Arena run #1752

meanrev-v1x-aix-ai/grok-4.1-fastEUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00
started_at: 2026-05-10T11:26:12.408124+00:00
finished_at: 2026-05-10T11:28:36.382134+00:00
duration_ms: 143972
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-41.1% 1d drop, -36.9% below MA50, -48.1% below MA200, vol 239%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-27.4% 1d drop, -19.1% below MA50, vol 249%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+24.2% 1d rise, +18.6% above MA50, +28.7% above MA200",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+14.1% 1d rise, +10.0% above MA50, vol 88%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "ASHM_CFD.UK",
    "GRI_CFD.UK",
    "N91_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "GFTU_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "PNN_CFD.UK",
    "MGNS_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "BNZL_CFD.UK",
    "HAIN_CFD.US",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "HFG_CFD.UK",
    "HE_CFD.US",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "ADJ_CFD.DE",
    "PSON_CFD.UK",
    "LMP_CFD.UK",
    "HAS_CFD.UK",
    "SBT_CFD.FR",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "MOS_CFD.US",
    "CPG_CFD.UK",
    "GPK_CFD.US",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "BLND_CFD.UK",
    "CTEC_CFD.UK",
    "ECMPA_CFD.NL",
    "PHP_CFD.UK",
    "REC_CFD.BE",
    "MNDI_CFD.UK",
    "GLW_CFD.US",
    "TER_CFD.US",
    "UKW_CFD.UK",
    "NXI_CFD.FR",
    "AKAM_CFD.US",
    "SFM_CFD.US",
    "APH_CFD.US",
    "ALB_CFD.US",
    "GT_CFD.US",
    "TSCO_CFD.US",
    "CDW_CFD.US",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "High score 95, -26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%; strong oversold mean-reversion signal, clear improvement over flat holdings.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+124 PnL), stable mean-reversion hold.",
        "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL but recent; marginal, prefer hold to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CDW_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong profit (+564 PnL), no sell signal; hold.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Top candidate score 98, -41.1% 1d drop below MAs; hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+258 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small profit (+13 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "LPX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "High candidate score 93, -27.4% 1d drop below MA50; hold loss for expected reversion.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+138 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+239 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL (0), recent position opened 2026-05-09, not featured in top mean-reversion candidates; sell to free slot for higher-conviction opportunity without overtrading.",
        "symbol": "FMC_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Minimal trade (1 sell, 1 buy) to replace flat non-signaled position with top new EU candidate CBG, maintaining 10 positions, <3x leverage, no overtrading. Hold winners/losses with signals or profits; focus on oversold mean-reversion opportunities."
}
Prompts & responses
#2872openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-05-10T11:26:12.449938+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASHM_CFD.UK", "name": "ASHMORE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 244.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.4084507042253502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.45532080672305, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.88993054528128, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.25405461264828, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAINGER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.455301455301461, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.198447178618971, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.23237017579308406, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.77829509727196, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "N91_CFD.UK", "name": "NINETY ONE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 241.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.739726027397249, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.140556255617817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809338693563394, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.21236037483679, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFTU_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAFTON GROUP PLC-UTS", "sector": "", "last_price": 955.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.0434175890393638, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.963270661870655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4837359036161253, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.04515943079597, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNN_CFD.UK", "name": "PENNON GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 551.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.699224018295192, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.698549858568065, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.285607918028347, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.33547101641821, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MGNS_CFD.UK", "name": "MORGAN SINDALL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4860.0, "change_1d_pct": 8.928311274976753, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.027421064583947, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.129720434840567, "volatility_20d_pct": 174.2493967907277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 642.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.369676320272568, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.33187982293969, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.734877154290203, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.28654302325035, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.45, "change_1d_pct": 5.072463768115942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.736689839803102, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.741616392894367, "volatility_20d_pct": 192.10029439414404, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BNZL_CFD.UK", "name": "BUNZL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2463.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.246612466124661, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.753831191506032, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.385480526561633, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.72449919502712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "name": "The Hain Celestial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.7051, "change_1d_pct": -0.18403171007929098, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -33.19918220868079, "volatility_20d_pct": 9562.636249272142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.16, "change_1d_pct": -18.881118881118887, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.28291023292333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.388464211257826, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.53996036728756, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.38, "change_1d_pct": -4.142441860465118, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.657754948131142, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.38635685863516, "volatility_20d_pct": 328.69037941810484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HFG_CFD.UK", "name": "HILTON FOOD GROUP  PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 548.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.261569416498983, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.343342424790787, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.640994786201595, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.6338077414147, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HE_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 15.21, "change_1d_pct": -0.5232177894048284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.418325030448132, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.38013779995249575, "volatility_20d_pct": 56.2273665181513, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 186.0, "change_1d_pct": -27.372120265521282, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.532109898724187, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.095469955276336, "volatility_20d_pct": 249.4549801604736, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.172, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.882720895484601, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.603438713255703, "volatility_20d_pct": 273.6401010011234, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PSON_CFD.UK", "name": "PEARSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1130.5, "change_1d_pct": 10.887690044139276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.656877487760717, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.070566544762686, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.35458813581232, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.3, "change_1d_pct": -1.5864892528147378, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9846926531141609, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.5701060895768606, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.33658818601971, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "name": "HAYS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 33.32, "change_1d_pct": -41.13074204946997, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -48.070043100929105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -36.93550462952447, "volatility_20d_pct": 238.64976019705142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR", "name": "Oeneo Bouchage", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.06, "change_1d_pct": -3.6170212765957444, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.470898704832891, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.093216767347117, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.82674811022072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "MOSAIC CO/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 22.68, "change_1d_pct": -0.8307826847398392, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.041178088180335, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.675604357518132, "volatility_20d_pct": 58.492818534138344, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.86, "change_1d_pct": 10.38817005545285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.62792901945058, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -97.64592728075431, "volatility_20d_pct": 603.5168554995487, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPK_CFD.US", "name": "GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.83, "change_1d_pct": 3.3396946564885566, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.55310635378158, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.776440810751085, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.64166136593849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7168.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.064973861090373, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.233977228616963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.207072239512863, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.31219199190863, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 391.7, "change_1d_pct": 13.077367205542734, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.463250377902539, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.22954591071041586, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37084138774277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK", "name": "CONVATEC GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 207.6, "change_1d_pct": -9.344978165938866, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.703012133032836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.110882751143869, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.55231905033538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ECMPA_CFD.NL", "name": "Eurocommercial Properties", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.55, "change_1d_pct": -1.0771992818671472, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.6903216093641333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.1231830861841097, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.36817383080048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PHP_CFD.UK", "name": "PRIMARY HEALTH PROPERTIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 94.45, "change_1d_pct": 2.9427792915531326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.7938096307572038, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.243122527295772, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.6461438724416, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "REC_CFD.BE", "name": "Recticel SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.46, "change_1d_pct": 4.809619238476959, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.058074500153921, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.356848542895064, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40840090493766, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 791.2, "change_1d_pct": -6.698113207547163, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.479426249971617, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.4613389099806415, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.60907560467662, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLW_CFD.US", "name": "CORNING INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 188.85, "change_1d_pct": 15.110325490674148, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 82.89928046057497, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.75557552055807, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.84474569423688, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TER_CFD.US", "name": "Teradyne Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 364.83, "change_1d_pct": 0.42390376833933985, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 68.88921190821016, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.709846130159061, "volatility_20d_pct": 157.6172997157301, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.4, "change_1d_pct": 3.976801988401002, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.084405711745047, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.06418459649417674, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.6750581480199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXI_CFD.FR", "name": "Nexity SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.87, "change_1d_pct": 2.9002320185614883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8172723359173766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.139882271780061, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.36558349705058, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "name": "Akamai Technologies Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 149.65, "change_1d_pct": 29.533454513979063, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 67.35414384628247, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 40.951064126376544, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.28386628635903, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "name": "SPROUTS FARMERS MARKET INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 83.96, "change_1d_pct": 5.823040080665476, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.859033241826022, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.726337517838312, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.60367883354618, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "APH_CFD.US", "name": "Amphenol Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 129.32, "change_1d_pct": -6.405153072302228, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.0376873106913607, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.5835102608208125, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.0166002676417, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALB_CFD.US", "name": "Albemarle Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.33, "change_1d_pct": 5.340276714147141, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 55.2867137024927, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.528901159776497, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.20248363317458, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GT_CFD.US", "name": "GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.6, "change_1d_pct": -6.647807637906656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.067063973807162, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.438707089231487, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.97055948582533, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TSCO_CFD.US", "name": "TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.97, "change_1d_pct": -4.941682013505222, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.941691123328326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.859547567855635, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.43852653574369, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "name": "CDW Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 105.95, "change_1d_pct": -22.522851919561237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.021248903759897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.385807177072463, "volatility_20d_pct": 133.8807652870453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2557.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.6235679214402525, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.883274190387418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.9730049158046343, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.30183705216716, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-41.1% 1d drop, -36.9% below MA50, -48.1% below MA200, vol 239%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-27.4% 1d drop, -19.1% below MA50, vol 249%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+24.2% 1d rise, +18.6% above MA50, +28.7% above MA200",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+14.1% 1d rise, +10.0% above MA50, vol 88%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "|1d change| < 10%",
    "|dist_ma50_pct| < 10%",
    "volatility_20d_pct < 80%",
    "unknown earnings proximity"
  ]
}
#2873openrouterx-ai/grok-4.1-fast2026-05-10T11:26:53.594702+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1846.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 249.47, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 93.1, "last_price": 91.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-10T18:00:56.644490+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.07, "last_price": 6.93, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 39.78, "last_price": 39.78, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.7, "last_price": 28.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.2137531068765535, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 502.8, "unrealized_pnl": 124.27506213753107, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T18:12:08.252730+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BEI_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 72.36, "last_price": 73.18, "unrealized_pnl": 33.996683250414904, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.275, "last_price": 0.282, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 361.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T10:41:24.306870+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 259.8, "last_price": 255.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BXP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 60.835, "last_price": 59.405, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T17:33:48.338981+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 289.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.28, "last_price": 62.239999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CAR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.465, "last_price": 97.54, "unrealized_pnl": 164.65689720434767, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1858.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "qty": 28.66698518872432, "avg_price": 104.65, "last_price": 104.65, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-05-09T18:07:46.147407+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 168.575, "last_price": 171.13, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.171, "last_price": 0.2196, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.79999999999995, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.185000000000002, "last_price": 25.115000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 99.825, "last_price": 99.445, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-10T18:00:56.644490+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 90.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 55.28, "unrealized_pnl": -144.87389171042437, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.369, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 66.815, "last_price": 70.025, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T10:05:58.226220+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1127.4099999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 10.055, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US", "qty": 224.46689113355782, "avg_price": 13.364999999999998, "last_price": 13.364999999999998, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-05-09T18:07:46.147407+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.138, "last_price": 9.03, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.55594651653765, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 337.6, "unrealized_pnl": 563.6875439831109, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.71, "last_price": 6.05, "unrealized_pnl": 178.63397548161112, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.6, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "qty": 92.36453201970444, "avg_price": 32.48, "last_price": 32.56, "unrealized_pnl": 7.389162561576854, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T18:08:48.203875+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1266.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HPP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.65, "last_price": 5.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1719.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.421602787456447, "avg_price": 172.2, "last_price": 187.0, "unrealized_pnl": 257.8397212543556, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JBLU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.22, "last_price": 4.52, "unrealized_pnl": 213.27014218009467, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JUN3_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 31.51, "last_price": 30.167, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KSS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.71, "last_price": 12.36, "unrealized_pnl": -82.61211644374542, "opened_at": "2026-03-24T18:12:08.252730+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 61.5, "last_price": 59.89, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPX_CFD.US", "qty": 40.085515766969536, "avg_price": 74.84, "last_price": 75.16, "unrealized_pnl": 12.827365045429978, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.34, "last_price": 216.7, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 19.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-30T17:49:05.858690+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MPT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.8, "last_price": 4.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NCLH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 19.89, "last_price": 18.42, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NET_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 176.96, "last_price": 164.32, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.129032258064516, "avg_price": 186.0, "last_price": 181.4, "unrealized_pnl": -74.19354838709668, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 80.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.24, "last_price": 1.24, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.57336343115124, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 139.0, "unrealized_pnl": 137.69751693002243, "opened_at": "2026-03-07T10:14:47.113218+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 119.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.68, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RVTY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 91.28, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 45.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 103.8781163434903, "avg_price": 28.88, "last_price": 31.18, "unrealized_pnl": 238.91966759002779, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 184.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 173.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UAL_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.85, "last_price": 91.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 79.26367081754236, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 461.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 330.2, "last_price": 344.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 894.0, "last_price": 881.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 240.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "XRX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1.35, "last_price": 1.3599999999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 98, "selection_reason": "-41.1% 1d drop, -36.9% below MA50, -48.1% below MA200, vol 239%"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "-26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 93, "selection_reason": "-27.4% 1d drop, -19.1% below MA50, vol 249%"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "+24.2% 1d rise, +18.6% above MA50, +28.7% above MA200"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "+14.1% 1d rise, +10.0% above MA50, vol 88%"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "High score 95, -26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%; strong oversold mean-reversion signal, clear improvement over flat holdings.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+124 PnL), stable mean-reversion hold.",
        "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL but recent; marginal, prefer hold to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CDW_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Strong profit (+564 PnL), no sell signal; hold.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Top candidate score 98, -41.1% 1d drop below MAs; hold for reversion.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+258 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Small profit (+13 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "LPX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "High candidate score 93, -27.4% 1d drop below MA50; hold loss for expected reversion.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+138 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Profitable (+239 PnL); hold.",
        "symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Flat PnL (0), recent position opened 2026-05-09, not featured in top mean-reversion candidates; sell to free slot for higher-conviction opportunity without overtrading.",
        "symbol": "FMC_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Minimal trade (1 sell, 1 buy) to replace flat non-signaled position with top new EU candidate CBG, maintaining 10 positions, <3x leverage, no overtrading. Hold winners/losses with signals or profits; focus on oversold mean-reversion opportunities."
}
Selection logs
#1125stage12026-05-10T11:26:53.591258+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-41.1% 1d drop, -36.9% below MA50, -48.1% below MA200, vol 239%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 98
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-26.6% 1d drop, -22.1% below MA50, vol 169%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "-27.4% 1d drop, -19.1% below MA50, vol 249%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+24.2% 1d rise, +18.6% above MA50, +28.7% above MA200",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "+14.1% 1d rise, +10.0% above MA50, vol 88%",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "|1d change| < 10%",
    "|dist_ma50_pct| < 10%",
    "volatility_20d_pct < 80%",
    "unknown earnings proximity"
  ]
}