d_pct": 240.9598068877464, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "name": "Eramet", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.8, "change_1d_pct": -0.6993006993007089, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.9623809077595755, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.467698455268563, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.8023418191133, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MKSI_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 214.66, "change_1d_pct": -8.686404628211674, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 49.139767987822005, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.629307555745385, "volatility_20d_pct": 105.28734983479342, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIAV_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 28.46, "change_1d_pct": -13.86198547215496, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 85.82663798084928, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 21.557438666028837, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.6419178751259, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KLAC_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 1372.54, "change_1d_pct": -5.653736965472678, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.471661043509773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.469845715466947, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.87777148569057, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2911.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.140228192859777, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.730273162831298, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.4574080225663986, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.57501877935547, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMAT_CFD.US", "name": "Applied Materials Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 331.42, "change_1d_pct": -6.59489318527704, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 43.196719204247614, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5608334096665075, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.86613588370783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CE_CFD.US", "name": "Celanese Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 50.25, "change_1d_pct": 2.0097442143727218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.547713868024395, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.953589955827285, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.96686174274964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "name": "INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROU", "sector": "", "last_price": 131.85, "change_1d_pct": -9.068965517241379, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.19965530465284, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -95.23482638251654, "volatility_20d_pct": 602.6354389421006, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INTC_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 44.31, "change_1d_pct": 2.1438450899031736, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.58676305318471, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.6120436983746322, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.4932333611716, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMHN_CFD.DE", "name": "SUSS MicroTec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 53.15, "change_1d_pct": -1.846722068328721, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 39.76137487327141, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.924671400009188, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.12421711432019, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CF_CFD.US", "name": "CF Industries Holdings Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 117.93, "change_1d_pct": 8.671212679690399, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.55363889216052, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.73825721904897, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.75086236107555, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NRG_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 157.65, "change_1d_pct": -2.7392189524338306, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.2701796488186812, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.3196192746287694, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.11428870761449, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PLTR_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 160.27, "change_1d_pct": 11.515446701920418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.1025763806270406, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.8041057029863472, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.16705867883715, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "The Mosaic Company", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.77, "change_1d_pct": 0.26217228464420206, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.913777482827559, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.9485751959563369, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.92488437042849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "name": "NEXT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 13225.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.603140613847257, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.116518358426768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.780207539944458, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.99366321435181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ANET_CFD.US", "name": "Arista Networks", "sector": "", "last_price": 139.4, "change_1d_pct": 3.3894533857450115, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.858097355418222, "volatility_20d_pct": 5833.533131707153, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMD_CFD.US", "name": "Advanced Micro Devices Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 199.45, "change_1d_pct": -1.2965803929331443, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.532754400012477, "volatility_20d_pct": 5984.350281205116, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VST_CFD.US", "name": "Vistra Energy Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 158.65, "change_1d_pct": -5.2270011947431305, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.878446544884661, "volatility_20d_pct": 4530.365230302939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AVGO_CFD.US", "name": "Broadcom Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 332.77, "change_1d_pct": 4.79954649954335, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.5287873760607908, "volatility_20d_pct": 4094.322575113543, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OLN_CFD.US", "name": "OLIN CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 23.79, "change_1d_pct": -0.8336807002917834, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.842003984578461, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.6223697362688139, "volatility_20d_pct": 142.8218303828879, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4880.0, "change_1d_pct": 12.235510579576815, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.3673868483688123, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.2134077235287588, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.80708435693202, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-20.5% from MA200 and -9.5% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-23.9% from MA200 and -3.7% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-22.6% from MA200 and -12.6% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-17.1% from MA200 and +4.4% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-37.7% from MA200 and -24.3% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Too far above moving averages",
    "Missing technical indicators",
    "Extreme volatility outliers"
  ]
}
#922openrouteramazon/nova-premier-v12026-03-07T12:41:17.295414+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADP_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 117.5, "last_price": 115.1, "unrealized_pnl": -61.276595744680996, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "qty": 30.783438510081577, "avg_price": 97.455, "last_price": 99.955, "unrealized_pnl": 76.95859627520394, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1119.08, "last_price": 1067.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRNL_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.05, "last_price": 6.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 363.1, "last_price": 340.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.218009478672986, "avg_price": 211.0, "last_price": 207.8, "unrealized_pnl": -45.49763033175339, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 20.505809979494188, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 31.71247357293869, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 111.495, "unrealized_pnl": 535.7822410147995, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.547359231776517, "avg_price": 458.2, "last_price": 458.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.5416238437821173, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1946.0, "unrealized_pnl": 3.50524679511663e-13, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 17543.859649122805, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.165, "unrealized_pnl": -105.26315789473692, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 46.329, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.355000000000004, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 37.303, "last_price": 35.843, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 437.6, "last_price": 421.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.255, "last_price": 46.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.466300549176236, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 305.54168746879606, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.8, "last_price": 0.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": -142.65436479772887, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.600917431192661, "avg_price": 348.8, "last_price": 348.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.7, "last_price": 57.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KBCA_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 75.3, "last_price": 75.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 270.0, "unrealized_pnl": 240.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 228.31050228310502, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.562, "unrealized_pnl": 96.34703196347004, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.824884792626728, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 217.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 205.8, "last_price": 151.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "REC_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 11.08, "last_price": 10.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.073345259391771, "avg_price": 2795.0, "last_price": 2795.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 813.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 326.0869565217392, "avg_price": 18.4, "last_price": 18.48, "unrealized_pnl": 26.086956521739737, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.260162601626018, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 64.97022198159178, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 158.52734163508472, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UMG_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 19.085, "last_price": 18.665, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1149.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "-20.5% from MA200 and -9.5% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "-23.9% from MA200 and -3.7% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "-22.6% from MA200 and -12.6% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 68, "selection_reason": "-17.1% from MA200 and +4.4% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 91, "selection_reason": "-37.7% from MA200 and -24.3% from MA50"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (91) with significant deviation from MAs",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong mean-reversion candidate (score 85)",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Existing position with positive PnL",
        "symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss and low conviction in recovery",
        "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Maintaining existing profitable positions while adding high-conviction mean-reversion candidates. Exiting BT_CFD.UK due to marginal loss and limited improvement potential. Following max_buys_per_run constraint with top 2 candidates."
}
Selection logs
#458stage12026-03-07T12:41:17.293099+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-20.5% from MA200 and -9.5% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-23.9% from MA200 and -3.7% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-22.6% from MA200 and -12.6% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-17.1% from MA200 and +4.4% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-37.7% from MA200 and -24.3% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 91
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Too far above moving averages",
    "Missing technical indicators",
    "Extreme volatility outliers"
  ]
}