Arena run #179

meanrev-v1deepseekdeepseek/deepseek-chatEUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00
started_at: 2026-02-19T09:41:02.754276+00:00
finished_at: 2026-02-19T09:41:38.557563+00:00
duration_ms: 35801
Inputs
{
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, significant distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "universe_symbols": [
    "AIR_CFD.DE",
    "FUTR_CFD.UK",
    "ADJ_CFD.DE",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "BDT_CFD.DE",
    "BT_CFD.UK",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "UMG_CFD.NL",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "CLH_CFD.US",
    "HBR_CFD.UK",
    "FLO_CFD.US",
    "CLARI_CFD.FR",
    "DHER_CFD.DE",
    "WEIR_CFD.UK",
    "PNN_CFD.UK",
    "ETSY_CFD.US",
    "BNZL_CFD.UK",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "MSLH_CFD.UK",
    "PAGE_CFD.UK",
    "AMCX_CFD.US",
    "IHG_CFD.UK",
    "DBG_CFD.FR",
    "RMV_CFD.UK",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "TRST_CFD.UK",
    "COLD_CFD.US",
    "GRI_CFD.UK",
    "CCL_CFD.UK",
    "THG_CFD.UK",
    "MDM_CFD.FR",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "NWE_CFD.US",
    "MPT_CFD.US",
    "CCC_CFD.UK",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "DCC_CFD.UK",
    "FME_CFD.DE",
    "RAND_CFD.NL",
    "BKH_CFD.US",
    "DPLM_CFD.UK",
    "LEG_CFD.US",
    "DEZ_CFD.DE",
    "LPX_CFD.US",
    "MAN_CFD.US",
    "TMV_CFD.DE"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility",
        "symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility",
        "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "FLO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Negative unrealized PNL and no significant improvement expected",
        "symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio is adjusted to capitalize on mean-reversion opportunities while adhering to the strategy's constraints. LXS_CFD.DE is sold due to negative unrealized PNL. AIR_CFD.DE and BT_CFD.UK are bought based on their strong mean-reversion scores and moderate volatility. Other positions are held as there are no significant changes in their fundamentals or price movements."
}
Prompts & responses
#345openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-02-19T09:41:02.824663+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "name": "AIRBUS SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 200.984, "change_1d_pct": 2.73154774074833, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.284898992222621, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5545147418150043, "volatility_20d_pct": 42.989395732870086, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 422.0, "change_1d_pct": -13.70143149284253, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -38.122509366851766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -25.139370269544393, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.49494054552733, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.2, "change_1d_pct": 7.526881720430123, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.966430015515534, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.7326895418122055, "volatility_20d_pct": 311.6321860192083, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 259.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.19342359767891004, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.670350849922237, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.35817197640911624, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.03912578370827, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.2735042735042805, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.344980756373573, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.1704016694101371, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.9931345477538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BDT_CFD.DE", "name": "Bertrandt AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 18.571, "change_1d_pct": 1.1492374727668953, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8907902111545822, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.12283638022053678, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.18981583912894, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 209.7, "change_1d_pct": 3.35140463282404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.419039464933654, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.273956800022077, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.28451509255954, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 412.5, "change_1d_pct": -2.4822695035460973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -0.6645361918828807, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.1817499624793744, "volatility_20d_pct": 3857.1547460259226, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UMG_CFD.NL", "name": "Universal Music Group N.V.", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.085, "change_1d_pct": -2.052861175263021, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.01215089983454, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.475708151200628, "volatility_20d_pct": 5277.5584258190365, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 221.9, "change_1d_pct": -21.312056737588648, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.06664037160078, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.1767959417158487, "volatility_20d_pct": 240.9598068877464, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CLH_CFD.US", "name": "Clean Harbors Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 282.68, "change_1d_pct": 5.924232772510951, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.788162931055496, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.934743011008164, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.53779134386277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HBR_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 224.0, "change_1d_pct": -1.5817223198594021, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.25712713749498, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.344190568789498, "volatility_20d_pct": 121.81714824955505, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "name": "Flowers Foods Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.08, "change_1d_pct": -13.550600343053176, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.247859870933755, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.983860661274722, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.84040924651786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CLARI_CFD.FR", "name": "Clariane SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.054, "change_1d_pct": 5.959226346053326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.880989684399149, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.118498159000162, "volatility_20d_pct": 56.44908583267642, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE", "name": "DELIVERY HERO SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 21.697, "change_1d_pct": 8.41994803118129, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.043300461955859, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.9118102642292225, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.57540695812013, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 3528.0, "change_1d_pct": 28.104575163398682, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.82019549853024, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.81825945664355, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.98797128417365, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNN_CFD.UK", "name": "PENNON GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 555.5, "change_1d_pct": 7.728110152235046, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.15330418465657, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.049118953291236, "volatility_20d_pct": 59.72600720990832, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "name": "Etsy, Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 45.05, "change_1d_pct": -4.736730809896383, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -22.534006367515534, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.214271368318382, "volatility_20d_pct": 100.53604696211289, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BNZL_CFD.UK", "name": "BUNZL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2150.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.2660902977905915, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.89817576647831, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.7743217653786383, "volatility_20d_pct": 67.68662202659726, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 182.32, "change_1d_pct": 0.8407079646017612, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.111863069088763, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.139091576985178, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.4204512350097, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 209.6, "change_1d_pct": -10.960067969413767, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.313052268665963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.41066281665177, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.6882126676479, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "name": "AMC Networks Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.83, "change_1d_pct": 20.136054421768712, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.9692718770875, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.639117823104197, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.48066850500462, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 144.25, "change_1d_pct": 1.1216263582194186, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.11701487032192, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -96.80246670021214, "volatility_20d_pct": 600.119439684226, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DBG_CFD.FR", "name": "DERICHEBOURG", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.385, "change_1d_pct": 10.541813898704344, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 49.82977517551315, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.683144061176442, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.06607367989656, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "name": "RIGHTMOVE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 431.4, "change_1d_pct": -14.810426540284361, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.284210035093366, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.526388114623416, "volatility_20d_pct": 137.79982108268825, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 58.6, "change_1d_pct": 0.5145797598627766, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.529572618060026, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.45525582659509123, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.16825025482643, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "name": "TRUSTPILOT AS", "sector": "", "last_price": 136.36, "change_1d_pct": -37.848678213309014, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -36.800807370149315, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -24.62483776319949, "volatility_20d_pct": 213.49310525124298, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "COLD_CFD.US", "name": "Americold Realty Trust", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.15, "change_1d_pct": 0.16488046166529546, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.469446585641432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.0920716112531785, "volatility_20d_pct": 62.98922975749638, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.08322929671245038, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.9312468607917275, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9128310349964197, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.43116862190418, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "name": "CARNIVAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2419.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.1556503198294283, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 29.618391987129257, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.778633621783047, "volatility_20d_pct": 140.95176391789954, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 35.48, "change_1d_pct": -20.090090090090097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.031971945380275, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -18.256005234564732, "volatility_20d_pct": 150.3458448856807, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MDM_CFD.FR", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.45, "change_1d_pct": -2.684563758389269, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.938829350315523, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.472025862559626, "volatility_20d_pct": 78.69145518801585, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 202.0, "change_1d_pct": 8.58463688652369, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.069225606016771, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.253653245130858, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.7523831897994, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NWE_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 69.35, "change_1d_pct": 1.122776319626717, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.511248333603533, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.879257401865188, "volatility_20d_pct": 48.81632674937871, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MPT_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.42, "change_1d_pct": -4.745166959578196, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.542142144202172, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.5339063992358977, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.24361337038149, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPUTACENTER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2960.0, "change_1d_pct": -10.789632308619645, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.038340831266787, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.2104670976909713, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.6737083098957, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.6, "change_1d_pct": -3.0303030303030165, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.487479898920274, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.535829865926946, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.86164938143123, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DCC_CFD.UK", "name": "DCC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 5245.0, "change_1d_pct": 21.976744186046517, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.796736819749817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.249138275290836, "volatility_20d_pct": 93.64714435327805, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FME_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 40.818, "change_1d_pct": -0.0538687561214668, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.105280795556412, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.713965126820784, "volatility_20d_pct": 35.43744786221902, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RAND_CFD.NL", "name": "RANDSTAD NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 28.3, "change_1d_pct": 2.573396158028274, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.34622337623419, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.726770313492977, "volatility_20d_pct": 156.94217733189032, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BKH_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 74.06, "change_1d_pct": 1.8566909641039908, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 16.55961837191111, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.5882430281447775, "volatility_20d_pct": 46.0532888421459, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "name": "DIPLOMA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 5450.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.066486972147352, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.794115706218555, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.20332519590636755, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.180379080220206, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LEG_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 11.89, "change_1d_pct": 3.4812880765883403, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.11738923535453, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8550198486750649, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.5337217331953, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE", "name": "Deutz AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 11.596, "change_1d_pct": 1.898066783831287, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.977571812486865, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.755575653396114, "volatility_20d_pct": 52.36182414033206, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "name": "LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 87.47, "change_1d_pct": -8.16797900262467, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.8245018971205673, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.55481025034676, "volatility_20d_pct": 68.57109478700374, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAN_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.82, "change_1d_pct": 1.1533242876526462, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.412574641413403, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.074822856399917, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.1219007608683, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.836, "change_1d_pct": -6.169965075669371, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.297706090940466, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.730049017879177, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.73079178879432, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, significant distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "High volatility",
    "Negative distance from MA200 or MA50",
    "Significant negative daily change"
  ]
}
#346openrouterdeepseek/deepseek-chat2026-02-19T09:41:18.300569+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.184, "last_price": 0.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.135135135135135, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T21:00:47.737392+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 303.7974683544304, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 9.875, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 7.488766849725412, "avg_price": 400.6, "last_price": 400.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 147.49262536873155, "avg_price": 20.34, "last_price": 20.025, "unrealized_pnl": -46.460176991150625, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 13.824884792626728, "avg_price": 217.0, "last_price": 217.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility"}, {"symbol": "BT_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility"}, {"symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA200 and MA50"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA50"}, {"symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "Positive change, significant distance from MA200 and MA50"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility",
        "symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility",
        "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "FLO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No significant change in price or fundamentals",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Negative unrealized PNL and no significant improvement expected",
        "symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "The portfolio is adjusted to capitalize on mean-reversion opportunities while adhering to the strategy's constraints. LXS_CFD.DE is sold due to negative unrealized PNL. AIR_CFD.DE and BT_CFD.UK are bought based on their strong mean-reversion scores and moderate volatility. Other positions are held as there are no significant changes in their fundamentals or price movements."
}
Selection logs
#171stage12026-02-19T09:41:18.296884+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive distance from MA200 and MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BT_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Significant positive distance from MA50, moderate volatility",
      "mean_reversion_score": 80
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 75
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, moderate distance from MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE",
      "selection_reason": "Positive change, significant distance from MA200 and MA50",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "High volatility",
    "Negative distance from MA200 or MA50",
    "Significant negative daily change"
  ]
}