Arena run #1737
meanrev-v1 • mistralai • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • US • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-05-09T18:07:46.147407+00:00
started_at: 2026-05-09T20:01:05.909443+00:00
finished_at: 2026-05-09T20:01:31.331630+00:00
duration_ms: 25415
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-05-09T18:07:46.147407+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-26.6%), oversold vs MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-27.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-19.1%) and MA200 (-27.5%), high volatility (249%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-19.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.9%) and MA200 (-11.7%), high volatility (167%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-22.5%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.4%) and MA200 (-26.0%), high volatility (134%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-8.2%), oversold vs MA50 (-11.9%) and MA200 (-38.1%), high volatility (103%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"JUP_CFD.UK",
"BOY_CFD.UK",
"ASHM_CFD.UK",
"N91_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"GFTU_CFD.UK",
"TPK_CFD.UK",
"PNN_CFD.UK",
"SSPG_CFD.UK",
"MGNS_CFD.UK",
"INVP_CFD.UK",
"BRNK_CFD.DE",
"BNZL_CFD.UK",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"SBT_CFD.FR",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"MOS_CFD.US",
"CPG_CFD.UK",
"GPK_CFD.US",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"BLND_CFD.UK",
"CTEC_CFD.UK",
"ECMPA_CFD.NL",
"PHP_CFD.UK",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"MNDI_CFD.UK",
"GRI_CFD.UK",
"EXPE_CFD.US",
"FMC_CFD.US",
"GLW_CFD.US",
"TER_CFD.US",
"UKW_CFD.UK",
"NXI_CFD.FR",
"AKAM_CFD.US",
"STNE_CFD.US",
"SFM_CFD.US",
"J_CFD.US",
"APH_CFD.US",
"ALB_CFD.US",
"VSVS_CFD.UK",
"TSCO_CFD.US",
"CDW_CFD.US",
"SMIN_CFD.UK",
"OLN_CFD.US",
"WELL_CFD.US",
"AOS_CFD.US"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion candidate (score 85) with extreme 1-day drop and oversold conditions vs MA50 and MA200.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong mean-reversion candidate (score 70) with large 1-day drop and oversold conditions vs MA50 and MA200.",
"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; marginal changes do not justify action.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (161.48), no strong mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (443.89), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (563.69), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (873.79), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (762.03), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (293.85), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (865.60), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (257.84), appears in candidates but already held; prefer to hold given existing gains.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (507.44), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized gain (10.53), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (826.19), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized loss (-96.02), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; prefer to hold and monitor.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (1057.31), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (238.92), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; marginal changes do not justify action.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (217.33), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-838.49), no clear mean-reversion signal, and position has underperformed since opening.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Unrealized loss (-148.39), and while it appears in candidates, the loss suggests the mean-reversion trade has not yet played out favorably.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focused on trimming underperforming positions (CRST_CFD.UK, OCDO_CFD.UK) to free up capital for high-conviction mean-reversion candidates (CBG_CFD.UK, CDW_CFD.US). Existing positions with strong unrealized gains or no clear mean-reversion signals are held to avoid overtrading and potential tax/transaction costs. The strategy adheres to max_buys_per_run (2) and max_sells_per_run (2) constraints, with fixed position sizes of $3,000."
}Prompts & responses
#2843 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-05-09T20:01:05.958443+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK", "name": "JUPITER FUND MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.6, "change_1d_pct": 22.06809583858764, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 57.65825374753912, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.274691586205538, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.15961444303547, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ASHM_CFD.UK", "name": "ASHMORE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 244.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.4084507042253502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 40.45532080672305, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.88993054528128, "volatility_20d_pct": 134.25405461264828, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "N91_CFD.UK", "name": "NINETY ONE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 241.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.739726027397249, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.140556255617817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.809338693563394, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.21236037483679, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GFTU_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAFTON GROUP PLC-UTS", "sector": "", "last_price": 955.8, "change_1d_pct": 1.0434175890393638, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.963270661870655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.4837359036161253, "volatility_20d_pct": 51.04515943079597, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PNN_CFD.UK", "name": "PENNON GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 551.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.699224018295192, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 13.698549858568065, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.285607918028347, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.33547101641821, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SSPG_CFD.UK", "name": "SSP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 165.4, "change_1d_pct": 15.261324041811841, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.4859967425081333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.5180998115016378, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.20034161947044, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MGNS_CFD.UK", "name": "MORGAN SINDALL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4860.0, "change_1d_pct": 8.928311274976753, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 19.027421064583947, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.129720434840567, "volatility_20d_pct": 174.2493967907277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 642.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.369676320272568, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.33187982293969, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.734877154290203, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.28654302325035, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.45, "change_1d_pct": 5.072463768115942, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.736689839803102, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.741616392894367, "volatility_20d_pct": 192.10029439414404, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BNZL_CFD.UK", "name": "BUNZL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2463.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.246612466124661, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.753831191506032, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.385480526561633, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.72449919502712, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 186.0, "change_1d_pct": -27.372120265521282, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -27.532109898724187, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.095469955276336, "volatility_20d_pct": 249.4549801604736, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBT_CFD.FR", "name": "Oeneo Bouchage", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.06, "change_1d_pct": -3.6170212765957444, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.470898704832891, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.093216767347117, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.82674811022072, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MOS_CFD.US", "name": "MOSAIC CO/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 22.68, "change_1d_pct": -0.8307826847398392, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.041178088180335, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.675604357518132, "volatility_20d_pct": 58.492818534138344, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.86, "change_1d_pct": 10.38817005545285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.62792901945058, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -97.64592728075431, "volatility_20d_pct": 603.5168554995487, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GPK_CFD.US", "name": "GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.83, "change_1d_pct": 3.3396946564885566, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.55310635378158, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.776440810751085, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.64166136593849, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7168.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.064973861090373, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 9.233977228616963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.207072239512863, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.31219199190863, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "name": "BRITISH LAND CO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 391.7, "change_1d_pct": 13.077367205542734, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.463250377902539, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.22954591071041586, "volatility_20d_pct": 119.37084138774277, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CTEC_CFD.UK", "name": "CONVATEC GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 207.6, "change_1d_pct": -9.344978165938866, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.703012133032836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.110882751143869, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.55231905033538, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ECMPA_CFD.NL", "name": "Eurocommercial Properties", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.55, "change_1d_pct": -1.0771992818671472, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.6903216093641333, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.1231830861841097, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.36817383080048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PHP_CFD.UK", "name": "PRIMARY HEALTH PROPERTIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 94.45, "change_1d_pct": 2.9427792915531326, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.7938096307572038, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.243122527295772, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.6461438724416, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 189.9, "change_1d_pct": -19.39728353140916, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.676534259760752, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.922856232068849, "volatility_20d_pct": 167.0810039928667, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 791.2, "change_1d_pct": -6.698113207547163, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.479426249971617, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.4613389099806415, "volatility_20d_pct": 122.60907560467662, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAINGER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.08322929671245038, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.9312468607917275, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9128310349964197, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.43116862190418, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXPE_CFD.US", "name": "EXPEDIA GROUP INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 233.75, "change_1d_pct": -5.237767057201925, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3788398438769, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.492276554012385, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.18821210149012, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US", "name": "FMC Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 13.55, "change_1d_pct": -8.19783197831978, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -38.09209429190834, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.930636439267882, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.63745619428188, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLW_CFD.US", "name": "CORNING INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 188.85, "change_1d_pct": 15.110325490674148, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 82.89928046057497, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 24.75557552055807, "volatility_20d_pct": 146.84474569423688, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TER_CFD.US", "name": "Teradyne Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 305.58, "change_1d_pct": 0.12450851900394078, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.197016104022467, "volatility_20d_pct": 6185.755685728551, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.4, "change_1d_pct": 3.976801988401002, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -9.084405711745047, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.06418459649417674, "volatility_20d_pct": 80.6750581480199, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "NXI_CFD.FR", "name": "Nexity SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 8.87, "change_1d_pct": 2.9002320185614883, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.8172723359173766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.139882271780061, "volatility_20d_pct": 60.36558349705058, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AKAM_CFD.US", "name": "Akamai Technologies Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 149.65, "change_1d_pct": 29.533454513979063, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 67.35414384628247, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 40.951064126376544, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.28386628635903, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STNE_CFD.US", "name": "STONECO LTD-A", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.91, "change_1d_pct": -0.7279344858962755, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -30.477228265371803, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -20.212376954467683, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.5417491189962, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SFM_CFD.US", "name": "SPROUTS FARMERS MARKET INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 83.96, "change_1d_pct": 5.823040080665476, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.859033241826022, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.726337517838312, "volatility_20d_pct": 109.60367883354618, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "J_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 119.9, "change_1d_pct": -7.988642467961016, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.777321100786999, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.1698335250842575, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.92059814232583, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "APH_CFD.US", "name": "Amphenol Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 129.32, "change_1d_pct": -6.405153072302228, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.0376873106913607, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.5835102608208125, "volatility_20d_pct": 75.0166002676417, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALB_CFD.US", "name": "Albemarle Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.33, "change_1d_pct": 5.340276714147141, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 55.2867137024927, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.528901159776497, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.20248363317458, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "name": "VESUVIUS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 460.91, "change_1d_pct": 15.054917623564656, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.930204294042394, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.058627377052515, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.4878050269555, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TSCO_CFD.US", "name": "TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY", "sector": "", "last_price": 30.97, "change_1d_pct": -4.941682013505222, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.941691123328326, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -28.859547567855635, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.43852653574369, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "name": "CDW Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 105.95, "change_1d_pct": -22.522851919561237, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.021248903759897, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.385807177072463, "volatility_20d_pct": 133.8807652870453, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2557.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.6235679214402525, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.883274190387418, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.9730049158046343, "volatility_20d_pct": 101.30183705216716, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OLN_CFD.US", "name": "OLIN CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 27.17, "change_1d_pct": -6.116102280580504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.50446586092702, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8447651285705904, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.09649885425287, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WELL_CFD.US", "name": "WELLTOWER INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.23, "change_1d_pct": 1.4903756307232285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.263300739159135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.0618095993499646, "volatility_20d_pct": 42.5447144283932, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AOS_CFD.US", "name": "SMITH (A.O.) CORP", "sector": "", "last_price": 59.31, "change_1d_pct": 1.2116040955631346, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.687648336473869, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.916067474095735, "volatility_20d_pct": 58.48398686369537, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-26.6%), oversold vs MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-27.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-19.1%) and MA200 (-27.5%), high volatility (249%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-19.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.9%) and MA200 (-11.7%), high volatility (167%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-22.5%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.4%) and MA200 (-26.0%), high volatility (134%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-8.2%), oversold vs MA50 (-11.9%) and MA200 (-38.1%), high volatility (103%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No earnings date confirmed (unknown risk)",
"Extreme volatility outliers (e.g., TER_CFD.US, CPG_CFD.UK)",
"Insufficient deviation from moving averages (e.g., TPK_CFD.UK, GFTU_CFD.UK)"
]
}#2844 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-05-09T20:01:13.981959+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 138.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 364.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.73186119873817, "avg_price": 634.0, "last_price": 634.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 264.3, "unrealized_pnl": 161.48325358851673, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 8.748396127376648, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 29.013539651837522, "avg_price": 103.4, "last_price": 74.5, "unrealized_pnl": -838.4912959381046, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 112.12, "last_price": 107.655, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 90.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.353, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 9.933, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 156.45, "unrealized_pnl": 443.88597424514785, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.55594651653765, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 337.6, "unrealized_pnl": 563.6875439831109, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 32.48, "last_price": 32.48, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-08T10:08:21.944296+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.854368932038835, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1416.0, "unrealized_pnl": 873.7864077669902, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.0053475935828877, "avg_price": 1496.0, "last_price": 1876.0, "unrealized_pnl": 762.0320855614973, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.0474905558553695, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 813.8, "unrealized_pnl": 293.84781435509944, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.7890583903208838, "avg_price": 3802.0, "last_price": 4899.0, "unrealized_pnl": 865.5970541820095, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 17.421602787456447, "avg_price": 172.2, "last_price": 187.0, "unrealized_pnl": 257.8397212543556, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6528925619834711, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 2122.0, "unrealized_pnl": 507.43801652892563, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.526315789473685, "avg_price": 285.0, "last_price": 286.0, "unrealized_pnl": 10.526315789473685, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 17.39, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T18:04:13.865611+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.25806451612903, "avg_price": 186.0, "last_price": 181.4, "unrealized_pnl": -148.38709677419337, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.26, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 135.44018058690745, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 139.0, "unrealized_pnl": 826.1851015801346, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.9190071848465053, "avg_price": 765.5, "last_price": 741.0, "unrealized_pnl": -96.01567602873938, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1068.0, "last_price": 1066.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.5, "last_price": 54.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1220.0, "last_price": 1202.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.9598853868195, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 47.2, "unrealized_pnl": 1057.30659025788, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "qty": 103.8781163434903, "avg_price": 28.88, "last_price": 31.18, "unrealized_pnl": 238.91966759002779, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T10:08:43.931517+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.328975415660082, "avg_price": 562.96, "last_price": 562.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 99.04, "unrealized_pnl": 217.32539252842489, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 425.0, "last_price": 421.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 385.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 222.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-26.6%), oversold vs MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169%)"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-27.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-19.1%) and MA200 (-27.5%), high volatility (249%)"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-19.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.9%) and MA200 (-11.7%), high volatility (167%)"}, {"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-22.5%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.4%) and MA200 (-26.0%), high volatility (134%)"}, {"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-8.2%), oversold vs MA50 (-11.9%) and MA200 (-38.1%), high volatility (103%)"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion candidate (score 85) with extreme 1-day drop and oversold conditions vs MA50 and MA200.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong mean-reversion candidate (score 70) with large 1-day drop and oversold conditions vs MA50 and MA200.",
"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; marginal changes do not justify action.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (161.48), no strong mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (443.89), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (563.69), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (873.79), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (762.03), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (293.85), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (865.60), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (257.84), appears in candidates but already held; prefer to hold given existing gains.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (507.44), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized gain (10.53), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (826.19), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized loss (-96.02), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; prefer to hold and monitor.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Strong unrealized gain (1057.31), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (238.92), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; marginal changes do not justify action.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Moderate unrealized gain (217.33), no mean-reversion signal to exit; holding for potential further upside.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-838.49), no clear mean-reversion signal, and position has underperformed since opening.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Unrealized loss (-148.39), and while it appears in candidates, the loss suggests the mean-reversion trade has not yet played out favorably.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focused on trimming underperforming positions (CRST_CFD.UK, OCDO_CFD.UK) to free up capital for high-conviction mean-reversion candidates (CBG_CFD.UK, CDW_CFD.US). Existing positions with strong unrealized gains or no clear mean-reversion signals are held to avoid overtrading and potential tax/transaction costs. The strategy adheres to max_buys_per_run (2) and max_sells_per_run (2) constraints, with fixed position sizes of $3,000."
}Selection logs
#1111 • stage1 • 2026-05-09T20:01:13.976119+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-26.6%), oversold vs MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-27.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-19.1%) and MA200 (-27.5%), high volatility (249%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-19.4%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.9%) and MA200 (-11.7%), high volatility (167%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CDW_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-22.5%), oversold vs MA50 (-15.4%) and MA200 (-26.0%), high volatility (134%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "FMC_CFD.US",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-8.2%), oversold vs MA50 (-11.9%) and MA200 (-38.1%), high volatility (103%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No earnings date confirmed (unknown risk)",
"Extreme volatility outliers (e.g., TER_CFD.US, CPG_CFD.UK)",
"Insufficient deviation from moving averages (e.g., TPK_CFD.UK, GFTU_CFD.UK)"
]
}