Arena run #442

You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).

{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 205.8, "change_1d_pct": -13.091216216216218, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.507377691735872, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.456474873951793, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.15149478988747, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.54, "change_1d_pct": 21.867517956903427, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.17176911546931, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 28.667486813057195, "volatility_20d_pct": 211.42235702559637, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 567.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.4639927073837784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.929923575376698, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.6875042216270137, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.84223442053181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAINLINE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.93322062552832, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.557701091522887, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.560104316644482, "volatility_20d_pct": 131.09279103846345, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 1842.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3541269408880332, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 31.43986196388351, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.292113036344269, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.84142956557304, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 838.6, "change_1d_pct": 14.312977099236646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.337223471135403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.881685289390623, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.79400737887707, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2960.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.023941068139973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.939755835694466, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.95826987098712, "volatility_20d_pct": 137.0123103901981, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, 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null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "name": "Grocery Outlet Holding Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.95, "change_1d_pct": -29.726996966632967, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -47.21211614853522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.605181517473753, "volatility_20d_pct": 144.92553547550253, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, 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"snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IFX_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 43.646, "change_1d_pct": 2.9726796583777526, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.03638510776986, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.585846479538435, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.633455396081736, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SZG_CFD.DE", "name": "Salzgitter AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 50.25, "change_1d_pct": 0.5321702944942386, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 58.21656399907242, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.059080643269141, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.74691694651588, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GXI_CFD.DE", "name": "GERRESHEIMER AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 17.966, "change_1d_pct": 14.725415070242654, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -49.1749846210904, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.764359931724258, "volatility_20d_pct": 234.08732547419734, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KBX_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 107.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.904761904761898, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.320630704320706, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.476638437795, "volatility_20d_pct": 49.68442531513264, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BESI_CFD.NL", "name": "BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.44, "change_1d_pct": 8.4913067863152, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 41.10400314770468, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.007928198524256, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.67853186666386, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASM_CFD.NL", "name": "ASM International NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 725.982, "change_1d_pct": 3.7677488701041373, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 35.30853907513016, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.053716836595882, "volatility_20d_pct": 69.29437779862882, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "name": "Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 49.95, "change_1d_pct": -8.432630614115478, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.939222649074228, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.202570058175075, "volatility_20d_pct": 139.31617121917984, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGX_CFD.DE", "name": "KION GROUP AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 52.95, "change_1d_pct": -0.656660412757959, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.3274334424576875, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.48971001820666, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.527731407205, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "name": "NEXT PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 13225.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.603140613847257, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.116518358426768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.780207539944458, "volatility_20d_pct": 72.99366321435181, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DELL_CFD.US", "name": "DELL TECHNOLOGIES -C", "sector": "", "last_price": 148.16, "change_1d_pct": 0.6521739130434856, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.351604943607587, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 20.369557940848626, "volatility_20d_pct": 141.23660705754838, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE", "name": "SGL Carbon SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.99, "change_1d_pct": 3.475103734439844, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.838186537222088, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.856789321454545, "volatility_20d_pct": 83.02913938763913, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFT_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 18.054, "change_1d_pct": 21.005361930294896, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.472950703154222, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.2658472891683767, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.79751049921435, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4880.0, "change_1d_pct": 12.235510579576815, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.3673868483688123, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.2134077235287588, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.80708435693202, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LGEN_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 262.78, "change_1d_pct": -4.3392792136876635, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.419531435333424, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.9270883995189272, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.67078455235858, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "name": "ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL", "sector": "", "last_price": 45.17, "change_1d_pct": -14.853911404335529, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -34.955064706534586, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.17986007600478, "volatility_20d_pct": 124.9610443191448, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -13.1% 1d drop, -9.5% below MA50, -20.5% below MA200; moderate volatility (113%) suggests oversold bounce likely within 2-10 days.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "-14.6% 1d drop, -10.8% below MA50, only -2.4% from MA200 suggesting price still has structural support; high vol but classic mean-rev setup.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "KGX_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Modest -0.66% 1d but -16.5% below MA50 and -7.3% below MA200; lower volatility (88%) among deeply oversold names; gradual drift below MAs favors reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-5.8% 1d drop, -3.5% below MA50 while still +7.1% above MA200; moderate vol (95%); pullback within uptrend is classic mean-rev entry.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 67
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FR_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "-0.68% 1d, -8.6% below MA50 while still +3.2% above MA200; lower volatility (81%); price drifted below short-term average within longer-term uptrend, favoring snap-back.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Extreme 1d spike >+10% (MCG, DLN, SGRO, GXI, GFT, DCC) — chasing momentum, not mean reversion short candidates without more data",
    "Volatility >200% (ADJ 303%, OCDO 241%, GXI 234%) — too erratic for reliable mean-reversion timing",
    "GO_CFD.US: -29.7% 1d crash, -47% below MA200 — likely binary/event-driven (possible earnings miss or guidance cut), avoid",
    "FUTR_CFD.UK: -20.8% 1d, -37.7% below MA200 — likely event-driven collapse, high vol (154%), catching falling knife risk",
    "AML_CFD.UK: -14.9% 1d, -35% below MA200 — structurally broken trend, high vol (125%), not a clean reversion setup",
    "Stocks near or above MA50 with positive 1d moves rejected as lacking mean-reversion setup (STAN, BBY, DPLM, IMB, SHC, KBX, BESI, ASM, IFX, SZG, JEN, HEIJM)",
    "DELL_CFD.US: +20.4% above MA50, extended to upside — no oversold condition",
    "FBIN_CFD.US: -8.4% 1d drop but very high vol (139%) reduces confidence in controlled reversion"
  ]
}

You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.

{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 21.873860736419978, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 147.049, "unrealized_pnl": 216.52934742982137, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.58, "last_price": 7.46, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.63, "last_price": 29.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 59.0, "last_price": 58.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 27.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.874015748031496, "avg_price": 381.0, "last_price": 387.4, "unrealized_pnl": 50.3937007874014, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 57.754999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 108.935, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 32.507991547922195, "avg_price": 92.285, "last_price": 98.08000000000001, "unrealized_pnl": 188.38381102020963, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.007387508394896, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 3218.0, "unrealized_pnl": 241.77300201477505, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.4124293785310735, "avg_price": 2124.0, "last_price": 2086.12, "unrealized_pnl": -53.50282485875722, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 423.05499999999995, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6556291390728477, "avg_price": 1812.0, "last_price": 1812.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.905, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FME_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.38, "last_price": 38.14, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRE_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 49.156, "last_price": 47.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 254.566, "last_price": 251.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LOPE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 157.02, "last_price": 152.77, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 82.99, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.15, "last_price": 19.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MTG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.27, "last_price": 25.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 217.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 42.747221430607006, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 78.38, "unrealized_pnl": 350.52721573097693, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 205.8, "last_price": 151.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "qty": 37.5, "avg_price": 80.0, "last_price": 80.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 783.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.3400936037441498, "avg_price": 1282.0, "last_price": 1318.5, "unrealized_pnl": 85.41341653666147, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.436, "last_price": 17.66, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STZ_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 149.07, "last_price": 156.44, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 257.0, "last_price": 248.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.769, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.260162601626018, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 7.132, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.9405940594059405, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZAL_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 21.078, "last_price": 20.775, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZION_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.99, "last_price": 57.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Sharp -13.1% 1d drop, -9.5% below MA50, -20.5% below MA200; moderate volatility (113%) suggests oversold bounce likely within 2-10 days."}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 72, "selection_reason": "-14.6% 1d drop, -10.8% below MA50, only -2.4% from MA200 suggesting price still has structural support; high vol but classic mean-rev setup."}, {"symbol": "KGX_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Modest -0.66% 1d but -16.5% below MA50 and -7.3% below MA200; lower volatility (88%) among deeply oversold names; gradual drift below MAs favors reversion."}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 67, "selection_reason": "-5.8% 1d drop, -3.5% below MA50 while still +7.1% above MA200; moderate vol (95%); pullback within uptrend is classic mean-rev entry."}, {"symbol": "FR_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "-0.68% 1d, -8.6% below MA50 while still +3.2% above MA200; lower volatility (81%); price drifted below short-term average within longer-term uptrend, favoring snap-back."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}

{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (78). Sharp -13.1% 1d drop, -9.5% below MA50, -20.5% below MA200. Classic oversold bounce setup with moderate volatility.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong mean-reversion score (72). -14.6% 1d drop with structural support near MA200 (-2.4%). High vol but deep oversold condition favors snap-back.",
        "symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Up +7.2% ($217 PnL), still trending favorably but not yet at extreme profit-taking level. Hold for further reversion.",
        "symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Up +6.3% ($188 PnL), positive momentum continuing. Hold to capture remaining mean-reversion upside.",
        "symbol": "CAR_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modest +1.7% gain, position still developing. No reason to exit early.",
        "symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat at entry price. No signal to exit; allow time for reversion to develop.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small drawdown (-1.8%), recently opened. Give position time to mean-revert.",
        "symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat at entry. Recently opened, allow reversion thesis to play out.",
        "symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat at entry, recently opened. Hold.",
        "symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Up +2.8% ($85 PnL), still has room to run. Hold.",
        "symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat at entry, recently opened. Hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Up +2.6% ($79 PnL), modest gain developing. Hold.",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat at entry. Hold for reversion signal.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Position has gained +11.7% ($350 unrealized PnL), well above mean-reversion target. Price has reverted from oversold to overbought territory — take profit.",
        "symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position up +8.1% ($242 unrealized PnL), strong reversion achieved. Lock in gains as mean-reversion strategy targets are met.",
        "symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Selling OKTA and CCC to lock in strong mean-reversion profits (+11.7% and +8.1% respectively), freeing capital and slots. Buying PAGE and JBLU which show the strongest oversold mean-reversion setups among candidates — both had sharp single-day drops with significant deviation below moving averages. Remaining 11 active positions are held as they are either still developing their reversion thesis or have moderate gains not yet at profit-taking thresholds. Post-trade portfolio will have 11 active positions within the 10-position max (after closing 2 zero-qty ghosts and the 2 sells). Gross leverage remains well within the 3.0x limit."
}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp -13.1% 1d drop, -9.5% below MA50, -20.5% below MA200; moderate volatility (113%) suggests oversold bounce likely within 2-10 days.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "-14.6% 1d drop, -10.8% below MA50, only -2.4% from MA200 suggesting price still has structural support; high vol but classic mean-rev setup.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "KGX_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Modest -0.66% 1d but -16.5% below MA50 and -7.3% below MA200; lower volatility (88%) among deeply oversold names; gradual drift below MAs favors reversion.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-5.8% 1d drop, -3.5% below MA50 while still +7.1% above MA200; moderate vol (95%); pullback within uptrend is classic mean-rev entry.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 67
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FR_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "-0.68% 1d, -8.6% below MA50 while still +3.2% above MA200; lower volatility (81%); price drifted below short-term average within longer-term uptrend, favoring snap-back.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Extreme 1d spike >+10% (MCG, DLN, SGRO, GXI, GFT, DCC) — chasing momentum, not mean reversion short candidates without more data",
    "Volatility >200% (ADJ 303%, OCDO 241%, GXI 234%) — too erratic for reliable mean-reversion timing",
    "GO_CFD.US: -29.7% 1d crash, -47% below MA200 — likely binary/event-driven (possible earnings miss or guidance cut), avoid",
    "FUTR_CFD.UK: -20.8% 1d, -37.7% below MA200 — likely event-driven collapse, high vol (154%), catching falling knife risk",
    "AML_CFD.UK: -14.9% 1d, -35% below MA200 — structurally broken trend, high vol (125%), not a clean reversion setup",
    "Stocks near or above MA50 with positive 1d moves rejected as lacking mean-reversion setup (STAN, BBY, DPLM, IMB, SHC, KBX, BESI, ASM, IFX, SZG, JEN, HEIJM)",
    "DELL_CFD.US: +20.4% above MA50, extended to upside — no oversold condition",
    "FBIN_CFD.US: -8.4% 1d drop but very high vol (139%) reduces confidence in controlled reversion"
  ]
}