Arena run #1750

meanrev-v1moonshotaimoonshotai/kimi-k2-thinkingEUsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00
started_at: 2026-05-10T11:23:48.658715+00:00
finished_at: 2026-05-10T11:25:17.338330+00:00
duration_ms: 88678
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-05-10T10:12:52.141379+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "ASHM_CFD.UK",
    "GRI_CFD.UK",
    "N91_CFD.UK",
    "CBG_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "GFTU_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "PNN_CFD.UK",
    "MGNS_CFD.UK",
    "INVP_CFD.UK",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "BNZL_CFD.UK",
    "HAIN_CFD.US",
    "OPTU_CFD.US",
    "MCG_CFD.UK",
    "HFG_CFD.UK",
    "HE_CFD.US",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "OCDO_CFD.UK",
    "ADJ_CFD.DE",
    "PSON_CFD.UK",
    "LMP_CFD.UK",
    "HAS_CFD.UK",
    "SBT_CFD.FR",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "MOS_CFD.US",
    "CPG_CFD.UK",
    "GPK_CFD.US",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "SPX_CFD.UK",
    "BLND_CFD.UK",
    "CTEC_CFD.UK",
    "ECMPA_CFD.NL",
    "PHP_CFD.UK",
    "REC_CFD.BE",
    "MNDI_CFD.UK",
    "GLW_CFD.US",
    "TER_CFD.US",
    "UKW_CFD.UK",
    "NXI_CFD.FR",
    "AKAM_CFD.US",
    "SFM_CFD.US",
    "APH_CFD.US",
    "ALB_CFD.US",
    "GT_CFD.US",
    "TSCO_CFD.US",
    "CDW_CFD.US",
    "SMIN_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Moderate +4.1% gain. Insufficient deviation from entry to trigger mean-reversion sell. Awaiting clearer signal.",
        "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Price flat at entry level (342.92). No mean-reversion signal. Maintaining position.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Down -7.7% but within normal volatility range. Mean-reversion suggests potential bounce; holding for recovery.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Down -11.2% but opened recently (2026-03-12). Avoiding premature exit; mean-reversion favors holding oversold position.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modest -3.0% decline. Not significant enough to alter mean-reversion outlook. Holding.",
        "symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal +1.4% gain. No meaningful mean-reversion signal. Prefer HOLD to avoid churn.",
        "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "AML_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Strong mean-reversion signal: +18.8% gain (284.2→337.6). Significant outperformance indicates overbought conditions. Locking in profits to redeploy capital.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion signal: +8.6% gain (172.2→187.0). Solid outperformance suggests potential reversal. Taking profits while avoiding overtrading.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Executing Two-Stage Mean-Reversion: Taking profits on two strongest outperformers (FUTR +18.8%, IWG +8.6%) to capture mean-reversion alpha. No new buy candidates provided in empty candidate list. Holding remaining positions including oversold names (OCDO -11.2%, MSLH -7.7%) awaiting bounce. Strictly adhering to max 2 sells to avoid overtrading. Portfolio leverage remains well within 3.0x limit."
}
Prompts & responses
#2868openroutermoonshotai/kimi-k2-thinking2026-05-10T11:23:48.702904+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASHM_CFD.UK", "name": "ASHMORE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 244.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.4084507042253502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.45532080672305, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.88993054528128, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.25405461264828, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAINGER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.455301455301461, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.198447178618971, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.23237017579308406, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.77829509727196, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "N91_CFD.UK", "name": "NINETY ONE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 241.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.739726027397249, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.140556255617817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809338693563394, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.21236037483679, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFTU_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAFTON GROUP PLC-UTS", "sector": "", "last_price": 955.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.0434175890393638, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.963270661870655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4837359036161253, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.04515943079597, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNN_CFD.UK", "name": "PENNON GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 551.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.699224018295192, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.698549858568065, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.285607918028347, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.33547101641821, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MGNS_CFD.UK", "name": "MORGAN SINDALL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4860.0, "change_1d_pct": 8.928311274976753, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.027421064583947, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.129720434840567, "volatility_20d_pct": 174.2493967907277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 642.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.369676320272568, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.33187982293969, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.734877154290203, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.28654302325035, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.45, "change_1d_pct": 5.072463768115942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.736689839803102, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.741616392894367, "volatility_20d_pct": 192.10029439414404, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BNZL_CFD.UK", "name": "BUNZL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2463.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.246612466124661, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.753831191506032, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.385480526561633, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.72449919502712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "name": "The Hain Celestial Group Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.7051, "change_1d_pct": -0.18403171007929098, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -33.19918220868079, "volatility_20d_pct": 9562.636249272142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OPTU_CFD.US", "name": "Optimum Communications Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.16, "change_1d_pct": -18.881118881118887, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -39.28291023292333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.388464211257826, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.53996036728756, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 26.38, "change_1d_pct": -4.142441860465118, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.657754948131142, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.38635685863516, "volatility_20d_pct": 328.69037941810484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HFG_CFD.UK", "name": "HILTON FOOD GROUP  PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 548.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.261569416498983, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.343342424790787, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.640994786201595, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.6338077414147, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HE_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 15.21, "change_1d_pct": -0.5232177894048284, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.418325030448132, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.38013779995249575, "volatility_20d_pct": 56.2273665181513, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 186.0, "change_1d_pct": -27.372120265521282, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.532109898724187, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.095469955276336, "volatility_20d_pct": 249.4549801604736, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.172, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.882720895484601, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.603438713255703, "volatility_20d_pct": 273.6401010011234, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PSON_CFD.UK", "name": "PEARSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1130.5, "change_1d_pct": 10.887690044139276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.656877487760717, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.070566544762686, "volatility_20d_pct": 113.35458813581232, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.3, "change_1d_pct": -1.5864892528147378, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9846926531141609, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.5701060895768606, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.33658818601971, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "name": "HAYS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 33.32, "change_1d_pct": -41.13074204946997, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -48.070043100929105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -36.93550462952447, "volatility_20d_pct": 238.64976019705142, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR", "name": "Oeneo Bouchage", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.06, "change_1d_pct": -3.6170212765957444, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.470898704832891, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.093216767347117, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.82674811022072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "MOSAIC CO/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 22.68, "change_1d_pct": -0.8307826847398392, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.041178088180335, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.675604357518132, "volatility_20d_pct": 58.492818534138344, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.86, "change_1d_pct": 10.38817005545285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.62792901945058, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -97.64592728075431, "volatility_20d_pct": 603.5168554995487, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPK_CFD.US", "name": "GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.83, "change_1d_pct": 3.3396946564885566, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.55310635378158, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.776440810751085, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.64166136593849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7168.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.064973861090373, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.233977228616963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.207072239512863, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.31219199190863, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 391.7, "change_1d_pct": 13.077367205542734, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.463250377902539, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.22954591071041586, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37084138774277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK", "name": "CONVATEC GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 207.6, "change_1d_pct": -9.344978165938866, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.703012133032836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.110882751143869, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.55231905033538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ECMPA_CFD.NL", "name": "Eurocommercial Properties", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.55, "change_1d_pct": -1.0771992818671472, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.6903216093641333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.1231830861841097, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.36817383080048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PHP_CFD.UK", "name": "PRIMARY HEALTH PROPERTIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 94.45, "change_1d_pct": 2.9427792915531326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.7938096307572038, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.243122527295772, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.6461438724416, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "REC_CFD.BE", "name": "Recticel SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.46, "change_1d_pct": 4.809619238476959, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.058074500153921, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.356848542895064, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.40840090493766, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 791.2, "change_1d_pct": -6.698113207547163, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.479426249971617, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.4613389099806415, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.60907560467662, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLW_CFD.US", "name": "CORNING INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 188.85, "change_1d_pct": 15.110325490674148, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 82.89928046057497, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.75557552055807, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.84474569423688, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TER_CFD.US", "name": "Teradyne Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 364.83, "change_1d_pct": 0.42390376833933985, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 68.88921190821016, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.709846130159061, "volatility_20d_pct": 157.6172997157301, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.4, "change_1d_pct": 3.976801988401002, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.084405711745047, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.06418459649417674, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.6750581480199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXI_CFD.FR", "name": "Nexity SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.87, "change_1d_pct": 2.9002320185614883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8172723359173766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.139882271780061, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.36558349705058, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "name": "Akamai Technologies Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 149.65, "change_1d_pct": 29.533454513979063, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 67.35414384628247, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 40.951064126376544, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.28386628635903, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "name": "SPROUTS FARMERS MARKET INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 83.96, "change_1d_pct": 5.823040080665476, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.859033241826022, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.726337517838312, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.60367883354618, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "APH_CFD.US", "name": "Amphenol Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 129.32, "change_1d_pct": -6.405153072302228, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.0376873106913607, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.5835102608208125, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.0166002676417, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALB_CFD.US", "name": "Albemarle Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.33, "change_1d_pct": 5.340276714147141, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 55.2867137024927, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.528901159776497, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.20248363317458, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GT_CFD.US", "name": "GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.6, "change_1d_pct": -6.647807637906656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -19.067063973807162, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.438707089231487, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.97055948582533, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TSCO_CFD.US", "name": "TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.97, "change_1d_pct": -4.941682013505222, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.941691123328326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.859547567855635, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.43852653574369, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "name": "CDW Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 105.95, "change_1d_pct": -22.522851919561237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.021248903759897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.385807177072463, "volatility_20d_pct": 133.8807652870453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2557.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.6235679214402525, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.883274190387418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.9730049158046343, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.30183705216716, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1778412228-KQ2jaKVMfPC8tBwqF6vz",
    "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-thinking-20251106",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0.0150844,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0.0150844,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0.0050844,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0.01
      },
      "total_tokens": 12474,
      "prompt_tokens": 8474,
      "completion_tokens": 4000,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 2780
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": null,
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": "The user wants me to act as an Arena strategy executor for a mean-reversion strategy. I need to:\n1. Scan the provided universe of stocks (EU region)\n2. Select exactly 5 candidates for mean-reversion trading\n3. Follow the strategy rules strictly\n4. Output ONLY valid JSON\n5. Not invent any data\n6. Treat null/empty fields as unknown\n7. Be a constrained selector (no narrative)\n\nThe strategy is \"Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)\" with these key rules:\n- max_positions: 10\n- max_buys_per_run: 2\n- max_sells_per_run: 2\n- avoid_overtrading: true\n- max_gross_leverage: 3.0\n- fixed_position_size: 3000.0\n\nSelection rules:\n- Horizon: 2-10 trading days\n- Target: short-term mean reversion in liquid equities\n- Constraints:\n  - Select exactly 5 candidates\n  - Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)\n  - Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)\n  - Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)\n\nSince all sectors are empty/unknown, I cannot enforce sector concentration constraints meaningfully. I'll have to note this limitation.\n\nFor mean reversion, I should look for:\n- Large moves in either direction (overextended)\n- High volatility (creates opportunities)\n- Distance from moving averages (MA50, MA200) - extreme values suggest potential reversion\n- Recent price action that suggests a snapback is likely\n\nLet me analyze each stock:\n\n1. **BOY_CFD.UK**: +24.16% today, +28.65% from MA200, +18.64% from MA50, very high vol (103%). Overextended to upside - potential short candidate.\n\n2. **ASHM_CFD.UK**: +1.41% today, +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, extremely high vol (134%). Very overextended - potential short.\n\n3. **GRI_CFD.UK**: -1.46% today, -6.20% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 71.8%. Slightly below MA200, not particularly extreme.\n\n4. **N91_CFD.UK**: -2.74% today, +22.14% from MA200, +6.81% from MA50, vol 84.2%. Mixed signals.\n\n5. **CBG_CFD.UK**: -26.63% today, -13.37% from MA200, -22.13% from MA50, very high vol (169%). Large drop, oversold - potential long candidate.\n\n6. **DLN_CFD.UK**: +10.40% today, +5.07% from MA200, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n7. **GFTU_CFD.UK**: +1.04% today, +3.96% from MA200, +3.48% from MA50, vol 51%. Not extreme.\n\n8. **TPK_CFD.UK**: -1.21% today, +0.53% from MA200, -4.98% from MA50, vol 108%. Mildly oversold.\n\n9. **PNN_CFD.UK**: +7.70% today, +13.70% from MA200, +7.29% from MA50, vol 97%. Overextended.\n\n10. **MGNS_CFD.UK**: +8.93% today, +19.03% from MA200, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174%. Very high vol, overextended.\n\n11. **INVP_CFD.UK**: +9.37% today, +20.33% from MA200, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n12. **BRNK_CFD.DE**: +5.07% today, -21.74% from MA200, -6.74% from MA50, vol 192%. Very high vol, mixed signals.\n\n13. **BNZL_CFD.UK**: +11.25% today, +6.75% from MA200, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7%. Overextended.\n\n14. **HAIN_CFD.US**: -0.18% today, null from MA200, -33.20% from MA50, vol 9562% (suspicious/illiquid). Data quality issue.\n\n15. **OPTU_CFD.US**: -18.88% today, -39.28% from MA200, -19.39% from MA50, vol 155.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n16. **MCG_CFD.UK**: -4.14% today, -3.66% from MA200, +12.39% from MA50, vol 328.7%. Very high vol, mixed.\n\n17. **HFG_CFD.UK**: +10.26% today, -29.34% from MA200, -8.64% from MA50, vol 169.6%. Mixed - below MA200 but up today.\n\n18. **HE_CFD.US**: -0.52% today, +15.42% from MA200, +0.38% from MA50, vol 56.2%. Not extreme.\n\n19. **WKP_CFD.UK**: +3.68% today, +1.86% from MA200, +5.81% from MA50, vol 70.2%. Mildly overextended.\n\n20. **OCDO_CFD.UK**: -27.37% today, -27.53% from MA200, -19.10% from MA50, vol 249.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n21. **ADJ_CFD.DE**: 0% today, -12.88% from MA200, -4.60% from MA50, vol 273.6%. Very high vol, oversold.\n\n22. **PSON_CFD.UK**: +10.89% today, +8.66% from MA200, +14.07% from MA50, vol 113.4%. Overextended.\n\n23. **LMP_CFD.UK**: -1.59% today, +0.98% from MA200, -0.57% from MA50, vol 115.3%. Not extreme.\n\n24. **HAS_CFD.UK**: -41.13% today, -48.07% from MA200, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold, potential long.\n\n25. **SBT_CFD.FR**: -3.62% today, -2.47% from MA200, -2.09% from MA50, vol 44.8%. Mildly oversold.\n\n26. **ATG_CFD.UK**: +12.01% today, -24.99% from MA200, +5.84% from MA50, vol 172.5%. Mixed signals.\n\n27. **MOS_CFD.US**: -0.83% today, -20.04% from MA200, -10.68% from MA50, vol 58.5%. Oversold.\n\n28. **CPG_CFD.UK**: +10.39% today, -98.63% from MA200, -97.65% from MA50, vol 603.5%. Data looks corrupted/suspicious.\n\n29. **GPK_CFD.US**: +3.34% today, -30.55% from MA200, +8.78% from MA50, vol 88.6%. Mixed.\n\n30. **HMSO_CFD.UK**: +14.13% today, +22.52% from MA200, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5%. Overextended.\n\n31. **SPX_CFD.UK**: +7.06% today, +9.23% from MA200, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136.3%. Overextended.\n\n32. **BLND_CFD.UK**: +13.08% today, +4.46% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119.4%. Overextended.\n\n33. **CTEC_CFD.UK**: -9.34% today, -16.70% from MA200, -11.11% from MA50, vol 116.6%. Oversold.\n\n34. **ECMPA_CFD.NL**: -1.08% today, +3.69% from MA200, +1.12% from MA50, vol 61.4%. Not extreme.\n\n35. **PHP_CFD.UK**: +2.94% today, -1.79% from MA200, -3.24% from MA50, vol 111.6%. Mildly oversold.\n\n36. **REC_CFD.BE**: +4.81% today, +8.06% from MA200, +4.36% from MA50, vol 90.4%. Mildly overextended.\n\n37. **MNDI_CFD.UK**: -6.70% today, -16.48% from MA200, -7.46% from MA50, vol 122.6%. Oversold.\n\n38. **GLW_CFD.US**: +15.11% today, +82.90% from MA200, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8%. Extremely overextended.\n\n39. **TER_CFD.US**: +0.42% today, +68.89% from MA200, +9.71% from MA50, vol 157.6%. Very overextended.\n\n40. **UKW_CFD.UK**: +3.98% today, -9.08% from MA200, +0.06% from MA50, vol 80.7%. Mixed.\n\n41. **NXI_CFD.FR**: +2.90% today, -3.82% from MA200, +5.14% from MA50, vol 60.4%. Mixed.\n\n42. **AKAM_CFD.US**: +29.53% today, +67.35% from MA200, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3%. Extremely overextended.\n\n43. **SFM_CFD.US**: +5.82% today, -11.86% from MA200, +8.73% from MA50, vol 109.6%. Mixed.\n\n44. **APH_CFD.US**: -6.41% today, -2.04% from MA200, -5.58% from MA50, vol 75.0%. Mildly oversold.\n\n45. **ALB_CFD.US**: +5.34% today, +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2%. Very overextended.\n\n46. **GT_CFD.US**: -6.65% today, -19.07% from MA200, -5.44% from MA50, vol 91.97%. Oversold.\n\n47. **TSCO_CFD.US**: -4.94% today, -40.94% from MA200, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4%. Very oversold.\n\n48. **CDW_CFD.US**: -22.52% today, -26.02% from MA200, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9%. Very oversold.\n\n49. **SMIN_CFD.UK**: +4.62% today, +14.88% from MA200, +3.97% from MA50, vol 101.3%. Overextended.\n\nFor mean reversion, I want to select:\n- Stocks that are extremely oversold (potential longs)\n- Stocks that are extremely overbought (potential shorts)\n- High volatility is good for mean reversion\n- Avoid stocks with suspicious data (like HAIN, CPG)\n\nLet me identify the best candidates:\n\n**Extreme Oversold (Long candidates):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: -26.63% today, -22% from MA50, vol 169% - EXCELLENT\n- OPTU_CFD.US: -18.88% today, -19% from MA50, vol 155% - GOOD\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: -27.37% today, -19% from MA50, vol 249% - EXCELLENT\n- HAS_CFD.UK: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6% - EXCELLENT (but UK stock)\n- TSCO_CFD.US: -4.94% today, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4% - GOOD\n- CDW_CFD.US: -22.52% today, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9% - GOOD\n\n**Extreme Overbought (Short candidates):**\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - GOOD\n- ASHM_CFD.UK: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134% - EXCELLENT\n- GLW_CFD.US: +15.11% today, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8% - GOOD\n- AKAM_CFD.US: +29.53% today, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3% - EXCELLENT\n- ALB_CFD.US: +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2% - GOOD\n\nSince this is EU region, I should prioritize EU/UK stocks over US stocks, but the strategy doesn't explicitly forbid US stocks. However, the universe includes both.\n\nLet me select 5 candidates that show the strongest mean-reversion signals:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-26.63%), very oversold, high vol. Strong long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Huge drop (-27.37%), very oversold, extremely high vol (249%). Strong long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-41.13%), extremely oversold, very high vol (238.6%). Strong long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Extremely overextended (+40.45% from MA200), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** - Huge spike (+29.53% today), extremely overextended (+40.95% from MA50), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n\nWait, I need to be careful. The strategy is for EU region. Let me check which symbols are EU/UK:\n- UK symbols: BOY, ASHM, GRI, N91, CBG, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, BNZL, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, WKP, OCDO, PSON, LMP, HAS, ATG, HMSO, SPX, BLND, CTEC, PHP, MNDI, SMIN, UKW\n- DE symbols: BRNK, ADJ\n- FR symbols: SBT, NXI\n- NL symbols: ECMPA\n- BE symbols: REC\n- US symbols: HAIN, OPTU, MOS, GPK, GLW, TER, AKAM, SFM, APH, ALB, GT, TSCO, CDW\n\nThe task says region: \"EU\", so I should focus on EU/UK stocks. Let me avoid US stocks.\n\nRevised selection focusing on EU/UK:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Close Brothers Group PLC: -26.63% today, -22.13% from MA50, high vol 169%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Ocado Group PLC: -27.37% today, -19.10% from MA50, very high vol 249.5%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Hays PLC: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Ashmore Group PLC: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134%. Excellent overbought short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** is US, so let me replace with a EU/UK overbought candidate.\n\nEU/UK Overbought candidates:\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - Good\n- DLN_CFD.UK: +10.40% today, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- MGNS_CFD.UK: +8.93% today, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174% - Good vol but less extreme extension\n- INVP_CFD.UK: +9.37% today, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- BNZL_CFD.UK: +11.25% today, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7% - Moderate\n- HMSO_CFD.UK: +14.13% today, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5% - Good\n- SPX_CFD.UK: +7.06% today, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136% - Less extreme extension\n- BLND_CFD.UK: +13.08% today, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119% - Mixed signal (below MA50)\n\nBest EU/UK overbought: BOY_CFD.UK (strong daily move + high extension)\n\nSo my 5 candidates:\n1. CBG_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n2. OCDO_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n3. HAS_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n4. ASHM_CFD.UK (Short - overbought)\n5. BO",
          "reasoning_details": [
            {
              "text": "The user wants me to act as an Arena strategy executor for a mean-reversion strategy. I need to:\n1. Scan the provided universe of stocks (EU region)\n2. Select exactly 5 candidates for mean-reversion trading\n3. Follow the strategy rules strictly\n4. Output ONLY valid JSON\n5. Not invent any data\n6. Treat null/empty fields as unknown\n7. Be a constrained selector (no narrative)\n\nThe strategy is \"Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)\" with these key rules:\n- max_positions: 10\n- max_buys_per_run: 2\n- max_sells_per_run: 2\n- avoid_overtrading: true\n- max_gross_leverage: 3.0\n- fixed_position_size: 3000.0\n\nSelection rules:\n- Horizon: 2-10 trading days\n- Target: short-term mean reversion in liquid equities\n- Constraints:\n  - Select exactly 5 candidates\n  - Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)\n  - Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)\n  - Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)\n\nSince all sectors are empty/unknown, I cannot enforce sector concentration constraints meaningfully. I'll have to note this limitation.\n\nFor mean reversion, I should look for:\n- Large moves in either direction (overextended)\n- High volatility (creates opportunities)\n- Distance from moving averages (MA50, MA200) - extreme values suggest potential reversion\n- Recent price action that suggests a snapback is likely\n\nLet me analyze each stock:\n\n1. **BOY_CFD.UK**: +24.16% today, +28.65% from MA200, +18.64% from MA50, very high vol (103%). Overextended to upside - potential short candidate.\n\n2. **ASHM_CFD.UK**: +1.41% today, +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, extremely high vol (134%). Very overextended - potential short.\n\n3. **GRI_CFD.UK**: -1.46% today, -6.20% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 71.8%. Slightly below MA200, not particularly extreme.\n\n4. **N91_CFD.UK**: -2.74% today, +22.14% from MA200, +6.81% from MA50, vol 84.2%. Mixed signals.\n\n5. **CBG_CFD.UK**: -26.63% today, -13.37% from MA200, -22.13% from MA50, very high vol (169%). Large drop, oversold - potential long candidate.\n\n6. **DLN_CFD.UK**: +10.40% today, +5.07% from MA200, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n7. **GFTU_CFD.UK**: +1.04% today, +3.96% from MA200, +3.48% from MA50, vol 51%. Not extreme.\n\n8. **TPK_CFD.UK**: -1.21% today, +0.53% from MA200, -4.98% from MA50, vol 108%. Mildly oversold.\n\n9. **PNN_CFD.UK**: +7.70% today, +13.70% from MA200, +7.29% from MA50, vol 97%. Overextended.\n\n10. **MGNS_CFD.UK**: +8.93% today, +19.03% from MA200, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174%. Very high vol, overextended.\n\n11. **INVP_CFD.UK**: +9.37% today, +20.33% from MA200, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n12. **BRNK_CFD.DE**: +5.07% today, -21.74% from MA200, -6.74% from MA50, vol 192%. Very high vol, mixed signals.\n\n13. **BNZL_CFD.UK**: +11.25% today, +6.75% from MA200, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7%. Overextended.\n\n14. **HAIN_CFD.US**: -0.18% today, null from MA200, -33.20% from MA50, vol 9562% (suspicious/illiquid). Data quality issue.\n\n15. **OPTU_CFD.US**: -18.88% today, -39.28% from MA200, -19.39% from MA50, vol 155.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n16. **MCG_CFD.UK**: -4.14% today, -3.66% from MA200, +12.39% from MA50, vol 328.7%. Very high vol, mixed.\n\n17. **HFG_CFD.UK**: +10.26% today, -29.34% from MA200, -8.64% from MA50, vol 169.6%. Mixed - below MA200 but up today.\n\n18. **HE_CFD.US**: -0.52% today, +15.42% from MA200, +0.38% from MA50, vol 56.2%. Not extreme.\n\n19. **WKP_CFD.UK**: +3.68% today, +1.86% from MA200, +5.81% from MA50, vol 70.2%. Mildly overextended.\n\n20. **OCDO_CFD.UK**: -27.37% today, -27.53% from MA200, -19.10% from MA50, vol 249.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n21. **ADJ_CFD.DE**: 0% today, -12.88% from MA200, -4.60% from MA50, vol 273.6%. Very high vol, oversold.\n\n22. **PSON_CFD.UK**: +10.89% today, +8.66% from MA200, +14.07% from MA50, vol 113.4%. Overextended.\n\n23. **LMP_CFD.UK**: -1.59% today, +0.98% from MA200, -0.57% from MA50, vol 115.3%. Not extreme.\n\n24. **HAS_CFD.UK**: -41.13% today, -48.07% from MA200, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold, potential long.\n\n25. **SBT_CFD.FR**: -3.62% today, -2.47% from MA200, -2.09% from MA50, vol 44.8%. Mildly oversold.\n\n26. **ATG_CFD.UK**: +12.01% today, -24.99% from MA200, +5.84% from MA50, vol 172.5%. Mixed signals.\n\n27. **MOS_CFD.US**: -0.83% today, -20.04% from MA200, -10.68% from MA50, vol 58.5%. Oversold.\n\n28. **CPG_CFD.UK**: +10.39% today, -98.63% from MA200, -97.65% from MA50, vol 603.5%. Data looks corrupted/suspicious.\n\n29. **GPK_CFD.US**: +3.34% today, -30.55% from MA200, +8.78% from MA50, vol 88.6%. Mixed.\n\n30. **HMSO_CFD.UK**: +14.13% today, +22.52% from MA200, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5%. Overextended.\n\n31. **SPX_CFD.UK**: +7.06% today, +9.23% from MA200, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136.3%. Overextended.\n\n32. **BLND_CFD.UK**: +13.08% today, +4.46% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119.4%. Overextended.\n\n33. **CTEC_CFD.UK**: -9.34% today, -16.70% from MA200, -11.11% from MA50, vol 116.6%. Oversold.\n\n34. **ECMPA_CFD.NL**: -1.08% today, +3.69% from MA200, +1.12% from MA50, vol 61.4%. Not extreme.\n\n35. **PHP_CFD.UK**: +2.94% today, -1.79% from MA200, -3.24% from MA50, vol 111.6%. Mildly oversold.\n\n36. **REC_CFD.BE**: +4.81% today, +8.06% from MA200, +4.36% from MA50, vol 90.4%. Mildly overextended.\n\n37. **MNDI_CFD.UK**: -6.70% today, -16.48% from MA200, -7.46% from MA50, vol 122.6%. Oversold.\n\n38. **GLW_CFD.US**: +15.11% today, +82.90% from MA200, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8%. Extremely overextended.\n\n39. **TER_CFD.US**: +0.42% today, +68.89% from MA200, +9.71% from MA50, vol 157.6%. Very overextended.\n\n40. **UKW_CFD.UK**: +3.98% today, -9.08% from MA200, +0.06% from MA50, vol 80.7%. Mixed.\n\n41. **NXI_CFD.FR**: +2.90% today, -3.82% from MA200, +5.14% from MA50, vol 60.4%. Mixed.\n\n42. **AKAM_CFD.US**: +29.53% today, +67.35% from MA200, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3%. Extremely overextended.\n\n43. **SFM_CFD.US**: +5.82% today, -11.86% from MA200, +8.73% from MA50, vol 109.6%. Mixed.\n\n44. **APH_CFD.US**: -6.41% today, -2.04% from MA200, -5.58% from MA50, vol 75.0%. Mildly oversold.\n\n45. **ALB_CFD.US**: +5.34% today, +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2%. Very overextended.\n\n46. **GT_CFD.US**: -6.65% today, -19.07% from MA200, -5.44% from MA50, vol 91.97%. Oversold.\n\n47. **TSCO_CFD.US**: -4.94% today, -40.94% from MA200, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4%. Very oversold.\n\n48. **CDW_CFD.US**: -22.52% today, -26.02% from MA200, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9%. Very oversold.\n\n49. **SMIN_CFD.UK**: +4.62% today, +14.88% from MA200, +3.97% from MA50, vol 101.3%. Overextended.\n\nFor mean reversion, I want to select:\n- Stocks that are extremely oversold (potential longs)\n- Stocks that are extremely overbought (potential shorts)\n- High volatility is good for mean reversion\n- Avoid stocks with suspicious data (like HAIN, CPG)\n\nLet me identify the best candidates:\n\n**Extreme Oversold (Long candidates):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: -26.63% today, -22% from MA50, vol 169% - EXCELLENT\n- OPTU_CFD.US: -18.88% today, -19% from MA50, vol 155% - GOOD\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: -27.37% today, -19% from MA50, vol 249% - EXCELLENT\n- HAS_CFD.UK: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6% - EXCELLENT (but UK stock)\n- TSCO_CFD.US: -4.94% today, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4% - GOOD\n- CDW_CFD.US: -22.52% today, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9% - GOOD\n\n**Extreme Overbought (Short candidates):**\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - GOOD\n- ASHM_CFD.UK: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134% - EXCELLENT\n- GLW_CFD.US: +15.11% today, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8% - GOOD\n- AKAM_CFD.US: +29.53% today, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3% - EXCELLENT\n- ALB_CFD.US: +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2% - GOOD\n\nSince this is EU region, I should prioritize EU/UK stocks over US stocks, but the strategy doesn't explicitly forbid US stocks. However, the universe includes both.\n\nLet me select 5 candidates that show the strongest mean-reversion signals:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-26.63%), very oversold, high vol. Strong long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Huge drop (-27.37%), very oversold, extremely high vol (249%). Strong long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-41.13%), extremely oversold, very high vol (238.6%). Strong long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Extremely overextended (+40.45% from MA200), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** - Huge spike (+29.53% today), extremely overextended (+40.95% from MA50), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n\nWait, I need to be careful. The strategy is for EU region. Let me check which symbols are EU/UK:\n- UK symbols: BOY, ASHM, GRI, N91, CBG, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, BNZL, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, WKP, OCDO, PSON, LMP, HAS, ATG, HMSO, SPX, BLND, CTEC, PHP, MNDI, SMIN, UKW\n- DE symbols: BRNK, ADJ\n- FR symbols: SBT, NXI\n- NL symbols: ECMPA\n- BE symbols: REC\n- US symbols: HAIN, OPTU, MOS, GPK, GLW, TER, AKAM, SFM, APH, ALB, GT, TSCO, CDW\n\nThe task says region: \"EU\", so I should focus on EU/UK stocks. Let me avoid US stocks.\n\nRevised selection focusing on EU/UK:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Close Brothers Group PLC: -26.63% today, -22.13% from MA50, high vol 169%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Ocado Group PLC: -27.37% today, -19.10% from MA50, very high vol 249.5%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Hays PLC: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Ashmore Group PLC: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134%. Excellent overbought short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** is US, so let me replace with a EU/UK overbought candidate.\n\nEU/UK Overbought candidates:\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - Good\n- DLN_CFD.UK: +10.40% today, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- MGNS_CFD.UK: +8.93% today, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174% - Good vol but less extreme extension\n- INVP_CFD.UK: +9.37% today, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- BNZL_CFD.UK: +11.25% today, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7% - Moderate\n- HMSO_CFD.UK: +14.13% today, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5% - Good\n- SPX_CFD.UK: +7.06% today, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136% - Less extreme extension\n- BLND_CFD.UK: +13.08% today, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119% - Mixed signal (below MA50)\n\nBest EU/UK overbought: BOY_CFD.UK (strong daily move + high extension)\n\nSo my 5 candidates:\n1. CBG_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n2. OCDO_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n3. HAS_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n4. ASHM_CFD.UK (Short - overbought)\n5. BO",
              "type": "reasoning.text",
              "index": 0,
              "format": "unknown"
            }
          ]
        },
        "logprobs": null,
        "finish_reason": "length",
        "native_finish_reason": "length"
      }
    ],
    "created": 1778412228,
    "provider": "Google",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}
#2869openroutermoonshotai/kimi-k2-thinking2026-05-10T11:24:06.911634+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 36.52, "last_price": 40.56, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.2137531068765535, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 502.8, "unrealized_pnl": 124.27506213753107, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 263.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.55594651653765, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 337.6, "unrealized_pnl": 563.6875439831109, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1700.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.421602787456447, "avg_price": 172.2, "last_price": 187.0, "unrealized_pnl": 257.8397212543556, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 576.0, "last_price": 593.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.72, "last_price": 16.0, "unrealized_pnl": -291.19638826185087, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 19.05, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-02T10:01:24.938009+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.30681818181818, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 130.0, "unrealized_pnl": -230.11363636363657, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 14.684287812041115, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 181.4, "unrealized_pnl": -336.2701908957416, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.6455026455026456, "avg_price": 1134.0, "last_price": 1099.5, "unrealized_pnl": -91.26984126984127, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 45.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 173.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 461.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.85608856088561, "avg_price": 338.75, "last_price": 343.6, "unrealized_pnl": 42.95202952029541, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T10:21:39.078796+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 872.0, "last_price": 976.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 253.97436099095557, "last_price": 262.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}], "candidates": [], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Moderate +4.1% gain. Insufficient deviation from entry to trigger mean-reversion sell. Awaiting clearer signal.",
        "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Price flat at entry level (342.92). No mean-reversion signal. Maintaining position.",
        "symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Down -7.7% but within normal volatility range. Mean-reversion suggests potential bounce; holding for recovery.",
        "symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Down -11.2% but opened recently (2026-03-12). Avoiding premature exit; mean-reversion favors holding oversold position.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modest -3.0% decline. Not significant enough to alter mean-reversion outlook. Holding.",
        "symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Marginal +1.4% gain. No meaningful mean-reversion signal. Prefer HOLD to avoid churn.",
        "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "AML_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "LSS_CFD.FR"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position closed (qty=0). No action required.",
        "symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Strong mean-reversion signal: +18.8% gain (284.2→337.6). Significant outperformance indicates overbought conditions. Locking in profits to redeploy capital.",
        "symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Mean-reversion signal: +8.6% gain (172.2→187.0). Solid outperformance suggests potential reversal. Taking profits while avoiding overtrading.",
        "symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Executing Two-Stage Mean-Reversion: Taking profits on two strongest outperformers (FUTR +18.8%, IWG +8.6%) to capture mean-reversion alpha. No new buy candidates provided in empty candidate list. Holding remaining positions including oversold names (OCDO -11.2%, MSLH -7.7%) awaiting bounce. Strictly adhering to max 2 sells to avoid overtrading. Portfolio leverage remains well within 3.0x limit."
}
Selection logs
#1123stage12026-05-10T11:24:06.906032+00:00
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1778412228-KQ2jaKVMfPC8tBwqF6vz",
    "model": "moonshotai/kimi-k2-thinking-20251106",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0.0150844,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0.0150844,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0.0050844,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0.01
      },
      "total_tokens": 12474,
      "prompt_tokens": 8474,
      "completion_tokens": 4000,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 2780
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": null,
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": "The user wants me to act as an Arena strategy executor for a mean-reversion strategy. I need to:\n1. Scan the provided universe of stocks (EU region)\n2. Select exactly 5 candidates for mean-reversion trading\n3. Follow the strategy rules strictly\n4. Output ONLY valid JSON\n5. Not invent any data\n6. Treat null/empty fields as unknown\n7. Be a constrained selector (no narrative)\n\nThe strategy is \"Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)\" with these key rules:\n- max_positions: 10\n- max_buys_per_run: 2\n- max_sells_per_run: 2\n- avoid_overtrading: true\n- max_gross_leverage: 3.0\n- fixed_position_size: 3000.0\n\nSelection rules:\n- Horizon: 2-10 trading days\n- Target: short-term mean reversion in liquid equities\n- Constraints:\n  - Select exactly 5 candidates\n  - Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)\n  - Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)\n  - Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)\n\nSince all sectors are empty/unknown, I cannot enforce sector concentration constraints meaningfully. I'll have to note this limitation.\n\nFor mean reversion, I should look for:\n- Large moves in either direction (overextended)\n- High volatility (creates opportunities)\n- Distance from moving averages (MA50, MA200) - extreme values suggest potential reversion\n- Recent price action that suggests a snapback is likely\n\nLet me analyze each stock:\n\n1. **BOY_CFD.UK**: +24.16% today, +28.65% from MA200, +18.64% from MA50, very high vol (103%). Overextended to upside - potential short candidate.\n\n2. **ASHM_CFD.UK**: +1.41% today, +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, extremely high vol (134%). Very overextended - potential short.\n\n3. **GRI_CFD.UK**: -1.46% today, -6.20% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 71.8%. Slightly below MA200, not particularly extreme.\n\n4. **N91_CFD.UK**: -2.74% today, +22.14% from MA200, +6.81% from MA50, vol 84.2%. Mixed signals.\n\n5. **CBG_CFD.UK**: -26.63% today, -13.37% from MA200, -22.13% from MA50, very high vol (169%). Large drop, oversold - potential long candidate.\n\n6. **DLN_CFD.UK**: +10.40% today, +5.07% from MA200, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n7. **GFTU_CFD.UK**: +1.04% today, +3.96% from MA200, +3.48% from MA50, vol 51%. Not extreme.\n\n8. **TPK_CFD.UK**: -1.21% today, +0.53% from MA200, -4.98% from MA50, vol 108%. Mildly oversold.\n\n9. **PNN_CFD.UK**: +7.70% today, +13.70% from MA200, +7.29% from MA50, vol 97%. Overextended.\n\n10. **MGNS_CFD.UK**: +8.93% today, +19.03% from MA200, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174%. Very high vol, overextended.\n\n11. **INVP_CFD.UK**: +9.37% today, +20.33% from MA200, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n12. **BRNK_CFD.DE**: +5.07% today, -21.74% from MA200, -6.74% from MA50, vol 192%. Very high vol, mixed signals.\n\n13. **BNZL_CFD.UK**: +11.25% today, +6.75% from MA200, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7%. Overextended.\n\n14. **HAIN_CFD.US**: -0.18% today, null from MA200, -33.20% from MA50, vol 9562% (suspicious/illiquid). Data quality issue.\n\n15. **OPTU_CFD.US**: -18.88% today, -39.28% from MA200, -19.39% from MA50, vol 155.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n16. **MCG_CFD.UK**: -4.14% today, -3.66% from MA200, +12.39% from MA50, vol 328.7%. Very high vol, mixed.\n\n17. **HFG_CFD.UK**: +10.26% today, -29.34% from MA200, -8.64% from MA50, vol 169.6%. Mixed - below MA200 but up today.\n\n18. **HE_CFD.US**: -0.52% today, +15.42% from MA200, +0.38% from MA50, vol 56.2%. Not extreme.\n\n19. **WKP_CFD.UK**: +3.68% today, +1.86% from MA200, +5.81% from MA50, vol 70.2%. Mildly overextended.\n\n20. **OCDO_CFD.UK**: -27.37% today, -27.53% from MA200, -19.10% from MA50, vol 249.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n21. **ADJ_CFD.DE**: 0% today, -12.88% from MA200, -4.60% from MA50, vol 273.6%. Very high vol, oversold.\n\n22. **PSON_CFD.UK**: +10.89% today, +8.66% from MA200, +14.07% from MA50, vol 113.4%. Overextended.\n\n23. **LMP_CFD.UK**: -1.59% today, +0.98% from MA200, -0.57% from MA50, vol 115.3%. Not extreme.\n\n24. **HAS_CFD.UK**: -41.13% today, -48.07% from MA200, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold, potential long.\n\n25. **SBT_CFD.FR**: -3.62% today, -2.47% from MA200, -2.09% from MA50, vol 44.8%. Mildly oversold.\n\n26. **ATG_CFD.UK**: +12.01% today, -24.99% from MA200, +5.84% from MA50, vol 172.5%. Mixed signals.\n\n27. **MOS_CFD.US**: -0.83% today, -20.04% from MA200, -10.68% from MA50, vol 58.5%. Oversold.\n\n28. **CPG_CFD.UK**: +10.39% today, -98.63% from MA200, -97.65% from MA50, vol 603.5%. Data looks corrupted/suspicious.\n\n29. **GPK_CFD.US**: +3.34% today, -30.55% from MA200, +8.78% from MA50, vol 88.6%. Mixed.\n\n30. **HMSO_CFD.UK**: +14.13% today, +22.52% from MA200, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5%. Overextended.\n\n31. **SPX_CFD.UK**: +7.06% today, +9.23% from MA200, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136.3%. Overextended.\n\n32. **BLND_CFD.UK**: +13.08% today, +4.46% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119.4%. Overextended.\n\n33. **CTEC_CFD.UK**: -9.34% today, -16.70% from MA200, -11.11% from MA50, vol 116.6%. Oversold.\n\n34. **ECMPA_CFD.NL**: -1.08% today, +3.69% from MA200, +1.12% from MA50, vol 61.4%. Not extreme.\n\n35. **PHP_CFD.UK**: +2.94% today, -1.79% from MA200, -3.24% from MA50, vol 111.6%. Mildly oversold.\n\n36. **REC_CFD.BE**: +4.81% today, +8.06% from MA200, +4.36% from MA50, vol 90.4%. Mildly overextended.\n\n37. **MNDI_CFD.UK**: -6.70% today, -16.48% from MA200, -7.46% from MA50, vol 122.6%. Oversold.\n\n38. **GLW_CFD.US**: +15.11% today, +82.90% from MA200, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8%. Extremely overextended.\n\n39. **TER_CFD.US**: +0.42% today, +68.89% from MA200, +9.71% from MA50, vol 157.6%. Very overextended.\n\n40. **UKW_CFD.UK**: +3.98% today, -9.08% from MA200, +0.06% from MA50, vol 80.7%. Mixed.\n\n41. **NXI_CFD.FR**: +2.90% today, -3.82% from MA200, +5.14% from MA50, vol 60.4%. Mixed.\n\n42. **AKAM_CFD.US**: +29.53% today, +67.35% from MA200, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3%. Extremely overextended.\n\n43. **SFM_CFD.US**: +5.82% today, -11.86% from MA200, +8.73% from MA50, vol 109.6%. Mixed.\n\n44. **APH_CFD.US**: -6.41% today, -2.04% from MA200, -5.58% from MA50, vol 75.0%. Mildly oversold.\n\n45. **ALB_CFD.US**: +5.34% today, +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2%. Very overextended.\n\n46. **GT_CFD.US**: -6.65% today, -19.07% from MA200, -5.44% from MA50, vol 91.97%. Oversold.\n\n47. **TSCO_CFD.US**: -4.94% today, -40.94% from MA200, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4%. Very oversold.\n\n48. **CDW_CFD.US**: -22.52% today, -26.02% from MA200, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9%. Very oversold.\n\n49. **SMIN_CFD.UK**: +4.62% today, +14.88% from MA200, +3.97% from MA50, vol 101.3%. Overextended.\n\nFor mean reversion, I want to select:\n- Stocks that are extremely oversold (potential longs)\n- Stocks that are extremely overbought (potential shorts)\n- High volatility is good for mean reversion\n- Avoid stocks with suspicious data (like HAIN, CPG)\n\nLet me identify the best candidates:\n\n**Extreme Oversold (Long candidates):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: -26.63% today, -22% from MA50, vol 169% - EXCELLENT\n- OPTU_CFD.US: -18.88% today, -19% from MA50, vol 155% - GOOD\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: -27.37% today, -19% from MA50, vol 249% - EXCELLENT\n- HAS_CFD.UK: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6% - EXCELLENT (but UK stock)\n- TSCO_CFD.US: -4.94% today, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4% - GOOD\n- CDW_CFD.US: -22.52% today, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9% - GOOD\n\n**Extreme Overbought (Short candidates):**\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - GOOD\n- ASHM_CFD.UK: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134% - EXCELLENT\n- GLW_CFD.US: +15.11% today, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8% - GOOD\n- AKAM_CFD.US: +29.53% today, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3% - EXCELLENT\n- ALB_CFD.US: +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2% - GOOD\n\nSince this is EU region, I should prioritize EU/UK stocks over US stocks, but the strategy doesn't explicitly forbid US stocks. However, the universe includes both.\n\nLet me select 5 candidates that show the strongest mean-reversion signals:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-26.63%), very oversold, high vol. Strong long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Huge drop (-27.37%), very oversold, extremely high vol (249%). Strong long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-41.13%), extremely oversold, very high vol (238.6%). Strong long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Extremely overextended (+40.45% from MA200), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** - Huge spike (+29.53% today), extremely overextended (+40.95% from MA50), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n\nWait, I need to be careful. The strategy is for EU region. Let me check which symbols are EU/UK:\n- UK symbols: BOY, ASHM, GRI, N91, CBG, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, BNZL, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, WKP, OCDO, PSON, LMP, HAS, ATG, HMSO, SPX, BLND, CTEC, PHP, MNDI, SMIN, UKW\n- DE symbols: BRNK, ADJ\n- FR symbols: SBT, NXI\n- NL symbols: ECMPA\n- BE symbols: REC\n- US symbols: HAIN, OPTU, MOS, GPK, GLW, TER, AKAM, SFM, APH, ALB, GT, TSCO, CDW\n\nThe task says region: \"EU\", so I should focus on EU/UK stocks. Let me avoid US stocks.\n\nRevised selection focusing on EU/UK:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Close Brothers Group PLC: -26.63% today, -22.13% from MA50, high vol 169%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Ocado Group PLC: -27.37% today, -19.10% from MA50, very high vol 249.5%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Hays PLC: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Ashmore Group PLC: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134%. Excellent overbought short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** is US, so let me replace with a EU/UK overbought candidate.\n\nEU/UK Overbought candidates:\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - Good\n- DLN_CFD.UK: +10.40% today, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- MGNS_CFD.UK: +8.93% today, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174% - Good vol but less extreme extension\n- INVP_CFD.UK: +9.37% today, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- BNZL_CFD.UK: +11.25% today, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7% - Moderate\n- HMSO_CFD.UK: +14.13% today, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5% - Good\n- SPX_CFD.UK: +7.06% today, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136% - Less extreme extension\n- BLND_CFD.UK: +13.08% today, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119% - Mixed signal (below MA50)\n\nBest EU/UK overbought: BOY_CFD.UK (strong daily move + high extension)\n\nSo my 5 candidates:\n1. CBG_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n2. OCDO_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n3. HAS_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n4. ASHM_CFD.UK (Short - overbought)\n5. BO",
          "reasoning_details": [
            {
              "text": "The user wants me to act as an Arena strategy executor for a mean-reversion strategy. I need to:\n1. Scan the provided universe of stocks (EU region)\n2. Select exactly 5 candidates for mean-reversion trading\n3. Follow the strategy rules strictly\n4. Output ONLY valid JSON\n5. Not invent any data\n6. Treat null/empty fields as unknown\n7. Be a constrained selector (no narrative)\n\nThe strategy is \"Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)\" with these key rules:\n- max_positions: 10\n- max_buys_per_run: 2\n- max_sells_per_run: 2\n- avoid_overtrading: true\n- max_gross_leverage: 3.0\n- fixed_position_size: 3000.0\n\nSelection rules:\n- Horizon: 2-10 trading days\n- Target: short-term mean reversion in liquid equities\n- Constraints:\n  - Select exactly 5 candidates\n  - Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)\n  - Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)\n  - Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)\n\nSince all sectors are empty/unknown, I cannot enforce sector concentration constraints meaningfully. I'll have to note this limitation.\n\nFor mean reversion, I should look for:\n- Large moves in either direction (overextended)\n- High volatility (creates opportunities)\n- Distance from moving averages (MA50, MA200) - extreme values suggest potential reversion\n- Recent price action that suggests a snapback is likely\n\nLet me analyze each stock:\n\n1. **BOY_CFD.UK**: +24.16% today, +28.65% from MA200, +18.64% from MA50, very high vol (103%). Overextended to upside - potential short candidate.\n\n2. **ASHM_CFD.UK**: +1.41% today, +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, extremely high vol (134%). Very overextended - potential short.\n\n3. **GRI_CFD.UK**: -1.46% today, -6.20% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 71.8%. Slightly below MA200, not particularly extreme.\n\n4. **N91_CFD.UK**: -2.74% today, +22.14% from MA200, +6.81% from MA50, vol 84.2%. Mixed signals.\n\n5. **CBG_CFD.UK**: -26.63% today, -13.37% from MA200, -22.13% from MA50, very high vol (169%). Large drop, oversold - potential long candidate.\n\n6. **DLN_CFD.UK**: +10.40% today, +5.07% from MA200, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n7. **GFTU_CFD.UK**: +1.04% today, +3.96% from MA200, +3.48% from MA50, vol 51%. Not extreme.\n\n8. **TPK_CFD.UK**: -1.21% today, +0.53% from MA200, -4.98% from MA50, vol 108%. Mildly oversold.\n\n9. **PNN_CFD.UK**: +7.70% today, +13.70% from MA200, +7.29% from MA50, vol 97%. Overextended.\n\n10. **MGNS_CFD.UK**: +8.93% today, +19.03% from MA200, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174%. Very high vol, overextended.\n\n11. **INVP_CFD.UK**: +9.37% today, +20.33% from MA200, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115%. Overextended.\n\n12. **BRNK_CFD.DE**: +5.07% today, -21.74% from MA200, -6.74% from MA50, vol 192%. Very high vol, mixed signals.\n\n13. **BNZL_CFD.UK**: +11.25% today, +6.75% from MA200, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7%. Overextended.\n\n14. **HAIN_CFD.US**: -0.18% today, null from MA200, -33.20% from MA50, vol 9562% (suspicious/illiquid). Data quality issue.\n\n15. **OPTU_CFD.US**: -18.88% today, -39.28% from MA200, -19.39% from MA50, vol 155.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n16. **MCG_CFD.UK**: -4.14% today, -3.66% from MA200, +12.39% from MA50, vol 328.7%. Very high vol, mixed.\n\n17. **HFG_CFD.UK**: +10.26% today, -29.34% from MA200, -8.64% from MA50, vol 169.6%. Mixed - below MA200 but up today.\n\n18. **HE_CFD.US**: -0.52% today, +15.42% from MA200, +0.38% from MA50, vol 56.2%. Not extreme.\n\n19. **WKP_CFD.UK**: +3.68% today, +1.86% from MA200, +5.81% from MA50, vol 70.2%. Mildly overextended.\n\n20. **OCDO_CFD.UK**: -27.37% today, -27.53% from MA200, -19.10% from MA50, vol 249.5%. Very oversold, potential long.\n\n21. **ADJ_CFD.DE**: 0% today, -12.88% from MA200, -4.60% from MA50, vol 273.6%. Very high vol, oversold.\n\n22. **PSON_CFD.UK**: +10.89% today, +8.66% from MA200, +14.07% from MA50, vol 113.4%. Overextended.\n\n23. **LMP_CFD.UK**: -1.59% today, +0.98% from MA200, -0.57% from MA50, vol 115.3%. Not extreme.\n\n24. **HAS_CFD.UK**: -41.13% today, -48.07% from MA200, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold, potential long.\n\n25. **SBT_CFD.FR**: -3.62% today, -2.47% from MA200, -2.09% from MA50, vol 44.8%. Mildly oversold.\n\n26. **ATG_CFD.UK**: +12.01% today, -24.99% from MA200, +5.84% from MA50, vol 172.5%. Mixed signals.\n\n27. **MOS_CFD.US**: -0.83% today, -20.04% from MA200, -10.68% from MA50, vol 58.5%. Oversold.\n\n28. **CPG_CFD.UK**: +10.39% today, -98.63% from MA200, -97.65% from MA50, vol 603.5%. Data looks corrupted/suspicious.\n\n29. **GPK_CFD.US**: +3.34% today, -30.55% from MA200, +8.78% from MA50, vol 88.6%. Mixed.\n\n30. **HMSO_CFD.UK**: +14.13% today, +22.52% from MA200, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5%. Overextended.\n\n31. **SPX_CFD.UK**: +7.06% today, +9.23% from MA200, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136.3%. Overextended.\n\n32. **BLND_CFD.UK**: +13.08% today, +4.46% from MA200, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119.4%. Overextended.\n\n33. **CTEC_CFD.UK**: -9.34% today, -16.70% from MA200, -11.11% from MA50, vol 116.6%. Oversold.\n\n34. **ECMPA_CFD.NL**: -1.08% today, +3.69% from MA200, +1.12% from MA50, vol 61.4%. Not extreme.\n\n35. **PHP_CFD.UK**: +2.94% today, -1.79% from MA200, -3.24% from MA50, vol 111.6%. Mildly oversold.\n\n36. **REC_CFD.BE**: +4.81% today, +8.06% from MA200, +4.36% from MA50, vol 90.4%. Mildly overextended.\n\n37. **MNDI_CFD.UK**: -6.70% today, -16.48% from MA200, -7.46% from MA50, vol 122.6%. Oversold.\n\n38. **GLW_CFD.US**: +15.11% today, +82.90% from MA200, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8%. Extremely overextended.\n\n39. **TER_CFD.US**: +0.42% today, +68.89% from MA200, +9.71% from MA50, vol 157.6%. Very overextended.\n\n40. **UKW_CFD.UK**: +3.98% today, -9.08% from MA200, +0.06% from MA50, vol 80.7%. Mixed.\n\n41. **NXI_CFD.FR**: +2.90% today, -3.82% from MA200, +5.14% from MA50, vol 60.4%. Mixed.\n\n42. **AKAM_CFD.US**: +29.53% today, +67.35% from MA200, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3%. Extremely overextended.\n\n43. **SFM_CFD.US**: +5.82% today, -11.86% from MA200, +8.73% from MA50, vol 109.6%. Mixed.\n\n44. **APH_CFD.US**: -6.41% today, -2.04% from MA200, -5.58% from MA50, vol 75.0%. Mildly oversold.\n\n45. **ALB_CFD.US**: +5.34% today, +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2%. Very overextended.\n\n46. **GT_CFD.US**: -6.65% today, -19.07% from MA200, -5.44% from MA50, vol 91.97%. Oversold.\n\n47. **TSCO_CFD.US**: -4.94% today, -40.94% from MA200, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4%. Very oversold.\n\n48. **CDW_CFD.US**: -22.52% today, -26.02% from MA200, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9%. Very oversold.\n\n49. **SMIN_CFD.UK**: +4.62% today, +14.88% from MA200, +3.97% from MA50, vol 101.3%. Overextended.\n\nFor mean reversion, I want to select:\n- Stocks that are extremely oversold (potential longs)\n- Stocks that are extremely overbought (potential shorts)\n- High volatility is good for mean reversion\n- Avoid stocks with suspicious data (like HAIN, CPG)\n\nLet me identify the best candidates:\n\n**Extreme Oversold (Long candidates):**\n- CBG_CFD.UK: -26.63% today, -22% from MA50, vol 169% - EXCELLENT\n- OPTU_CFD.US: -18.88% today, -19% from MA50, vol 155% - GOOD\n- OCDO_CFD.UK: -27.37% today, -19% from MA50, vol 249% - EXCELLENT\n- HAS_CFD.UK: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6% - EXCELLENT (but UK stock)\n- TSCO_CFD.US: -4.94% today, -28.86% from MA50, vol 73.4% - GOOD\n- CDW_CFD.US: -22.52% today, -15.39% from MA50, vol 133.9% - GOOD\n\n**Extreme Overbought (Short candidates):**\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - GOOD\n- ASHM_CFD.UK: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134% - EXCELLENT\n- GLW_CFD.US: +15.11% today, +24.76% from MA50, vol 146.8% - GOOD\n- AKAM_CFD.US: +29.53% today, +40.95% from MA50, vol 154.3% - EXCELLENT\n- ALB_CFD.US: +55.29% from MA200, +14.53% from MA50, vol 129.2% - GOOD\n\nSince this is EU region, I should prioritize EU/UK stocks over US stocks, but the strategy doesn't explicitly forbid US stocks. However, the universe includes both.\n\nLet me select 5 candidates that show the strongest mean-reversion signals:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-26.63%), very oversold, high vol. Strong long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Huge drop (-27.37%), very oversold, extremely high vol (249%). Strong long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Massive drop (-41.13%), extremely oversold, very high vol (238.6%). Strong long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Extremely overextended (+40.45% from MA200), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** - Huge spike (+29.53% today), extremely overextended (+40.95% from MA50), high vol. Strong short candidate.\n\nWait, I need to be careful. The strategy is for EU region. Let me check which symbols are EU/UK:\n- UK symbols: BOY, ASHM, GRI, N91, CBG, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, BNZL, DLN, GFTU, TPK, PNN, MGNS, INVP, WKP, OCDO, PSON, LMP, HAS, ATG, HMSO, SPX, BLND, CTEC, PHP, MNDI, SMIN, UKW\n- DE symbols: BRNK, ADJ\n- FR symbols: SBT, NXI\n- NL symbols: ECMPA\n- BE symbols: REC\n- US symbols: HAIN, OPTU, MOS, GPK, GLW, TER, AKAM, SFM, APH, ALB, GT, TSCO, CDW\n\nThe task says region: \"EU\", so I should focus on EU/UK stocks. Let me avoid US stocks.\n\nRevised selection focusing on EU/UK:\n\n1. **CBG_CFD.UK** - Close Brothers Group PLC: -26.63% today, -22.13% from MA50, high vol 169%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n2. **OCDO_CFD.UK** - Ocado Group PLC: -27.37% today, -19.10% from MA50, very high vol 249.5%. Excellent oversold long candidate.\n3. **HAS_CFD.UK** - Hays PLC: -41.13% today, -36.94% from MA50, vol 238.6%. Extremely oversold long candidate.\n4. **ASHM_CFD.UK** - Ashmore Group PLC: +40.46% from MA200, +24.89% from MA50, vol 134%. Excellent overbought short candidate.\n5. **AKAM_CFD.US** is US, so let me replace with a EU/UK overbought candidate.\n\nEU/UK Overbought candidates:\n- BOY_CFD.UK: +24.16% today, +18.64% from MA50, vol 103% - Good\n- DLN_CFD.UK: +10.40% today, +12.15% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- MGNS_CFD.UK: +8.93% today, +4.13% from MA50, vol 174% - Good vol but less extreme extension\n- INVP_CFD.UK: +9.37% today, +11.73% from MA50, vol 115% - Moderate\n- BNZL_CFD.UK: +11.25% today, +13.39% from MA50, vol 95.7% - Moderate\n- HMSO_CFD.UK: +14.13% today, +10.01% from MA50, vol 87.5% - Good\n- SPX_CFD.UK: +7.06% today, +1.21% from MA50, vol 136% - Less extreme extension\n- BLND_CFD.UK: +13.08% today, -0.23% from MA50, vol 119% - Mixed signal (below MA50)\n\nBest EU/UK overbought: BOY_CFD.UK (strong daily move + high extension)\n\nSo my 5 candidates:\n1. CBG_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n2. OCDO_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n3. HAS_CFD.UK (Long - oversold)\n4. ASHM_CFD.UK (Short - overbought)\n5. BO",
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        "finish_reason": "length",
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    "created": 1778412228,
    "provider": "Google",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}