Arena run #317

You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).

{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "name": "HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1407.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.207317073170733, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.089567759898976, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.596426109631583, "volatility_20d_pct": 6572.791841352222, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "name": "WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1299.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.412687099073412, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.990085157792933, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.21211951024278086, "volatility_20d_pct": 5874.684590366408, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3270.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.306801736613608, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.315074372668791, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.114636224020273, "volatility_20d_pct": 105.57470323224747, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "name": "Bigben Interactive", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.462, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -45.79246257098606, "volatility_20d_pct": 11712.882237669019, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "name": "FORVIA SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.765, "change_1d_pct": -3.4052213393870545, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.238231691715473, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.546938740419453, "volatility_20d_pct": 5056.2205078171555, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT", "name": "Impresa SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.188, "change_1d_pct": -3.589743589743588, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.639472559271326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.613013354754493, "volatility_20d_pct": 4014.7582461205325, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 250.0, "change_1d_pct": -3.474903474903479, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.426979584867023, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.8206293208582265, "volatility_20d_pct": 4554.2291072837315, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRES_CFD.UK", "name": "FRESNILLO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4170.0, "change_1d_pct": -3.293135435992578, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 76.80357453580795, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.481333358580947, "volatility_20d_pct": 6227.4447564879465, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 315.5, "change_1d_pct": -0.15822784810126667, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.9598929608719793, "volatility_20d_pct": 4125.199412345139, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BEKB_CFD.BE", "name": "Bekaert", "sector": "", "last_price": 43.5, "change_1d_pct": -1.5837104072398245, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.196326789107024, "volatility_20d_pct": 2389.5802751804977, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPUTACENTER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2992.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.540716612377847, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.946633623541939, "volatility_20d_pct": 3425.126046830974, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 290.6, "change_1d_pct": 0.1378359751895264, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.036712512419047, "volatility_20d_pct": 3710.24320963922, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 412.5, "change_1d_pct": -2.4822695035460973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.6645361918828807, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.1817499624793744, "volatility_20d_pct": 3857.1547460259226, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 413.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.3259962538279444, "volatility_20d_pct": 2013.7372429692637, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BAMNB_CFD.NL", "name": "Royal BAM Group NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.53, "change_1d_pct": 4.266958424507639, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.102945031897209, "volatility_20d_pct": 3975.3935883010895, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BURBERRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1174.5, "change_1d_pct": -0.550381033022862, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.69118971687319, "volatility_20d_pct": 4100.463229875871, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AA_CFD.US", "name": "Alcoa Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 61.41, "change_1d_pct": 2.675137936799854, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.738932796115503, "volatility_20d_pct": 5681.8944028122905, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US", "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.31, "change_1d_pct": 2.401010951979776, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.307270086521058, "volatility_20d_pct": 8081.99162683117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-22.09% from MA200 and -9.60% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-23.43% from MA200 and -3.82% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "-8.55% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT",
      "selection_reason": "-5.61% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-13.04% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Missing MA200 data",
    "Insufficient deviation from MA50",
    "Sector concentration risk"
  ]
}

You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.

{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADP_CFD.FR", "qty": 25.53191489361702, "avg_price": 117.5, "last_price": 117.8, "unrealized_pnl": 7.659574468085034, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "qty": 30.783438510081577, "avg_price": 97.455, "last_price": 99.01, "unrealized_pnl": 47.868246883177065, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRNL_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.05, "last_price": 6.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.252904989747094, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 46.329, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.355000000000004, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR", "qty": 80.42248612712115, "avg_price": 37.303, "last_price": 37.5, "unrealized_pnl": 15.843229767043086, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 474.05, "last_price": 463.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.466300549176236, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 414.2, "unrealized_pnl": 305.54168746879606, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.600917431192661, "avg_price": 348.8, "last_price": 348.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.7, "last_price": 57.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KBCA_CFD.BE", "qty": 39.8406374501992, "avg_price": 75.3, "last_price": 75.1, "unrealized_pnl": -7.9681274900399535, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 12.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 250.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.577259475218659, "avg_price": 205.8, "last_price": 205.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 813.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 64.97022198159178, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 92.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UMG_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 19.085, "last_price": 18.665, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.3094688221709005, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1299.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 272.0, "last_price": 262.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "-22.09% from MA200 and -9.60% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 72, "selection_reason": "-23.43% from MA200 and -3.82% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 68, "selection_reason": "-8.55% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "-5.61% from MA50"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 62, "selection_reason": "-13.04% from MA50"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}

{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score and strong deviation from MAs",
        "symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal gain, no clear improvement opportunity",
        "symbol": "ADP_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Positive trend, maintain position",
        "symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No price movement, hold position",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small gain, no urgency to sell",
        "symbol": "EXE_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong gain, maintain position",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No movement, hold position",
        "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No movement, candidate but already held",
        "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No movement, hold position",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No movement, hold position",
        "symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "New position, observe",
        "symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Marginal unrealized loss and low mean-reversion potential",
        "symbol": "KBCA_CFD.BE"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Maintaining core holdings with positive trends while pruning underperforming assets. Adding HIK_CFD.UK based on superior mean-reversion metrics. Keeping within 2 buy/sell limits and adhering to fixed position sizing."
}

{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-22.09% from MA200 and -9.60% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-23.43% from MA200 and -3.82% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "-8.55% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 68
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IPR_CFD.PT",
      "selection_reason": "-5.61% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-13.04% from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Missing MA200 data",
    "Insufficient deviation from MA50",
    "Sector concentration risk"
  ]
}