Arena run #1755

meanrev-v1anthropicanthropic/claude-opus-4.6EUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00
started_at: 2026-05-10T11:30:05.466132+00:00
finished_at: 2026-05-10T11:30:35.933971+00:00
duration_ms: 30466
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 26.6% in 1 day, trading 22% below MA50 and 13% below MA200; extreme single-day selloff suggests oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50; moderate volatility relative to peers with clear mean-reversion setup.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50; steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Down 3.6% in 1 day, near MA200 (-2.5%) and MA50 (-2.1%); lowest volatility in universe (45%) makes it a cleaner mean-reversion candidate with tighter risk.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 1.2% in 1 day, 5% below MA50 while near MA200; moderate pullback in context of reasonable volatility suggests reversion toward MA50.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "ASHM_CFD.UK",
    "GRI_CFD.UK",
    "N91_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "GFTU_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "PNN_CFD.UK",
    "MGNS_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "BNZL_CFD.UK",
    "HAIN_CFD.US",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "HFG_CFD.UK",
    "HE_CFD.US",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "ADJ_CFD.DE",
    "PSON_CFD.UK",
    "LMP_CFD.UK",
    "HAS_CFD.UK",
    "SBT_CFD.FR",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "MOS_CFD.US",
    "CPG_CFD.UK",
    "GPK_CFD.US",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "BLND_CFD.UK",
    "CTEC_CFD.UK",
    "ECMPA_CFD.NL",
    "PHP_CFD.UK",
    "REC_CFD.BE",
    "MNDI_CFD.UK",
    "GLW_CFD.US",
    "TER_CFD.US",
    "UKW_CFD.UK",
    "NXI_CFD.FR",
    "AKAM_CFD.US",
    "SFM_CFD.US",
    "APH_CFD.US",
    "ALB_CFD.US",
    "GT_CFD.US",
    "TSCO_CFD.US",
    "CDW_CFD.US",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion score 72. Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50. Strong oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days.",
        "symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion score 70. Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50. Steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce. Previously held at higher price, now re-entering at lower level.",
        "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Already hold position; candidate list confirms strong mean-reversion score of 78. Hold for expected bounce from extreme oversold levels.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong unrealized gain of +$1524 (+25.4%). Position is working well, let profits run.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$258 (+8.6%). Momentum positive, hold for further upside.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$138 (+4.6%). Steady performer, hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$143 (+4.8%). Position performing well.",
        "symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$51 (+1.7%). Modest positive, hold.",
        "symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small unrealized gain, position near breakeven. Hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "At breakeven. No reason to sell, hold for potential upside.",
        "symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Recently opened position at breakeven. Hold for mean-reversion thesis to play out.",
        "symbol": "CDW_CFD.US"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Position is down -5.5% with -$166 unrealized loss. Not an EU-focused name and showing persistent weakness rather than mean-reversion. Cut loss to free capital for higher-conviction EU mean-reversion candidates.",
        "symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position is down -3.2% with -$96 unrealized loss. Price trending lower from entry with no clear reversion signal. Free capital for better-scoring candidates.",
        "symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Selling two losing positions (DLTR, PAG) that show persistent weakness rather than mean-reversion potential. Adding two high-scoring EU mean-reversion candidates (CTEC, MNDI) with strong single-day selloffs and significant distance below moving averages. Retaining CBG which already has the highest candidate score (78) and is held. Portfolio remains within leverage limits with ~10 active positions after trades. Focus on EU names per strategy region."
}
Prompts & responses
#2877openrouteranthropic/claude-opus-4.62026-05-10T11:30:05.511684+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASHM_CFD.UK", "name": "ASHMORE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 244.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.4084507042253502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.45532080672305, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.88993054528128, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.25405461264828, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAINGER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.455301455301461, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.198447178618971, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.23237017579308406, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.77829509727196, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "N91_CFD.UK", "name": "NINETY ONE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 241.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.739726027397249, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.140556255617817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809338693563394, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.21236037483679, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFTU_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAFTON GROUP PLC-UTS", "sector": "", "last_price": 955.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.0434175890393638, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.963270661870655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4837359036161253, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.04515943079597, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNN_CFD.UK", "name": "PENNON GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 551.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.699224018295192, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.698549858568065, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.285607918028347, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.33547101641821, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MGNS_CFD.UK", "name": "MORGAN SINDALL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4860.0, "change_1d_pct": 8.928311274976753, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.027421064583947, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.129720434840567, "volatility_20d_pct": 174.2493967907277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 642.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.369676320272568, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.33187982293969, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.734877154290203, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.28654302325035, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.45, "change_1d_pct": 5.072463768115942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.736689839803102, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.741616392894367, "volatility_20d_pct": 192.10029439414404, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BNZL_CFD.UK", "name": "BUNZL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2463.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.246612466124661, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.753831191506032, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.385480526561633, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.72449919502712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "name": "The Hain Celestial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.7051, "change_1d_pct": -0.18403171007929098, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -33.19918220868079, "volatility_20d_pct": 9562.636249272142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.16, "change_1d_pct": -18.881118881118887, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.28291023292333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.388464211257826, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.53996036728756, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.38, "change_1d_pct": -4.142441860465118, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.657754948131142, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.38635685863516, "volatility_20d_pct": 328.69037941810484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HFG_CFD.UK", "name": "HILTON FOOD GROUP  PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 548.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.261569416498983, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.343342424790787, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.640994786201595, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.6338077414147, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HE_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 15.21, "change_1d_pct": -0.5232177894048284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.418325030448132, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.38013779995249575, "volatility_20d_pct": 56.2273665181513, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 186.0, "change_1d_pct": -27.372120265521282, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.532109898724187, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.095469955276336, "volatility_20d_pct": 249.4549801604736, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.172, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.882720895484601, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.603438713255703, "volatility_20d_pct": 273.6401010011234, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PSON_CFD.UK", "name": "PEARSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1130.5, "change_1d_pct": 10.887690044139276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.656877487760717, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.070566544762686, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.35458813581232, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.3, "change_1d_pct": -1.5864892528147378, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9846926531141609, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.5701060895768606, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.33658818601971, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "name": "HAYS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 33.32, "change_1d_pct": -41.13074204946997, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -48.070043100929105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -36.93550462952447, "volatility_20d_pct": 238.64976019705142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR", "name": "Oeneo Bouchage", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.06, "change_1d_pct": -3.6170212765957444, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.470898704832891, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.093216767347117, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.82674811022072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "MOSAIC CO/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 22.68, "change_1d_pct": -0.8307826847398392, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.041178088180335, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.675604357518132, "volatility_20d_pct": 58.492818534138344, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.86, "change_1d_pct": 10.38817005545285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.62792901945058, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -97.64592728075431, "volatility_20d_pct": 603.5168554995487, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPK_CFD.US", "name": "GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.83, "change_1d_pct": 3.3396946564885566, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.55310635378158, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.776440810751085, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.64166136593849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7168.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.064973861090373, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.233977228616963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.207072239512863, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.31219199190863, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 391.7, "change_1d_pct": 13.077367205542734, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.463250377902539, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.22954591071041586, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37084138774277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK", "name": "CONVATEC GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 207.6, "change_1d_pct": -9.344978165938866, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.703012133032836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.110882751143869, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.55231905033538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ECMPA_CFD.NL", "name": "Eurocommercial Properties", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.55, "change_1d_pct": -1.0771992818671472, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.6903216093641333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.1231830861841097, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.36817383080048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PHP_CFD.UK", "name": "PRIMARY HEALTH PROPERTIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 94.45, "change_1d_pct": 2.9427792915531326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.7938096307572038, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.243122527295772, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.6461438724416, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "REC_CFD.BE", "name": "Recticel SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.46, "change_1d_pct": 4.809619238476959, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.058074500153921, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.356848542895064, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40840090493766, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 791.2, "change_1d_pct": -6.698113207547163, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.479426249971617, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.4613389099806415, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.60907560467662, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLW_CFD.US", "name": "CORNING INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 188.85, "change_1d_pct": 15.110325490674148, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 82.89928046057497, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.75557552055807, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.84474569423688, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TER_CFD.US", "name": "Teradyne Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 364.83, "change_1d_pct": 0.42390376833933985, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 68.88921190821016, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.709846130159061, "volatility_20d_pct": 157.6172997157301, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.4, "change_1d_pct": 3.976801988401002, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.084405711745047, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.06418459649417674, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.6750581480199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXI_CFD.FR", "name": "Nexity SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.87, "change_1d_pct": 2.9002320185614883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8172723359173766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.139882271780061, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.36558349705058, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "name": "Akamai Technologies Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 149.65, "change_1d_pct": 29.533454513979063, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 67.35414384628247, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 40.951064126376544, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.28386628635903, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "name": "SPROUTS FARMERS MARKET INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 83.96, "change_1d_pct": 5.823040080665476, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.859033241826022, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.726337517838312, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.60367883354618, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "APH_CFD.US", "name": "Amphenol Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 129.32, "change_1d_pct": -6.405153072302228, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.0376873106913607, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.5835102608208125, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.0166002676417, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALB_CFD.US", "name": "Albemarle Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.33, "change_1d_pct": 5.340276714147141, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 55.2867137024927, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.528901159776497, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.20248363317458, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GT_CFD.US", "name": "GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.6, "change_1d_pct": -6.647807637906656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.067063973807162, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.438707089231487, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.97055948582533, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TSCO_CFD.US", "name": "TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.97, "change_1d_pct": -4.941682013505222, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.941691123328326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.859547567855635, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.43852653574369, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "name": "CDW Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 105.95, "change_1d_pct": -22.522851919561237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.021248903759897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.385807177072463, "volatility_20d_pct": 133.8807652870453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2557.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.6235679214402525, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.883274190387418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.9730049158046343, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.30183705216716, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 26.6% in 1 day, trading 22% below MA50 and 13% below MA200; extreme single-day selloff suggests oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50; moderate volatility relative to peers with clear mean-reversion setup.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50; steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Down 3.6% in 1 day, near MA200 (-2.5%) and MA50 (-2.1%); lowest volatility in universe (45%) makes it a cleaner mean-reversion candidate with tighter risk.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 1.2% in 1 day, 5% below MA50 while near MA200; moderate pullback in context of reasonable volatility suggests reversion toward MA50.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Massive 1-day gains (>10%) indicate momentum/event-driven moves, not mean-reversion shorts candidates (BOY, DLN, BNZL, PSON, BLND, HMSO)",
    "Extreme volatility >200% makes position sizing and risk unmanageable (OCDO, HAS, MCG, CPG, ADJ, HAIN)",
    "Stocks far above MA200 (>20%) are in strong uptrend, not mean-reverting (ASHM, GLW, TER, AKAM, ALB)",
    "US-listed stocks excluded to maintain EU region focus where possible; CDW/TSCO large drops may be event-driven",
    "HAS down 41% in 1 day likely binary/event-driven (earnings or profit warning), violating selection constraints"
  ]
}
#2878openrouteranthropic/claude-opus-4.62026-05-10T11:30:20.468334+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 190.4, "last_price": 197.35, "unrealized_pnl": 109.50630252100822, "opened_at": "2026-04-04T10:04:54.381536+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 245.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 142.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.63, "last_price": 29.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 59.0, "last_price": 58.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 27.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEKB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.9, "last_price": 40.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 373.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 634.0, "last_price": 634.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 310.3, "last_price": 295.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 57.754999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 289.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.6, "last_price": 108.935, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.285, "last_price": 95.88499999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2978.0, "last_price": 3218.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2005.2, "last_price": 1888.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "qty": 28.66698518872432, "avg_price": 104.65, "last_price": 104.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-05-09T18:07:46.147407+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CPAY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 321.845, "last_price": 317.015, "unrealized_pnl": -45.02167192282037, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 423.05499999999995, "last_price": 388.21500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CTT_CFD.PT", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.74, "last_price": 6.76, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1812.0, "last_price": 1812.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 30.06915906585146, "avg_price": 99.77, "last_price": 94.245, "unrealized_pnl": -166.13210383882904, "opened_at": "2026-04-10T18:00:56.644490+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 62.5, "last_price": 64.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DPLM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5110.0, "last_price": 5940.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EEFT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 63.91, "last_price": 66.13499999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-04T18:08:49.555685+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ELIOR_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2.4, "last_price": 2.378, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 55.55, "last_price": 53.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 87.4, "last_price": 81.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-09T10:04:16.483403+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.905, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 395.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1199.4650000000001, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FME_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 38.38, "last_price": 38.14, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRE_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 49.156, "last_price": 47.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 297.6, "unrealized_pnl": 141.44968332160488, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "qty": 92.36453201970444, "avg_price": 32.48, "last_price": 32.56, "unrealized_pnl": 7.389162561576854, "opened_at": "2026-04-10T10:21:39.995579+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1408.0, "last_price": 1342.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 254.566, "last_price": 251.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.010695187165775, "avg_price": 1496.0, "last_price": 1876.0, "unrealized_pnl": 1524.0641711229946, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 766.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": -138.5083713850837, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.421602787456447, "avg_price": 172.2, "last_price": 187.0, "unrealized_pnl": 257.8397212543556, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.57, "last_price": 4.5600000000000005, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 1815.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMT_CFD.PT", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.76, "last_price": 20.159, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 285.0, "last_price": 301.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LAND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 586.0, "last_price": 573.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LOPE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 157.02, "last_price": 152.77, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 86.45, "last_price": 82.99, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 576.0, "last_price": 593.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSEG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 8510.0, "last_price": 8694.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 20.15, "last_price": 19.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LTA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 24.288, "last_price": 24.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MKS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 346.1, "last_price": 330.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T10:08:31.727705+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 820.0, "last_price": 808.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T10:12:30.296045+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MNG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.0, "last_price": 278.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MTG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 26.27, "last_price": 25.98, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NRG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 145.86, "last_price": 152.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NXT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12327.27, "last_price": 12695.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 78.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ORCL_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 153.02, "last_price": 150.49, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OSB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 515.0, "last_price": 513.55, "unrealized_pnl": -8.446601941747838, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.57336343115124, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 139.0, "unrealized_pnl": 137.69751693002243, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.9190071848465053, "avg_price": 765.5, "last_price": 741.0, "unrealized_pnl": -96.01567602873938, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PRU_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1030.0, "last_price": 1101.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 73.1, "last_price": 78.8, "unrealized_pnl": 233.9261285909714, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.2903225806451613, "avg_price": 2325.0, "last_price": 2325.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 309.4, "last_price": 337.0, "unrealized_pnl": 267.61473820297374, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T10:06:24.210601+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3790.0000000000005, "last_price": 3790.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 89.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 708.0, "last_price": 708.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.4, "last_price": 783.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.84737678855326, "avg_price": 125.8, "last_price": 131.8, "unrealized_pnl": 143.0842607313199, "opened_at": "2026-04-10T10:21:39.995579+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STAN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1615.0, "last_price": 1634.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1220.0, "last_price": 1202.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STM_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 18.436, "last_price": 17.66, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STZ_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 149.07, "last_price": 156.44, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 257.0, "last_price": 248.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.769, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 7.132, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.79, "last_price": 92.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 461.2, "last_price": 458.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.093378607809847, "avg_price": 589.0, "last_price": 599.0, "unrealized_pnl": 50.93378607809847, "opened_at": "2026-04-09T10:04:16.483403+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 394.2, "last_price": 404.25, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2808.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 215.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1299.0, "last_price": 1080.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZAL_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 21.078, "last_price": 20.775, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZION_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.99, "last_price": 57.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Down 26.6% in 1 day, trading 22% below MA50 and 13% below MA200; extreme single-day selloff suggests oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days."}, {"symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 72, "selection_reason": "Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50; moderate volatility relative to peers with clear mean-reversion setup."}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50; steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce."}, {"symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "Down 3.6% in 1 day, near MA200 (-2.5%) and MA50 (-2.1%); lowest volatility in universe (45%) makes it a cleaner mean-reversion candidate with tighter risk."}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 62, "selection_reason": "Down 1.2% in 1 day, 5% below MA50 while near MA200; moderate pullback in context of reasonable volatility suggests reversion toward MA50."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion score 72. Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50. Strong oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days.",
        "symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion score 70. Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50. Steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce. Previously held at higher price, now re-entering at lower level.",
        "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Already hold position; candidate list confirms strong mean-reversion score of 78. Hold for expected bounce from extreme oversold levels.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong unrealized gain of +$1524 (+25.4%). Position is working well, let profits run.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$258 (+8.6%). Momentum positive, hold for further upside.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$138 (+4.6%). Steady performer, hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$143 (+4.8%). Position performing well.",
        "symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Unrealized gain of +$51 (+1.7%). Modest positive, hold.",
        "symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small unrealized gain, position near breakeven. Hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "At breakeven. No reason to sell, hold for potential upside.",
        "symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Recently opened position at breakeven. Hold for mean-reversion thesis to play out.",
        "symbol": "CDW_CFD.US"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Position is down -5.5% with -$166 unrealized loss. Not an EU-focused name and showing persistent weakness rather than mean-reversion. Cut loss to free capital for higher-conviction EU mean-reversion candidates.",
        "symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position is down -3.2% with -$96 unrealized loss. Price trending lower from entry with no clear reversion signal. Free capital for better-scoring candidates.",
        "symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Selling two losing positions (DLTR, PAG) that show persistent weakness rather than mean-reversion potential. Adding two high-scoring EU mean-reversion candidates (CTEC, MNDI) with strong single-day selloffs and significant distance below moving averages. Retaining CBG which already has the highest candidate score (78) and is held. Portfolio remains within leverage limits with ~10 active positions after trades. Focus on EU names per strategy region."
}
Selection logs
#1127stage12026-05-10T11:30:20.464552+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 26.6% in 1 day, trading 22% below MA50 and 13% below MA200; extreme single-day selloff suggests oversold bounce potential within 2-10 days.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 9.3% in 1 day, 16.7% below MA200 and 11.1% below MA50; moderate volatility relative to peers with clear mean-reversion setup.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 72
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 6.7% in 1 day, 16.5% below MA200 and 7.5% below MA50; steady decline creating oversold conditions for short-term bounce.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 70
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Down 3.6% in 1 day, near MA200 (-2.5%) and MA50 (-2.1%); lowest volatility in universe (45%) makes it a cleaner mean-reversion candidate with tighter risk.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 65
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Down 1.2% in 1 day, 5% below MA50 while near MA200; moderate pullback in context of reasonable volatility suggests reversion toward MA50.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 62
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Massive 1-day gains (>10%) indicate momentum/event-driven moves, not mean-reversion shorts candidates (BOY, DLN, BNZL, PSON, BLND, HMSO)",
    "Extreme volatility >200% makes position sizing and risk unmanageable (OCDO, HAS, MCG, CPG, ADJ, HAIN)",
    "Stocks far above MA200 (>20%) are in strong uptrend, not mean-reverting (ASHM, GLW, TER, AKAM, ALB)",
    "US-listed stocks excluded to maintain EU region focus where possible; CDW/TSCO large drops may be event-driven",
    "HAS down 41% in 1 day likely binary/event-driven (earnings or profit warning), violating selection constraints"
  ]
}